Best NBA PrizePicks Picks Today
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Sign Up Today →Today's best NBA PrizePicks picks for Friday, February 27 — our algorithm compares player projections to prop lines across sportsbooks to find the best MORE and LESS plays for your PrizePicks entries.
How it works: PrizePicks lets you pick 2-6 player props and predict whether each goes MORE or LESS than the posted line. We use our projection model to find the plays where our number diverges most from the line — giving you the highest-edge picks for your entries. All projections are algorithmic. Please play responsibly.
Top PrizePicks Plays
Updated 2:30 PM ET| Player | Team | Opp | Prop | Line | FTA Proj | Edge | Pick | Confidence ⓘ |
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Sam Merrill
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P+A | 13.5 | 19.7 ✓ | +6.2 (45.9%) | MORE | Medium |
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Sam Merrill
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PTS | 11.5 | 16.9 ✓ | +5.4 (47.0%) | MORE | Medium |
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Sam Merrill
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PRA | 15.5 | 22.9 ✓ | +7.4 (47.7%) | MORE | Medium |
See all 20 PrizePicks plays today
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Best NBA PrizePicks Picks Today
PrizePicks is the largest pick'em DFS platform in the US, letting you combine 2-6 player props into a single entry with payouts up to 25x. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, PrizePicks uses a simplified MORE/LESS format — you just need to decide whether a player will go over or under the posted line. Our model scans every available player prop line and compares it to our per-minute projection to surface the plays with the biggest edge.
How We Find the Best PrizePicks Plays
Our algorithm projects each player's stat line using season averages scaled to their expected playing time tonight. We compare that projection to the posted lines across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars — which closely mirror PrizePicks lines — to find where the biggest edges exist. Picks with a higher edge percentage and positive expected value are ranked first. We cover points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, blocks, and combination stats like PRA.
PrizePicks Entry Building Strategy
The key to PrizePicks is combining uncorrelated picks — players in different games whose outcomes don't influence each other. Start with our highest-confidence plays and mix prop types (don't load up on all points props). A typical winning strategy uses 3-4 pick Flex entries: these only require you to hit most of your picks to profit, giving you a cushion if one play misses. Use the Edge and Confidence columns to prioritize — high confidence picks with 15%+ edge are the foundation of a strong entry.
Understanding Edge and Confidence
The Edge column shows the gap between our projection and the posted line. A +3.5 edge on a points prop means we project the player 3.5 points above the line — a strong MORE signal. The Confidence rating converts the raw expected value into a simple High/Medium/Low scale: High means the edge is large enough to overcome typical variance, while Medium picks are still positive value but carry more risk. We recommend building entries primarily from High confidence plays.