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What is dkOBA? DraftKings On-Base Average Explained

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Core Projection Metric

dkOBA Powers Our MLB DFS Projections

dkOBA is a primary input to FTA's MLB optimizer — calculated daily for every hitter against their specific opposing pitcher. See it live in our projections table.

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Today's Top 10 dkOBA

Updated daily
# Player Pos Team Opp DK Price dkOBA DK Pts
1 Aaron Judge OF
NYY
vs SFG $10,000 1.38 --
2 Trent Grisham OF
NYY
vs SFG $6,400 1.32 --
3 Giancarlo Stanton OF
NYY
vs SFG $8,200 1.31 --
4 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
NYY
vs SFG $9,000 1.30 --
5 Ben Rice 1B/C
NYY
vs SFG $7,800 1.29 --
6 Cody Bellinger OF
NYY
vs SFG $8,600 1.21 --
7 Ryan McMahon 3B
NYY
vs SFG $4,800 1.20 --
8 Austin Wells C
NYY
vs SFG $5,200 1.17 --
9 Willy Adames SS
SFG
vs NYY $8,000 1.17 --
10 Rafael Devers 1B
SFG
vs NYY $9,600 1.16 --

DK point projections and full optimizer access require FTA+

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What is dkOBA?

dkOBA (DraftKings On-Base Average) is an advanced baseball stat that measures how many DraftKings fantasy points a hitter generates per plate appearance. Unlike traditional OBP which treats all ways of reaching base equally, dkOBA weights each outcome by its actual DraftKings scoring value.

This makes dkOBA the most direct measure of a hitter's DFS scoring efficiency on DraftKings — a player with a high dkOBA consistently produces more fantasy points per opportunity than one with a low dkOBA, regardless of batting average or traditional stats.

dkOBA Formula

dkOBA = (2×BB + 3×1B + 5×2B + 8×3B + 10×HR) ÷ PA

Each outcome is weighted by its DraftKings point value:

Walk (BB)
2 pts
Single (1B)
3 pts
Double (2B)
5 pts
Triple (3B)
8 pts
Home Run
10 pts

A minimum of 30 plate appearances is required for a reliable dkOBA calculation. Players below this threshold are assigned a default value of 1.05.

What is a Good dkOBA?

Elite 1.40+
Above Average 1.20 – 1.40
Average 1.00 – 1.20
Below Average < 1.00

League average dkOBA is typically around 1.05–1.10. Values are calculated per-matchup, so the same hitter will have different dkOBA vs LHP and vs RHP.

dkOBA vs Traditional OBP

Traditional OBP treats a walk the same as a home run — both count equally as "reaching base." For DFS, this is misleading because a HR is worth a walk on DraftKings.

dkOBA solves this by weighting each outcome proportionally to its DK scoring value. A hitter who walks a lot but rarely hits for power will have a high OBP but a mediocre dkOBA.

This is why dkOBA is a better predictor of DraftKings scoring than OBP, OPS, or even wOBA for DFS purposes.

How FTA Uses dkOBA in MLB Projections

FTA calculates each hitter's dkOBA against today's specific opposing pitcher, adjusted for platoon matchup (vs LHP or vs RHP). This daily, matchup-specific calculation is what makes our projections different from static season-long stats.

dkOBA is weighted at 30% of the overall FTA Rating for hitters — the single largest input to our projection model. It's also weighted at 45% of ceiling ratings, making it the dominant factor in identifying tournament upside.

FTA Rating Weights (Hitters):

30%
dkOBA
25%
wOBA
20%
ISO
15%
wRC
10%
SB

Using dkOBA for Cash Games

In cash games, prioritize hitters with consistently high dkOBA across both platoon splits. A hitter with 1.25+ dkOBA vs both LHP and RHP is a safer floor play than someone with 1.50 vs one hand and 0.85 vs the other.

Using dkOBA for Tournaments

In tournaments, target hitters with elite dkOBA in today's specific matchup, even if their overall season stats are average. A platoon advantage (e.g., lefty hitter vs RHP with 1.60 dkOBA) can create tournament-winning ceilings at low ownership.

Data Source & Methodology

dkOBA values are calculated using batting statistics from the MLB Stats API and Baseball Savant, split by pitcher handedness (vs LHP and vs RHP). Projections are updated daily for each game's specific matchup. DraftKings scoring weights are current as of the 2026 MLB season.