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Best NBA PrizePicks Picks Today

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Today's best NBA PrizePicks picks for Sunday, March 22 — our algorithm compares player projections to prop lines across sportsbooks to find the best MORE and LESS plays for your PrizePicks entries.

Confidence:

Top PrizePicks Plays

110-84 (56.7%)
Updated 8:00 AM ET
Player Team Opp Prop Line FTA Proj Edge Pick Confidence
Sam Hauser headshot Sam Hauser
PTS 6.5 8.9 +2.4 (36.9%) MORE Low
Jakobe Walter headshot Jakobe Walter
PTS 5.5 7.1 +1.6 (29.1%) MORE Low
Sandro Mamukelashvili headshot Sandro Mamukelashvili
PTS 7.5 9.4 +1.9 (25.3%) MORE Low

See all 20 PrizePicks plays today

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Disclaimer

PrizePicks lets you pick 2-6 player props and predict whether each goes MORE or LESS than the posted line. We use our projection model to find the plays where our number diverges most from the line — giving you the highest-edge picks for your entries.

All projections on this page are generated algorithmically based on statistical models, season averages, and projected playing time. These projections are for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

The algorithm may not reflect recent injuries, lineup changes, rest days, or other factors that affect outcomes. Lines and odds change frequently — always confirm current numbers with your sportsbook before placing any wagers.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. You assume all risk associated with any wagers you place. Only bet with money you can afford to lose.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org

Best NBA PrizePicks Picks Today

PrizePicks is the largest pick'em DFS platform in the US, letting you combine 2-6 player props into a single entry with payouts up to 25x. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, PrizePicks uses a simplified MORE/LESS format — you just need to decide whether a player will go over or under the posted line. Our model scans every available player prop line and compares it to our per-minute projection to surface the plays with the biggest edge.

How We Find the Best PrizePicks Plays

Our algorithm projects each player's stat line using season averages scaled to their expected playing time tonight. We compare that projection to the posted lines across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars — which closely mirror PrizePicks lines — to find where the biggest edges exist. Picks with a higher edge percentage and positive expected value are ranked first. We cover points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, blocks, and combination stats like PRA.

PrizePicks Entry Building Strategy

The key to PrizePicks is combining uncorrelated picks — players in different games whose outcomes don't influence each other. Start with our highest-confidence plays and mix prop types (don't load up on all points props). A typical winning strategy uses 3-4 pick Flex entries: these only require you to hit most of your picks to profit, giving you a cushion if one play misses. Use the Edge and Confidence columns to prioritize — high confidence picks with 15%+ edge are the foundation of a strong entry.

Understanding Edge and Confidence

The Edge column shows the gap between our projection and the posted line. A +3.5 edge on a points prop means we project the player 3.5 points above the line — a strong MORE signal. The Confidence rating converts the raw expected value into a simple High/Medium/Low scale: High means the edge is large enough to overcome typical variance, while Medium picks are still positive value but carry more risk. We recommend building entries primarily from High confidence plays.