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NFL DFS Projections

Free projections for DraftKings & FanDuel — projected fantasy points, salary and value for every NFL DFS player.

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283 DraftKings & 282 FanDuel players projected

Updated 8:31 PM ET

NFL DFS projections for the Week 10 Main slate (DraftKings), updated 8:31 PM ET: the top projected plays are Josh Allen (24.2 pts), Bijan Robinson (21.6 pts), Brock Purdy (21.5 pts).

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RB

69 players
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Who are the top projected NFL DFS plays on DraftKings this week?

Josh Allen ($7,500) leads quarterbacks with a 24.2 pts projection. Brock Purdy is next at 21.5 pts, then Dak Prescott at 19.6 pts.

Bijan Robinson ($8,200) leads running backs with a 21.6 pts projection. Christian McCaffrey is next at 21.0 pts, then Kenneth Walker at 19.9 pts.

Ceedee Lamb ($8,800) leads wide receivers with a 20.4 pts projection. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is next at 19.7 pts, then Justin Jefferson at 17.2 pts. Justin Jefferson is the best value play among wide receivers at 2.50 points per $1,000.

George Kittle ($6,500) leads tight ends with a 15.2 pts projection. Trey McBride is next at 14.7 pts, then Brock Bowers at 13.6 pts.

Houston Texans ($3,400) leads defense/special teams units with a 9.9 pts projection. Indianapolis Colts is next at 9.4 pts, then Los Angeles Rams at 9.3 pts. Indianapolis Colts is the best value play among defense/special teams units at 3.10 points per $1,000.

NFL DFS projections move the most in the two days before kickoff, as weather, inactives and injury designations firm up. A backup who projects for 8 points on Thursday can be a 16-point projection by Sunday morning once a starter is ruled out, so it's worth checking back closer to kickoff rather than setting a lineup on Tuesday's numbers.

Projections combine expected volume (snaps, targets, carries) with efficiency and matchup quality, then convert to salary-adjusted value so a cheap player with a real role can outscore a star priced for his name rather than this week's role.

Ready to put these projections to work? Use our NFL DFS lineup optimizer to build lineups automatically, or check NFL ownership projections to find leverage plays.

How these projections are built

FTA's fantasy-point projections combine each player's expected opportunity (snaps, minutes, plate appearances, or shifts, depending on the sport) with efficiency and matchup quality, then price that against DraftKings and FanDuel salary for a value figure. They update as news, lineups and matchups change, so the number you see sharpens the closer a slate gets to lock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are NFL DFS projections?

DFS projections estimate how many fantasy points a player is expected to score in a specific DraftKings or FanDuel contest, based on his expected role, matchup, and recent form. They're the core number behind value (points per dollar of salary) and the foundation every lineup-building decision starts from.

How is DFS projection different from a season-long fantasy projection?

A DFS projection is scored for one slate's specific salary and roster rules, while a season-long projection is a weekly average. A player can carry a strong season-long projection but a lower DFS projection on a given week if he's facing a tough matchup or questionable with an injury.

What does 'value' mean on this page?

Value is projected fantasy points divided by salary (shown as points per $1,000). It's the fastest way to spot an underpriced player — a cheap player with a real role can out-value a star priced for his name rather than this week's matchup.

How often do NFL DFS projections update?

Projections update through the week as injury designations, practice reports, and weather forecasts come in, with the sharpest changes landing in the day or two before kickoff. Check back Saturday night and Sunday morning for the most accurate numbers.

How do I use projections to build a lineup?

Start with the highest-value plays at each position, then layer in projected ceiling for tournament lineups or projected floor for cash games. Our NFL DFS optimizer builds optimal lineups automatically using these same projections.
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