Is clutch hitting a real skill?

This is debated, but the evidence suggests that while most clutch performance is random variation, some hitters do have a repeatable ability to perform in high-leverage situations. Hitters with consistently high RISP splits across multiple seasons are more likely to have a real skill than those with one hot year.

How do I use RISP splits for prop betting?

Target hitters with strong RISP splits for RBI props, especially when they bat in the middle of a potent lineup. If the lineup around them gets on base frequently, a high-RISP hitter will have more opportunities to drive in runs. Combine with the opposing pitcher's RISP-allowed stats for the clearest edge.

What is the "scoring position, 2 out" split?

This is arguably the highest-pressure regular-season at-bat situation — runners on 2nd/3rd with 2 outs. Hitters who thrive here extend innings and produce outsized run totals. It's a small-sample split, so look for consistency across seasons rather than relying on one year's data.

MLB Batting Splits 2025

Performance splits by handedness, home/away, and situational categories.

Batting splits break down a hitter's performance across different game situations. Platoon splits (vs LHP/RHP) are the most predictive for DFS and prop betting. Minimum 10 at-bats displayed.

Season:

All Bases Loaded Lead Off Inning None On Runners On Scoring Position Scoring Position, 2 out

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS ▼
Julio Rodriguez	374	94	17	17	.251	.298	.436	.734
Daulton Varsho	124	26	9	9	.210	.258	.476	.733
Carlos Cortes	61	16	2	2	.262	.274	.459	.733
Edouard Julien	111	28	3	3	.252	.336	.396	.732
Reese McGuire	69	15	6	6	.217	.250	.478	.728
Pete Alonso	316	74	15	15	.234	.297	.430	.727
Ernie Clement	309	85	6	6	.275	.315	.411	.726
Spencer Horwitz	212	53	6	6	.250	.323	.401	.724
Alejandro Kirk	233	59	8	8	.253	.333	.391	.724
Adley Rutschman	193	47	5	5	.244	.324	.399	.723
TJ Friedl	392	97	11	11	.247	.352	.370	.722
Jake Cronenworth	228	54	6	6	.237	.343	.377	.721
Ryan McMahon	306	69	13	13	.225	.309	.412	.721
Coby Mayo	154	35	8	8	.227	.304	.416	.720
Yainer Diaz	299	79	11	11	.264	.297	.421	.719
Lenyn Sosa	273	66	15	15	.242	.266	.451	.717
Jung Hoo Lee	332	88	2	2	.265	.337	.380	.716
JO Adell	298	60	23	23	.201	.259	.456	.715
Jasson Dominguez	223	55	6	6	.247	.325	.390	.715
Yoan Moncada	142	29	7	7	.204	.285	.430	.714
Nolan Schanuel	304	78	7	7	.257	.341	.372	.713
Elly DE LA Cruz	351	84	11	11	.239	.292	.422	.713
Matt Chapman	249	55	9	9	.221	.326	.386	.712
Luis Arraez	357	103	4	4	.289	.324	.387	.711
Miguel Vargas	289	72	5	5	.249	.318	.391	.709
Jordan Beck	331	81	12	12	.245	.296	.411	.707
Brice Turang	348	88	10	10	.253	.330	.376	.706
Spencer Steer	286	66	11	11	.231	.310	.395	.705
Ezequiel Tovar	236	58	7	7	.246	.294	.411	.705
Randal Grichuk	158	37	6	6	.234	.280	.424	.704
Danny Jansen	146	30	7	7	.205	.314	.390	.704
Matthew Lugo	37	8	3	3	.216	.216	.486	.703
Tyler Freeman	243	68	0	0	.280	.352	.350	.702
Nasim Nunez	50	12	2	2	.240	.321	.380	.701
Jackson Holliday	391	96	12	12	.246	.322	.379	.700
Sam Haggerty	103	28	1	1	.272	.312	.388	.700
Casey Schmitt	171	43	6	6	.251	.297	.404	.700
Zach Dezenzo	46	11	1	1	.239	.352	.348	.700
Kyle Isbel	228	62	3	3	.272	.314	.386	.700
Christian Walker	310	73	13	13	.235	.293	.406	.699
Gunnar Henderson	347	84	9	9	.242	.304	.395	.699
Brandon Lowe	287	66	16	16	.230	.266	.432	.698
JJ Bleday	185	39	8	8	.211	.298	.400	.698
Johnathan Rodriguez	41	9	1	1	.220	.304	.390	.695
Nick Castellanos	275	67	9	9	.244	.297	.396	.694
Christian Moore	106	21	5	5	.198	.298	.396	.694
Gleyber Torres	320	72	9	9	.225	.349	.344	.693
Austin Wells	232	48	15	15	.207	.255	.435	.690
Tyler Heineman	92	23	2	2	.250	.310	.380	.690
George Valera	22	4	1	1	.182	.280	.409	.689

