DraftKings NBA Prop Hit Rates & Trends
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Sign Up Today →Track our DraftKings NBA player prop picks performance — see hit rates by prop type, trends over time, and detailed results for every pick we've made on DraftKings.
Daily Hit Rate
Hit Rate by Prop Type
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 1-3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| REB | 1-3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 1-3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| REB | 1-3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| Prop | Record | Hit Rate | Total Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| PTS | 1-3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| REB | 1-3 | 25.0% | 4 |
Recent Picks (Last 7 Days)
| Date | Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Proj | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/28 | Lamelo Ball | PTS | 15.5 | Over | 21.9 | 15.0 | L |
| 2/28 | Kelel Ware | REB | 12.5 | Under | 7.2 | 15.0 | L |
| 2/28 | Jrue Holiday | REB | 2.5 | Over | 5.2 | 5.0 | W |
| 2/28 | Amen Thompson | REB | 10.5 | Under | 7.8 | 11.0 | L |
| 2/28 | Miles Bridges | REB | 7.5 | Under | 5.6 | 8.0 | L |
See all recent picks and full trend history
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DraftKings NBA Prop Hit Rates: Tracking Our Model's Performance
DraftKings is the largest daily fantasy and sportsbook platform in the US, and their NBA player prop markets are among the most liquid available. Our algorithm scans DraftKings prop lines daily, identifying plays where our projection model sees meaningful edge over the posted line. This page tracks every DraftKings prop pick we've made and whether it hit or missed — giving you full transparency into our model's performance against DK's lines specifically.
How DraftKings NBA Props Compare to Other Sportsbooks
DraftKings tends to set competitive lines across all prop types, but our data shows that certain markets — particularly rebounds and assists — can offer softer lines compared to FanDuel or BetMGM. The hit rate breakdown above reveals where our model finds the most consistent edge on DraftKings. If you're building same-game parlays or straight prop bets on DK, use these trends to identify which prop types have historically hit at the highest rates against DraftKings lines.
Using DraftKings Prop Trends to Inform Your Bets
The recent picks table shows every DraftKings prop our model flagged, along with the projected stat, the actual result, and whether the pick hit. Look for prop types where our model sustains a 55%+ hit rate over 14 or 30 days — that indicates a durable edge rather than short-term variance. Combine these trends with our daily DraftKings NBA Best Bets page for the most complete DK betting strategy.