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Total Bases Props Today

Projections are algorithmically generated. If anything looks off, let us know in Discord.

FTA's TB projections use ISO and SLG splits, hit type distribution (1B/2B/3B/HR), park power factor, and batting order. Sportsbook lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars. Updated 1:00 AM ET

Some lineups are not yet confirmed

Wait for confirmed lineups before placing bets — projections may change once official lineups are posted. (20 of 20 teams unconfirmed)

TB Line: 0.5 1.5

Top Total Bases Props

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Nathan Lukes headshot
Nathan Lukes
LF | TOR #1
RHP | MIL
Brandon Sproat headshot
Prop
Total Bases
Bet
Over 1.5
Line
+152
FTA
67
Proj
1.9
Cover
60%
EV
+52.0%
Miguel Vargas headshot
Miguel Vargas
3B | CWS #1
vs S. Matz
LHP | TAM
Steven Matz headshot
Prop
Total Bases
Bet
Over 1.5
Line
+129
FTA
66
Proj
1.8
Cover
59%
EV
+35.8%
William Contreras headshot
William Contreras
C | MIL #2
LHP | TOR
Patrick Corbin headshot
Prop
Total Bases
Bet
Over 1.5
Line
+117
FTA
66
Proj
1.8
Cover
59%
EV
+31.6%

Disclaimer

All projections on this page are generated algorithmically based on statistical models, season averages, and projected playing time. These projections are for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

The algorithm may not reflect recent injuries, lineup changes, rest days, or other factors that affect outcomes. Lines and odds change frequently — always confirm current numbers with your sportsbook before placing any wagers.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. You assume all risk associated with any wagers you place. Only bet with money you can afford to lose.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org

MLB Total Bases Props Today

Our total bases props page shows live sportsbook lines and odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars. Total bases count singles (1), doubles (2), triples (3), and home runs (4) — higher-power hitters tend to exceed their lines more frequently.

Understanding Total Bases Lines

0.5

Low Line

(At least 1 total base)

1.5

Standard Line

(Extra-base hit or 2 singles)

2.5+

Power Line

(Multi-hit or XBH game)

The line represents the sportsbook's expected total bases. A single counts as 1, a double as 2, a triple as 3, and a home run as 4. Walks, HBPs, and sac flies do not count toward total bases. ISO (isolated power) is the key stat — it measures extra-base hit ability per at-bat.

ISO & SLG for Total Bases

ISO (Isolated Power) measures raw extra-base hit ability. Hitters with .200+ ISO are strong total bases candidates, especially on the 1.5 line. Pair ISO with SLG (slugging percentage) and the opposing pitcher's hard-hit rate allowed to identify the best total bases bets.

When to Bet Total Bases Props

Wait for lineup confirmation — batting order position determines plate appearances, which directly affects total base opportunities. Target hitters in hitter-friendly parks facing pitchers with high SLG allowed. Compare lines across sportsbooks to find the best number.

Data Source & Methodology

Lines and odds sourced from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars via the Ball Don't Lie API. Data refreshes throughout the day as lines move.

Frequently Asked Questions

What counts as a total base in baseball?
Total bases count only hits: a single = 1 total base, double = 2, triple = 3, and home run = 4. Walks, hit-by-pitches, sacrifice flies, and reaching on error do NOT count toward total bases. A player who goes 2-for-4 with a single and a double has 3 total bases.
What stats matter for total bases props?
Isolated Power (ISO) is the most important stat for total bases props because it measures extra-base hit ability. A .200+ ISO means the player regularly produces doubles and home runs, which generate more total bases per hit. Combine ISO with slugging percentage (SLG) and the opposing pitcher's hard-hit rate allowed to find value.
How does park factor affect total bases props?
Hitter-friendly parks with short fences or high altitude (like Coors Field) boost total bases by increasing extra-base hit rates. A park factor above 1.05 for power is a positive signal for total bases overs. Wind blowing out to center or the pull side further increases extra-base hit probability.
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