Caesars NBA Prop Hit Rates & Trends
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Sign Up Today →Track our Caesars NBA player prop picks performance — see hit rates by prop type, trends over time, and detailed results for every pick we've made on Caesars.
Daily Hit Rate
Hit Rate by Prop Type
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 1-0 | 100.0% | 1 |
| AST | 1-0 | 100.0% | 1 |
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 4-0 | 100.0% | 4 |
| AST | 3-0 | 100.0% | 3 |
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 8-8 | 50.0% | 16 |
| REB | 3-4 | 42.9% | 7 |
| AST | 3-0 | 100.0% | 3 |
| 3PM | 1-0 | 100.0% | 1 |
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 13-9 | 59.1% | 22 |
| REB | 4-7 | 36.4% | 11 |
| AST | 7-1 | 87.5% | 8 |
| 3PM | 2-1 | 66.7% | 3 |
Recent Picks
| Date | Player | Prop | Line | Odds | Pick | Proj | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/19 | Kasparas Jakucionis | AST | 3.5 | -185 | Under | 2.0 | 3.0 | W |
| 3/19 | Ryan Kalkbrenner | PTS | 4.5 | -129 | Over | 6.1 | 13.0 | W |
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| Date | Player | Prop | Line | Odds | Pick | Proj | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/19 | Kasparas Jakucionis | AST | 3.5 | -185 | Under | 2.0 | 3.0 | W |
| 3/19 | Ryan Kalkbrenner | PTS | 4.5 | -129 | Over | 6.1 | 13.0 | W |
| 3/18 | Cam Spencer | AST | 7.5 | +102 | Under | 4.4 | 0.0 | W |
| 3/18 | Jonas Valanciunas | AST | 2.5 | -103 | Under | 1.1 | 0.0 | W |
| 3/17 | Jevon Carter | PTS | 6.5 | -111 | Over | 8.6 | 11.0 | W |
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| Date | Player | Prop | Line | Odds | Pick | Proj | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/19 | Kasparas Jakucionis | AST | 3.5 | -185 | Under | 2.0 | 3.0 | W |
| 3/19 | Ryan Kalkbrenner | PTS | 4.5 | -129 | Over | 6.1 | 13.0 | W |
| 3/18 | Cam Spencer | AST | 7.5 | +102 | Under | 4.4 | 0.0 | W |
| 3/18 | Jonas Valanciunas | AST | 2.5 | -103 | Under | 1.1 | 0.0 | W |
| 3/17 | Jevon Carter | PTS | 6.5 | -111 | Over | 8.6 | 11.0 | W |
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| Date | Player | Prop | Line | Odds | Pick | Proj | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/19 | Kasparas Jakucionis | AST | 3.5 | -185 | Under | 2.0 | 3.0 | W |
| 3/19 | Ryan Kalkbrenner | PTS | 4.5 | -129 | Over | 6.1 | 13.0 | W |
| 3/18 | Cam Spencer | AST | 7.5 | +102 | Under | 4.4 | 0.0 | W |
| 3/18 | Jonas Valanciunas | AST | 2.5 | -103 | Under | 1.1 | 0.0 | W |
| 3/17 | Jevon Carter | PTS | 6.5 | -111 | Over | 8.6 | 11.0 | W |
See all recent picks and full trend history
Upgrade to FTA+ for full access to prop trend data, hit rates, and advanced analytics
Caesars Sportsbook NBA Prop Hit Rates: Model Performance Breakdown
Caesars Sportsbook offers a full suite of NBA player props with lines that often differ from the other major books. Our projection model evaluates Caesars' prop lines daily and flags the picks where we see the strongest edge. This page tracks every Caesars prop pick with full transparency — you can see our hit rates by prop type, trends over different time periods, and the detailed result of every individual pick.
Caesars NBA Prop Pricing Tendencies
Caesars can be slower to adjust lines compared to DraftKings and FanDuel, particularly after late-breaking news like injury reports or lineup changes. This pricing lag creates windows of opportunity that our algorithm is designed to capture. The hit rate by prop type table above shows where these opportunities are most consistent — look for prop categories where our Caesars hit rate exceeds our all-book average for the clearest signal.
Getting the Most Out of Caesars NBA Props
Pair these trend insights with our daily Caesars NBA Best Bets for a focused Caesars betting strategy. Caesars frequently runs boosted odds promotions on player props — when a boosted prop aligns with a pick our model already favors, the expected value increases significantly. Use the recent picks table to verify our track record before tailing any picks.