Winning on the Waiver Wire | Week 6 2017

Jerick McKinnon Minnesota Vikings

Players were being carted off at an insane rate around the league this past Sunday meaning we’ll be looking through numerous injury updates to determine the best waiver wire pickups for week 6.  Due to the heavy amount of injury news, this article will be updated regularly through Tuesday night (as more injury news comes out).  If you join the fantasy football discord server I post all updates there along with on this article.

Players listed in my weekly waiver wire article are owned in 50% or fewer of Yahoo leagues.  Suggested FAAB bids appear in green.

Week 6 Waiver Wire | Must Adds

I’ll open up our must adds section by stating that if you play in a waiver priority league, the smartest play may be to not make any waiver claims and move up in priority, as there are no clear cut home run picks available off waivers heading into week 6.  This clearly depends on your individual team needs.  If you have any questions, feel free to post them below to have them answered!

Javorius Allen / Andre Ellington / Aaron Jones all 56% owned are waiver wire must adds if still available

Adrian Peterson – RB – Arizona Cardinals (37% owned) | 21% FAAB

Red Arizona Cardinals logo on a grey backgroundMajor breaking news as Adrian Peterson has been traded to the Arizona Cardinals!  Arizona’s run game has been non-existent after the injury to David Johnson, and while the offensive line problems don’t figure to improve much Adrian Peterson should be an improvement in the run game over Chris Johnson.  Expect Andre Ellington to continue to serve as the change of pace back, but if AP is available you’ll want to scoop him up as he should be the starter relatively quickly for a Cardinals team that is looking to add some power to their run game.

Jerick McKinnon – RB – Minnesota Vikings (27% owned) | 16-21% FAAB

I’m still in a bit of shock that a player who had just 159 carries for 539 yards a season ago looked so impressive on Monday Night Football.  The Vikings upgraded their O-line this past offseason, and I’m willing to admit when I’m wrong as Jerick immediately took hold of the starting job in Minnesota by more than doubling Latavius Murray’s snap count.  McKinnon ripped off a 58 yard touchdown as part of his 146 total yards (95 rushing / 51 receiving) and appears to be the favorite for the starting job in Minnesota going forward.   The one silver lining here is that I did recommend McKinnon as the “Monday Night Special” ahead of the game, so hopefully some readers took that advice to heart and won’t have to pay up off waivers this week as McKinnon appears to be the top waiver wire pickup of week 6.

Elijah McGuire – RB – New York Jets (17% owned) | 11-16% FAAB

new york jets green logo on gray backgroundLast week’s running back darling Bilal Powell injured his calf in the first half against the Browns, opening the door for Elijah McGuire to be the workhorse.  Elijah didn’t exactly run away with the job however, racking up just 20 yards on 11 carries to go with 2 receptions for 10 yards.  It looks like Powell will be questionable heading towards gameday, thus the low FAAB bid for McGuire as you may not get workhorse touches out of him against the Patriots in week 6.  We’ll also have to keep an eye on Forte who continues to deal with turf toe, but if the stars align just right McGuire could see a heavy workload with both starters ahead of him sidelined by injury.

John Brown – WR – Arizona Cardinals (37% owned) | 11% FAAB

Red Arizona Cardinals logo on a grey backgroundWide receivers will be in demand off the week 6 waiver wire as owners lost both Odell Beckham Jr. and Davante Parker to injury (Parker looks like he shouldn’t be out too long).  John Brown clearly has issues staying healthy, but when he is on the field he is a solid WR2 as he has drawn 7 targets in back to back games since returning from injury.  On those 14 targets he has just 5 receptions for 73 yards and a TD so he may go a bit under the radar but chances are he is the most talented receiver available off waivers heading into a week 6 matchup with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

 

Week 6 Waiver Wire | Suggested Adds

Matt Breida – RB – San Francisco 49ers (6% owned) | 11% FAAB

Red and gold San Francisco 49ers logo with a black border on white backgroundBreida could very easily find himself as the top overall waiver wire add this week depending on the health of Carlos Hyde.  Hyde started against the Colts this past Sunday before tweaking his hip injury finishing with just 8 rushing attempts (most in the first half); while Matt Breida took over in the 2nd half piling up 10 carries for 49 yards.  Keep a close eye on the health of Carlos Hyde this week, as Breida’s suggested FAAB bid and add status will skyrocket if Hyde does indeed end up missing time.

