FanDuel NBA Prop Hit Rates & Trends
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Daily Hit Rate
Hit Rate by Prop Type
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 1-3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| REB | 1-1 | 50.0% | 2 |
| AST | 3-0 | 100.0% | 3 |
| 3PM | 2-0 | 100.0% | 2 |
| PRA | 0-2 | 0.0% | 2 |
| P+R | 0-1 | 0.0% | 1 |
| P+A | 1-2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| R+A | 1-0 | 100.0% | 1 |
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 1-3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| REB | 1-1 | 50.0% | 2 |
| AST | 3-0 | 100.0% | 3 |
| 3PM | 2-0 | 100.0% | 2 |
| PRA | 0-2 | 0.0% | 2 |
| P+R | 0-1 | 0.0% | 1 |
| P+A | 1-2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| R+A | 1-0 | 100.0% | 1 |
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 1-3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| REB | 1-1 | 50.0% | 2 |
| AST | 3-0 | 100.0% | 3 |
| 3PM | 2-0 | 100.0% | 2 |
| PRA | 0-2 | 0.0% | 2 |
| P+R | 0-1 | 0.0% | 1 |
| P+A | 1-2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| R+A | 1-0 | 100.0% | 1 |
Recent Picks (Last 7 Days)
| Date | Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Proj | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/28 | Brandon Miller | 3PM | 6.5 | Under | 3.3 | 6.0 | W |
| 2/28 | Brandon Miller | REB | 7.5 | Under | 5.0 | 8.0 | L |
| 2/28 | Pelle Larsson | AST | 2.5 | Over | 4.3 | 4.0 | W |
| 2/28 | Bam Adebayo | PTS | 23.5 | Under | 18.3 | 24.0 | L |
| 2/28 | Jaime Jaquez | REB | 2.5 | Over | 5.0 | 3.0 | W |
See all recent picks and full trend history
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FanDuel NBA Prop Hit Rates: How Our Model Performs Against FD Lines
FanDuel is known for offering some of the sharpest player prop lines in the industry, which makes sustained profitability more challenging — but also more meaningful when our model identifies edge. Every day, our algorithm evaluates FanDuel's NBA player prop lines and flags the plays with the highest expected value. This page tracks those picks transparently so you can see exactly how our projections perform against FanDuel's odds.
FanDuel Prop Market Characteristics
FanDuel's prop markets often differ from DraftKings and BetMGM by half a point or more on certain stat categories. Our hit rate data by prop type reveals where FanDuel's lines are most beatable. Points props on FanDuel tend to be tightly priced given their high betting volume, while three-pointer and rebounds markets can offer more exploitable gaps between our projection and the posted line. Use the prop type table above to see where our model consistently outperforms FanDuel.
Maximizing Your FanDuel NBA Prop Strategy
Cross-reference these hit rate trends with our daily FanDuel NBA Best Bets to build a data-driven prop betting approach. A prop type showing 55%+ hit rate over 30 days on FanDuel suggests genuine model edge in that market, not just short-term luck. Focus your FanDuel prop plays on the categories where our model has the strongest sustained track record.