NHL DFS Ownership Projections Tonight — Nov 12
The essential DraftKings & FanDuel ownership tool — track projected ownership percentages to find leverage plays and build winning NHL lineups.
398 DraftKings & 364 FanDuel players projected tonight
Updated 6:55 PM ET
Average error: 3.1 ownership points across 33,397 player projections this season
NHL DFS ownership projections for the Nov 12 Main slate (DraftKings), updated 6:55 PM ET: the highest-owned plays are Kirill Kaprizov (17.5%), Connor Bedard (16.9%), Zach Werenski (16.9%).
DraftKings
C
80 players
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See every player's projected ownership on DraftKings & FanDuel — chalk, leverage plays, and showdown captains, not just the top of the board.
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169 players
LWMIN$8,300
RWMIN$8,000
RWMIN$3,500
D
122 players
G
27 players
Showdown Ownership — UTIL & Captain
NYI @ LAK · Showdown · Locks Thu, Nov 12 · 10:00 PM ET
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UTIL is a player's projected ownership in a flex slot; CPT is his projected ownership in the Captain/MVP slot — two different figures, not one restated.
Showdown, Afternoon/Early and primetime ownership is projected from a smaller player pool than the main slate, so expect wider swings.
Single-game ownership is projected by the same models as the main slate and updates continuously until lock.
Who are the highest-owned NHL DFS players on DraftKings tonight?
Connor Bedard ($5,500) leads centers at 16.9% projected ownership. Bedard projects for 2.3x value tonight, the best value of the top-owned centers. Tim Stutzle is next at 14.7%, then Joel Eriksson Ek third at 13.4%. Stutzle projects for 2.0x value tonight. Ek projects for 1.9x value tonight. Only 2.2 points separate the top two centers.
Kirill Kaprizov ($8,300) tops wingers with 17.5% projected ownership. Kaprizov projects for 2.1x value tonight. Matt Boldy ranks second at 15.8%, then Maksim Shabanov ranks third at 13.7%. Boldy projects for 1.8x value tonight. Shabanov projects for 2.2x value tonight, the best value of the top-owned wingers. Kaprizov is 1.7 points clear of Boldy.
Zach Werenski ($7,700) is the most-owned play among defensemen at 16.9% projected ownership. Werenski projects for 1.8x value tonight. Moritz Seider sits right behind at 14.5%, then Thomas Harley sits third at 11.6%. Seider projects for 2.1x value tonight. Harley projects for 2.1x value tonight. That's a 2.4-point gap between the top two defensemen.
Joel Hofer ($7,400) paces goalies at 14.8% projected ownership. Hofer projects for 2.0x value tonight. Linus Ullmark follows at 11.0%, then Jacob Markstrom rounds out the top three at 10.5%. Ullmark projects for 2.1x value tonight, the best value of the top-owned goalies. Markstrom projects for 0.0x value tonight. Ullmark trails Hofer by a wide 3.8 points.
How these ownership projections are measured
FTA's ownership models are machine-learning models that retrain and re-predict around the clock as news, lineups, and salaries change, so the projections keep getting sharper as a slate approaches. The NHL model's average error is 3.1 ownership points across 33,397 graded player projections.
FanDuel
NHL ownership really starts moving once starting goalies are announced, typically in the afternoon on game day. A confirmed starter in a strong matchup climbs fast, while backups and shaky starts fall off the board just as quickly.
On the skater side, ownership tends to bunch around top lines and first power-play units, since those are the most predictable paths to points. Decide early whether you want to join that crowd or build around a cheaper line the slate is overlooking.
Ready to put this ownership data to work? Use our NHL DFS lineup optimizer to build lineups that use ownership projections for DraftKings and FanDuel.
How ownership is projected
FTA's ownership projections come from machine-learning models that weigh salary, projected production, matchup quality, and recent usage trends, then keep retraining as news, lineups, and odds shift — so the numbers sharpen the closer a slate gets to lock. A player's ownership isn't just a readout of his projection; it also reflects how obvious, or hidden, a value play looks next to everyone else on the slate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are NHL DFS ownership projections?
- Ownership projections estimate the percentage of NHL DFS lineups that will roster a specific player in a given contest. Top-line centers in favorable matchups and power-play quarterbacks often lead the slate at 20-30% ownership, while third-line wingers and value defensemen may sit at 3-7%. Understanding ownership helps you decide which plays to fade and which to pivot to. This is also known as roster percentage.
How do ownership projections help in NHL DFS tournaments?
- NHL GPPs are won by finding low-owned players who deliver ceiling games. A 5%-owned second-line winger who lands on the power play and scores a goal plus an assist can single-handedly separate your lineup from the field. Ownership projections surface those pivot plays before lineups lock.
How does line stacking affect NHL ownership?
- Stacking a full line (center plus both wingers) or a top-six duo is the standard NHL DFS correlation play. The field tends to pile onto the obvious first-line stacks, so low-owned second-line or power-play stacks often provide better leverage when the matchup supports them. Check combined line ownership, not just individual players.
When are NHL DFS ownership projections available?
- Ownership projections are published once DraftKings and FanDuel post their nightly slates, typically by early afternoon. Projections update through the evening as starting goalies are confirmed and scratches roll in — confirmed starters almost always gain ownership, so the final numbers settle closer to puck drop.
What's the difference between classic and showdown/captain ownership?
- Single-game showdown slates split each player's ownership into two numbers: his standard UTIL ownership and his Captain/MVP ownership, since that roster spot pays 1.5x points and 1.5x salary. Check both before deciding just how crowded a play actually is.