UPDATE: Apparently Hyde was BENCHED and it had nothing to do with his hip.  While I don’t expect Breida to win the job outright, it’s certainly a situation to monitor more closely

Wayne Gallman – RB – New York Giants (39% owned) | 11% FAAB

New York GiantsI can already predict the comments.  “11% won’t win Gallman off waivers!”.  That is probably true, however I don’t want to spend a large amount of my bankroll to end up in RBBC purgatory like we’re seeing with the Ravens or the Seahawks.  The Giants are going to have serious issues moving the ball now as they lost nearly every receiver to injury against the Chargers.  Orleans Darkwa actually drew the “start” for the Giants while Gallman rotated series before Darkwa’s calf injury crept up on him.  Wayne may look great considering he has put up double digit fantasy points in back to back weeks in 0.5 PPR, but take a look at the Giants upcoming schedule with Denver, Seattle and then BYE.  After that stretch we can expect Paul Perkins and Orleans Darkwa to both be relatively healthy making this a 3 headed monster best left avoided unless you can pick up Gallman cheap.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins (28% owned) | 8-10% FAAB

new york jets green logo on gray backgroundThanks to injuries to both Rob Gronkowski and Charles Clay we could almost classify Austin Seferian-Jenkins as a must add off the week 6 waiver wire coming off a terrific 8 target, 6 reception, 29 yard, 1 TD game against the Browns.  If you need a tight end to fill in for bye weeks or injury woes, ASJ will likely be the top guy to target when waivers open up.  While he will likely struggle to find the end zone on a consistent basis the Jets should find themselves playing from behind regularly this season, especially with the Patriots (week 6) and Falcons (week 8) looming on the schedule.  At 6′ 5″ 262 lbs Seferian-Jenkins should hover around 50 yards per game but his red-zone upside is high enough to warrant an add in most leagues given the sheer amount of injuries to studs at the tight end position.

 

J.J. Nelson – WR – Arizona Cardinals (33% owned) | 6% FAAB

Red Arizona Cardinals logo on a grey backgroundIts true.  Both John Brown and J.J. Nelson are available in over 65% of Yahoo leagues this week.  When healthy either one of them should be able to start in most 12 team leagues as the Cardinals have no run game to speak of, meaning plenty of targets to go around for the WR corps.  J.J. managed just 4 receptions on 6 targets but thanks to his big play ability he managed 80 yards against the Eagles.  With Tampa Bay, Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers coming up 3 of the next 4 weeks J.J. is worth a look as a solid WR3/Flex type with touchdown upside on a weekly basis.

 

Roger Lewis – WR – New York Giants(0% owned) | 4% FAAB

New York GiantsInjury creates opportunity in the NFL, and there is no greater opportunity than the one presenting itself to Roger Lewis this week.  Odell Beckham Jr. is expected to be out for the season, Brandon Marshall multiple weeks, Sterling Shepard’s timetable is unknown and even Dwayne Harris broke his foot.  This means that Lewis is currently the only active and healthy WR on the Giants roster.  They will obviously go out and sign receivers, or promote from the practice squad, but Roger could suddenly find himself operating as the “WR1” for the Giants against stiff competition in the Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks.  Someone will have to catch the ball, and while Evan Engram and Shane Vereen may be first and second option, Roger Lewis could find himself with 6+ targets for the next few weeks making him an interesting speculative add.

Ricardo Louis – WR – Cleveland Browns (1% owned) | 3% FAAB

Cleveland Browns orange helmet logo PNGLouis’ targets have slowly been trending up for the Browns as he saw 6 targets in week 3, 9 targets in week 4 and finally 8 targets this past Sunday against the Jets with Kenny Britt sidelined.  The Browns figure to play from behind for most of the season meaning Louis should continue to see steady targets (at least until the Chosen One returns). The knock on Louis from many of his detractors was that most of his 9 targets in week 4 came from Kevon Hogan, however it appears that a QB change could be in the works as Hogan took over in the 2nd half and looked far more efficient than Kizer piling up 194 passing yards and 2 touchdowns against just one interception.  Ricardo is starting to look like the most reliable receiving option in what has turned into a revolving door at wide receiver in Cleveland.

Shane Vereen – RB – New York Giants (14% owned) | 2% FAAB

New York GiantsGiven his veteran experience you would expect Shane Vereen to assume a larger workload in this Giants offense, but whether through sheer ineptitude or poor play calling Vereen managed just 4 receptions (5 targets) for 27 yards through the air to go with 5 carries for 18 yards on the ground.  As mentioned previously the Giants schedule looks pretty brutal coming up with Denver and Seattle looming, but with no veteran options Vereen should find a way to get more involved in the offense.  In PPR leagues he’ll be a stronger add, but even in standard 12+ team formats he can be a risky flex play if you’re lacking in depth.

Taylor Gabriel – WR – Atlanta Falcons (17% owned) | 2% FAAB

Atlanta Falcons red falcon logo pngSome folks may have forgotten that the Falcons lost both Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu to injury against the Bills heading into their bye week.  Julio isn’t expected to miss any time while Sanu’s original timetable was 2-3 weeks meaning Gabriel should have at least one week of WR2 targets in the Falcons offense.  Taking a look at the upcoming schedule should have potential Taylor Gabriel owners salivating as Atlanta will face the Dolphins, Patriots and Jets the next 3 weeks.  If either Julio or Sanu ends up being out longer than expected Gabriel could end up being one of the top overall waiver wire adds of the week.

Marlon Mack – RB – Indianapolis Colts (8% owned) | 3% FAAB

I received so many questions about Mack I have to add him to this article.