Sort by: OPS ▼ AVG SLG OBP AB HR

Julio Rodriguez

.734 OPS

AVG .251

OBP .298

SLG .436

HR 17

AB 374

H 94

RBI 17

Daulton Varsho

.733 OPS

AVG .210

OBP .258

SLG .476

HR 9

AB 124

H 26

RBI 9

Carlos Cortes

.733 OPS

AVG .262

OBP .274

SLG .459

HR 2

AB 61

H 16

RBI 2

Edouard Julien

.732 OPS

AVG .252

OBP .336

SLG .396

HR 3

AB 111

H 28

RBI 3

Reese McGuire

.728 OPS

AVG .217

OBP .250

SLG .478

HR 6

AB 69

H 15

RBI 6

Pete Alonso

.727 OPS

AVG .234

OBP .297

SLG .430

HR 15

AB 316

H 74

RBI 15

Ernie Clement

.726 OPS

AVG .275

OBP .315

SLG .411

HR 6

AB 309

H 85

RBI 6

Spencer Horwitz

.724 OPS

AVG .250

OBP .323

SLG .401

HR 6

AB 212

H 53

RBI 6

Alejandro Kirk

.724 OPS

AVG .253

OBP .333

SLG .391

HR 8

AB 233

H 59

RBI 8

Adley Rutschman

.723 OPS

AVG .244

OBP .324

SLG .399

HR 5

AB 193

H 47

RBI 5

TJ Friedl

.722 OPS

AVG .247

OBP .352

SLG .370

HR 11

AB 392

H 97

RBI 11

Jake Cronenworth

.721 OPS

AVG .237

OBP .343

SLG .377

HR 6

AB 228

H 54

RBI 6

Ryan McMahon

.721 OPS

AVG .225

OBP .309

SLG .412

HR 13

AB 306

H 69

RBI 13

Coby Mayo

.720 OPS

AVG .227

OBP .304

SLG .416

HR 8

AB 154

H 35

RBI 8

Yainer Diaz

.719 OPS

AVG .264

OBP .297

SLG .421

HR 11

AB 299

H 79

RBI 11

Lenyn Sosa

.717 OPS

AVG .242

OBP .266

SLG .451

HR 15

AB 273

H 66

RBI 15

Jung Hoo Lee

.716 OPS

AVG .265

OBP .337

SLG .380

HR 2

AB 332

H 88

RBI 2

JO Adell

.715 OPS

AVG .201

OBP .259

SLG .456

HR 23

AB 298

H 60

RBI 23

Jasson Dominguez

.715 OPS

AVG .247

OBP .325

SLG .390

HR 6

AB 223

H 55

RBI 6

Yoan Moncada

.714 OPS

AVG .204

OBP .285

SLG .430

HR 7

AB 142

H 29

RBI 7

Nolan Schanuel

.713 OPS

AVG .257

OBP .341

SLG .372

HR 7

AB 304

H 78

RBI 7

Elly DE LA Cruz

.713 OPS

AVG .239

OBP .292

SLG .422

HR 11

AB 351

H 84

RBI 11

Matt Chapman

.712 OPS

AVG .221

OBP .326

SLG .386

HR 9

AB 249

H 55

RBI 9

Luis Arraez

.711 OPS

AVG .289

OBP .324

SLG .387

HR 4

AB 357

H 103

RBI 4

Miguel Vargas

.709 OPS

AVG .249

OBP .318

SLG .391

HR 5

AB 289

H 72

RBI 5

Jordan Beck

.707 OPS

AVG .245

OBP .296

SLG .411

HR 12

AB 331

H 81

RBI 12

Brice Turang

.706 OPS

AVG .253

OBP .330

SLG .376

HR 10

AB 348

H 88

RBI 10

Spencer Steer

.705 OPS

AVG .231

OBP .310

SLG .395

HR 11

AB 286

H 66

RBI 11

Ezequiel Tovar

.705 OPS

AVG .246

OBP .294

SLG .411

HR 7

AB 236

H 58

RBI 7

Randal Grichuk

.704 OPS

AVG .234

OBP .280

SLG .424

HR 6

AB 158

H 37

RBI 6

Danny Jansen

.704 OPS

AVG .205

OBP .314

SLG .390

HR 7

AB 146

H 30

RBI 7

Matthew Lugo

.703 OPS

AVG .216

OBP .216

SLG .486

HR 3

AB 37

H 8

RBI 3

Tyler Freeman

.702 OPS

AVG .280

OBP .352

SLG .350

HR 0

AB 243

H 68

RBI 0

Nasim Nunez

.701 OPS

AVG .240

OBP .321

SLG .380

HR 2

AB 50

H 12

RBI 2

Jackson Holliday

.700 OPS

AVG .246

OBP .322

SLG .379

HR 12

AB 391

H 96

RBI 12

Sam Haggerty

.700 OPS

AVG .272

OBP .312

SLG .388

HR 1

AB 103

H 28

RBI 1

Casey Schmitt

.700 OPS

AVG .251

OBP .297

SLG .404

HR 6

AB 171

H 43

RBI 6

Zach Dezenzo

.700 OPS

AVG .239

OBP .352

SLG .348

HR 1

AB 46

H 11

RBI 1

Kyle Isbel

.700 OPS

AVG .272

OBP .314

SLG .386

HR 3

AB 228

H 62

RBI 3

Christian Walker

.699 OPS

AVG .235

OBP .293

SLG .406

HR 13

AB 310

H 73

RBI 13

Gunnar Henderson

.699 OPS

AVG .242

OBP .304

