FanDuel NBA Prop Hit Rates & Trends
Track our FanDuel NBA player prop picks performance — see hit rates by prop type, trends over time, and detailed results for every pick we've made on FanDuel.
Daily Hit Rate
Hit Rate by Prop Type
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 2-0 | 100.0% | 2 |
| REB | 2-1 | 66.7% | 3 |
| R+A | 1-0 | 100.0% | 1 |
Recent Picks
| Date | Player | Prop | Line | Odds | Pick | Proj | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/23 | REB | 3.5 | +102 | Over | 4.8 | 0.0 | L | |
| 3/19 | PTS | 4.5 | -118 | Over | 6.1 | 13.0 | W | |
| 3/18 | REB | 8.5 | +112 | Under | 4.4 | 3.0 | W | |
| 3/18 | R+A | 11.5 | -113 | Under | 6.5 | 1.0 | W | |
| 3/16 | REB | 3.5 | -108 | Under | 2.0 | 3.0 | W |
See all recent picks and full trend history
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FanDuel NBA Prop Hit Rates: How Our Model Performs Against FD Lines
FanDuel is known for offering some of the sharpest player prop lines in the industry, which makes sustained profitability more challenging — but also more meaningful when our model identifies edge. Every day, our algorithm evaluates FanDuel's NBA player prop lines and flags the plays with the highest expected value. This page tracks those picks transparently so you can see exactly how our projections perform against FanDuel's odds.
FanDuel Prop Market Characteristics
FanDuel's prop markets often differ from DraftKings and BetMGM by half a point or more on certain stat categories. Our hit rate data by prop type reveals where FanDuel's lines are most beatable. Points props on FanDuel tend to be tightly priced given their high betting volume, while three-pointer and rebounds markets can offer more exploitable gaps between our projection and the posted line. Use the prop type table above to see where our model consistently outperforms FanDuel.
Maximizing Your FanDuel NBA Prop Strategy
Cross-reference these hit rate trends with our daily FanDuel NBA Best Bets to build a data-driven prop betting approach. A prop type showing 55%+ hit rate over 30 days on FanDuel suggests genuine model edge in that market, not just short-term luck. Focus your FanDuel prop plays on the categories where our model has the strongest sustained track record.
Frequently Asked Questions
- How are NBA prop hit rates calculated?
- We track every player prop pick our algorithm flags across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars. After each game, we compare the actual stat line to the prop line to determine if the pick hit (won) or missed (lost). Hit rate is the percentage of picks that hit over a given period.
- What prop types does the model track?
- We track all major NBA player prop markets including Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers Made, Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA), and other combination props offered by sportsbooks.
- How often are prop trend results updated?
- Prop results are resolved daily after games complete. The hit rate charts, prop type breakdowns, and recent picks table are all updated every day with the latest resolved results.