Indianapolis Colts blue logo pngFrom everything I have read Mack struggles in pass protection and is more of a change of pace / 3rd down back for the Colts while one of Gore or Turbin will handle the early down / between the tackles running.  Mack is essentially a high upside handcuff like D’Onta Foreman or Alex Collins.  From a fantasy football stats perspective it absolutely makes sense that we would expect Mack to get more carries after a 9 carry 92 yard 1 TD performance, but as we’ve seen in Baltimore when Collins put up back to back weeks with 9 carries for 82 yards they don’t always ascend to the starting role.  Marlon’s weekly carries thus far: Week 1 10 carries, 24 yards (1 TD).  Week 2: 6 carries, -3 yards.  Weeks 3/4 out. Week 5: 9 carries, 92 yards (1 TD).  Everyone loves to jump on the flavor of the week when they post big numbers on limited touches, but I’m not interested in sinking a large amount of my FAAB budget into Mack with Gore / Turbin still healthy.

Ed Dickson – TE – Carolina Panthers (4% owned) | 2% FAAB

Carolina Panthers black panther logo with neon blue outline pngWow.  5 receptions for 175 yards.  2 plays of 50+ yards.  Ed Dickson now has 237 receiving yards the past 2 weeks.  To put that in perspective, he has completed 7 seasons in the NFL and gone over 275 yards for the SEASON just one time (2011).  Fantasy owners are left to wonder… is this a breakout? Is Ed Dickson channeling his inner Greg Olsen?  My gut says no.  Against the Patriots he drew just 4 targets catching 3 of them for 62 yards before hauling in all 5 targets for 175 yards against the Lions.  Ed won’t end up averaging 20+ yards per reception this season, so while he could be a decent streamer option for tight end needy teams, you also have to understand the risk of a 1 reception 12 yard game is strong (although that seems to be a risk with most tight ends outside the top 5 this season.)

Orleans Darkwa – RB – New York Giants (2% owned) | 1% FAAB

New York GiantsDid I mention the “Darkwang Duck” started?  He looked terrific piling up 69 rushing yards on just 8 attempts including a nice 23 yard touchdown run.  The biggest problem for Darkwa is the sheer number of red flags given his situation.  Upcoming schedule is awful, Giants O-line is a mess, Giants offense is a mess, Wayne Gallman is pushing for snaps and New York doesn’t seem interested in giving Orleans workhorse touches.  If you play in a sufficiently deep enough format that you want a “starter”, Darkwa is likely your guy but the situation appears to offer more headache than satisfaction.

Week 6 Waiver Wire | Deep League Pickups

  • Travis Rudolph – WR – New York Giants (0% owned)

    • Promoted from Giants practice squad

  • George Kittle – TE – San Francisco 49ers (1% owned)

    • 9 targets, 7 receptions, 83 yards and a TD against the Colts
  • Albert Wilson – WR – Kansas City Chiefs (1% owned)

    • With Chris Conley out for the season, Wilson could see a slight bump in targets
  • Markus Wheaton – WR – Chicago Bears (1% owned)

    • Played the most snaps of the Bears receivers (46) against the Vikings
  • Marquise Goodwin – WR – San Francisco 49ers (2% owned)

    • 11 targets, 8 receptions, 116 yards at Indianapolis
  • Nick O’Leary – TE – Buffalo Bills (0% owned)

    • 5 receptions on 6 targets, 54 yards. Viable deep league TE option with Clay out
  • J.D. McKissic – RB – Seattle Seahawks(31% owned)

    • Only has value while C.J. Prosise remains out.  McKissic is the backup pass catching RB

Monday Night Special

Depending on your league format (typically on Yahoo) you’re allowed to drop a bench player (even if they have already played!) and add a player off the waiver wire ahead of tonight’s MNF game (or a player on bye, so be sure to look for a guy like Taylor Gabriel if you need a WR)

This week’s Monday Night Special is one of three players depending on what you need more:

WR – Kendall Wright – Chicago Bears (14% owned) Perhaps he finds a connection with Trubisky?

RB – Jerick McKinnon – Minnesota Vikings (24% owned) Latavius could suffer an injury, or perhaps McKinnon simply outplays him

TE – Zach Miller – Chicago Bears (14% owned) Same story as Wright, perhaps Zach has a nice connection with Trubisky?

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12 Comments

    1. Such a tough call, but I’d have to go Buck. They trust him more around the goal line than Collins, and McKinnon looked great but that was just one week against the Bears

      1. Yeah its a real tough one but I was leaning towards Buck too. Just a tad more reliable.

        Thanks for the reply. As a new fan to both the NFL in general and fantasy especially, I enjoy reading your site. Cheers!

  1. Thanks for doing this, I love reading it every week!

    Quick question about QBs, any recommendations for replacements for Big Ben? I just picked up Siemian since he was on bye, but should I try for Mariota in the long run assuming he’s gets healthy soon? Or should I keep faith in Ben? Trubisky, Taylor, and Manning are also still available, but doubt they would be much better.

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