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Hits Props Today

Projections are algorithmically generated. If anything looks off, let us know in Discord.

FTA's hits projections use wOBA-derived batting average, lineup position PA estimates, and pitcher matchup splits. Sportsbook lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars. Updated 1:00 AM ET

Some lineups are not yet confirmed

Wait for confirmed lineups before placing bets — projections may change once official lineups are posted. (20 of 20 teams unconfirmed)

Hits Line: 0.5 1.5

Top Hits Props

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Casey Schmitt headshot
Casey Schmitt
1B | SFG #3
RHP | CIN
Chase Burns headshot
Prop
Hits
Bet
Over 0.5
Line
-191
FTA
70
Proj
1.0
Cover
72%
EV
+9.5%
Konnor Griffin headshot
Konnor Griffin
SS | PIT #7
LHP | WAS
Foster Griffin headshot
Prop
Hits
Bet
Over 0.5
Line
-206
FTA
67
Proj
1.0
Cover
72%
EV
+6.7%
Daylen Lile headshot
Daylen Lile
DH | WAS #4
RHP | PIT
Braxton Ashcraft headshot
Prop
Hits
Bet
Over 0.5
Line
-272
FTA
59
Proj
1.0
Cover
72%
EV
-1.8%

Disclaimer

All projections on this page are generated algorithmically based on statistical models, season averages, and projected playing time. These projections are for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

The algorithm may not reflect recent injuries, lineup changes, rest days, or other factors that affect outcomes. Lines and odds change frequently — always confirm current numbers with your sportsbook before placing any wagers.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. You assume all risk associated with any wagers you place. Only bet with money you can afford to lose.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org

MLB Hits Props Today

Our hits props page shows live sportsbook lines and odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars. We display the best available line per player alongside FTA's projected hit total and expected value.

Understanding Hits Prop Lines

0.5

Standard Line

(At least 1 hit)

1.5

Multi-Hit Line

(2+ hits required)

2.5

Big Game Line

(3+ hits needed)

The line represents the sportsbook's expected hit total. Over odds show the price for the player to exceed that number, while under odds are for staying below. The most common hits line is 0.5 (will the player record at least one hit).

Batting Average & Matchup Splits

A hitter with a .300+ batting average against the opposing pitcher's handedness is a strong over candidate on the 0.5 line. Check both the player's AVG splits (vs LHP and vs RHP) and the opposing pitcher's BAA to gauge how likely a hit is.

When to Bet MLB Hits Props

Wait for lineup confirmation — a player who drops from the 2-hole to the 8-hole loses plate appearances and hit opportunities. Target hitters facing pitchers with high BAA or elevated walk rates, as more baserunners create more at-bats. Compare lines across sportsbooks to find the best number.

Data Source & Methodology

Lines and odds sourced from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars via the Ball Don't Lie API. Data refreshes throughout the day as lines move.

Frequently Asked Questions

How are MLB hits projections calculated?
Our hits projections use a player's batting average splits by opposing pitcher handedness (AVG vs. LHP and AVG vs. RHP), weighted by the number of projected plate appearances based on batting order position. We adjust for the opposing pitcher's batting average against (BAA) and BABIP tendencies to produce a final projected hit total.
What batting average should I look for when betting hits props?
Target hitters with a .280+ batting average against the opposing pitcher's handedness. League-average batting average is around .250, so anything above .280 is well above average. High-contact hitters (.300+) with low strikeout rates are the best over candidates on the 0.5 hits line.
What is the most common hits prop line?
The most common MLB hits prop line is 0.5 — this is a simple over/under on whether the player records at least one hit. The 1.5 line (2+ hits) is also popular but carries higher odds since multi-hit games occur less frequently. Lines of 2.5+ are rare and typically reserved for elite contact hitters.
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