SLG .395

HR 9

AB 347

H 84

RBI 9

Brandon Lowe

.698 OPS

AVG .230

OBP .266

SLG .432

HR 16

AB 287

H 66

RBI 16

JJ Bleday

.698 OPS

AVG .211

OBP .298

SLG .400

HR 8

AB 185

H 39

RBI 8

Johnathan Rodriguez

.695 OPS

AVG .220

OBP .304

SLG .390

HR 1

AB 41

H 9

RBI 1

Nick Castellanos

.694 OPS

AVG .244

OBP .297

SLG .396

HR 9

AB 275

H 67

RBI 9

Christian Moore

.694 OPS

AVG .198

OBP .298

SLG .396

HR 5

AB 106

H 21

RBI 5

Gleyber Torres

.693 OPS

AVG .225

OBP .349

SLG .344

HR 9

AB 320

H 72

RBI 9

Austin Wells

.690 OPS

AVG .207

OBP .255

SLG .435

HR 15

AB 232

H 48

RBI 15

Tyler Heineman

.690 OPS

AVG .250

OBP .310

SLG .380

HR 2

AB 92

H 23

RBI 2

George Valera

.689 OPS

AVG .182

OBP .280

SLG .409

HR 1

AB 22

H 4

RBI 1

Understanding Situational Splits

Situational splits capture a hitter's performance in high-leverage game contexts — runners in scoring position (RISP), two-out situations, and clutch at-bats. These splits reveal which hitters elevate their game when it matters most.

RISP (Runners in Scoring Position)

RISP splits show how a hitter performs with runners on 2nd and/or 3rd. Some hitters elevate with RISP while others tighten up. For prop betting, high RISP splits indicate a hitter who thrives under pressure and may exceed their base projections in run-producing situations.

Two-Out Situations

Two-out hitting is a specific skill. Hitters who maintain high averages with 2 outs extend innings and create run-scoring opportunities. The "scoring position, 2 out" split is the ultimate clutch metric — it captures rally-extending at-bats under maximum pressure.

DFS & Betting Value

Situational splits help identify "clutch" hitters whose RBI and run totals outpace their overall stat line. A hitter with elite RISP splits batting 4th or 5th in a potent lineup is a prime RBI prop target. These splits also help explain why some hitters consistently outperform their projections.

Data Source & Methodology

Batting splits sourced from MLB Stats API. Stats reflect current season data and update daily as games are played.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is clutch hitting a real skill?: This is debated, but the evidence suggests that while most clutch performance is random variation, some hitters do have a repeatable ability to perform in high-leverage situations. Hitters with consistently high RISP splits across multiple seasons are more likely to have a real skill than those with one hot year.
How do I use RISP splits for prop betting?: Target hitters with strong RISP splits for RBI props, especially when they bat in the middle of a potent lineup. If the lineup around them gets on base frequently, a high-RISP hitter will have more opportunities to drive in runs. Combine with the opposing pitcher's RISP-allowed stats for the clearest edge.
What is the "scoring position, 2 out" split?: This is arguably the highest-pressure regular-season at-bat situation — runners on 2nd/3rd with 2 outs. Hitters who thrive here extend innings and produce outsized run totals. It's a small-sample split, so look for consistency across seasons rather than relying on one year's data.

MLB Batting Splits 2025

Understanding Situational Splits

RISP (Runners in Scoring Position)

Two-Out Situations

DFS & Betting Value

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