Welcome back Fanduelers! I wasn’t around yesterday, but Saturday and Friday went fairly well, and if you read my writeup for Saturday you were on guys like George Hill, Robert Covington, and James Johnson. 3/5 isn’t bad! Today we’ll be focusing on Steph Curry in an amazing game environment, and a few other pivots and GPP options on this very interesting 11 game slate. What I’m trying to do here for the most part is leverage ownership, while targeting players with upside to get you over 6x value. Sometimes, targeting guys that are more chalky is necessary in tournaments, especially on a site like Fanduel where you need to “win” the position, rather than maximize value. I’m also going to be limiting the number of “Other options” I mention to guys that only I personally would want to roster in tournaments.
If you join our FTA+ program and find us in chat in the forums, we will be happy to keep you updated leading up to tip off! Understanding which players benefit the most from others being out is critical to your NBA DFS success, and we help with that on a nightly basis. Don’t forget to check out our DFS NBA cheatsheet while you are here, we are still offering FREE 3 day trials, cancel anytime.
Steph Curry | Daily NBA Fanduel GPP Plays for 2/13/17
Steph Curry – Golden State Warriors ($9,400) @ Denver Nuggets
The good: Steph Curry has games of over 50 FPs in 4 of his last 6. The bad: Steph Curry’s other two games were under 30 FPs. Fortunately, one was a blowout against Chicago, and the other was a tough road game against Memphis. The rest of the news I have is all good, though, as we know Denver is about as soft of a matchup as it gets. They currently rank dead last in defensive efficiency on the season, and this game boasts one of the highest totals I’ve seen this season at 239. The spread is 11.5 points, which isn’t terrible, and given the game is in Denver there’s a chance the undermanned (Without Faried and Gallinari) Nuggets can keep it close. We also have two teams that rank top 5 in the NBA in pace, and the Nuggets rank 2nd worst on the season in terms of FPPG allowed to the point guard position. If this game does remain close you have to think Steph Curry has a shot for a 60+ FP game. I genuinely think some people will hesitate to take Steph Curry in this spot due to the possible blowout and some poor games recently, but that’s clearly a mistake in tournaments given the ceiling he has here. All systems go on Steph Curry.
Other options: Westbrook, John Wall, Damian Lillard, Kemba Walker, Jeff Teague, George Hill, Goran Dragic, TJ McConnell, Eric Bledsoe, Tyler Johnson, Jameer Nelson, Jrue Holiday
CJ McCollum – Portland Trailblazers ($7,700) vs Atlanta Hawks
Playing Tim Hardaway Jr. 35 minutes a night has it’s benefits. One of those benefits is not good defense, though, as he ranks a very mediocre 69th out fo 99 in DRPM at shooting guard. Despite having a top 5 defense, the Hawks have been getting bullied in the absence of Thabo Sefolosha, allowing the most FPPG to opposing shooting guards over their last 10 games (Sefolosha has missed their last 7). They’ve been somewhat poor in general on the season, too, allowing the 11th most FPPG to the position. All of the game totals are not finalized, but this one should have either the 2nd or 3rd highest total on the slate, and will be a fast paced game, as both teams rank in the top 11 of pace. Watch for Sefolosha’s status, but even if he’s active I’m not too concerned as he probably will be somewhat eased back into action considering how well Hardaway Jr. has played on the offensive end. I’m also not very excited about mostly everything else at shooting guard today, and at worst McCollum offers a very steady floor and has some room for upside at his current salary.
Other options: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Devin Booker, Klay Thompson, Victor Oladipo, Nicolas Batum, Gary Harris, Will Barton, Brad Beal, Wes Matthews, Evan Fournier, KCP, Jamal Crawford
TJ Warren – Phoenix Suns ($4,900) vs New Orleans Pelicans
Love me some TJ Warren tonight in all formats. First, he’s averaged over 30 FPs against the Pellies this year in 2 meetings in large part because they let Buddy Hield (or whatever bum they’re starting at SG) guard Warren, while Solomon Hill (who ranks 15th out of 80 in DRPM of small forwards) guards Devin Booker. Booker has struggled against the Pels, but Warren has flourished for that reason. That shouldn’t be expected to change as the Pelicans just beat the Suns last week. This game has most of everything you want with two teams ranking in the top 10 in pace, a nice juicy game total of around 220, and two teams projected to score close to 110 points a piece. The Pelicans remain a solid defensive team, ranking 9th in defensive efficiency, but that is negated when they put Buddy Hield on Warren, who ranks a horrid 94th out of 99th in DRPM combined with the fact that the Suns are at home in this one.
Other options: Kevin Durant, Gordy Hayward, Kawhi Leonard, Otto Porter, Robert Covington, Harrison Barnes, Marcus Morris, Michael Beasley
Nikola Jokic – Denver Nuggets ($10,100) vs Golden State Warriors
Jokic is pretty clearly one of the most interesting GPP plays of night. This game obviously has an absurd total of nearly 240, offers two teams playing in the top 5 of pace, and Jokic gets to go up against a team that struggles to defend talented big men. The only issue is potential blowout (which is somewhat negated by the fact they’re playing in Denver), and Jokic’s price, which is why I think he’s more of a GPP play for me. The good news for Jokic is he score 44 FPs against Golden State in their most recent meeting in just 25 minutes. While Golden State ranks in the middle of the pack against centers, they have allowed very strong games to guys like Anthony Davis, DeMarcus Cousins, and KAT, a group of guys I believe that Jokic belongs to. If you’re playing Steph, it makes some sense to also stack this game with Jokic. Also have to LOVE Noel with no Embiid or Okafor. He’s nearly a must.
Other options: Anthony Davis, Draymond Green, Paul Millsap, LaMarcus Aldridge, James Johnson (If Waiters is out), Serge Ibaka, Dirk Nowitzki, Nerlens Noel, Marvin Williams, Derrick Favors, Frank Kaminsky, Jamychal Green, Dario Saric, Ersan Ilyasova
Hassan Whiteside – Miami Heat ($8,800) vs Orlando Magic
Center is really not exciting me very much today, but Whiteside is quite intriguing to me for a few reasons. First, he’s absolutely destroyed Orlando this year, averaging over 50 FPs against them in two meetings. That should only improve now that Nikola Vucevic is starting at center. Second, I really don’t know if the market will be that excited to roster Whiteside after continuing to throw up duds after looking like he was back to his dominant self last week. I can’t imagine he’ll be over 15% owned given the slow pace of this game and low game total. Orlando actually hasn’t been that bad defensively against center’s recently, but do rank 8th worst on the season, and have dropped to 22nd overall in defensive efficiency. They also rank a very poor 24th in rebound rate, grabbing only 48.6% of available rebounds. We’re also on the positive side of his home/road splits where he averages nearly 7 FPS more at home. Considering the ceiling Whiteside offers and his projected ownership, it makes a lot of sense to get exposure in tournaments, and even cash games on DK where he’s only $8,100.
Other options: Nikola Vucevic, Andre Drummond, Marc Gasol, Rudy Gobert, Marcin Gortat, Dwight Howard, DeWayne Dedmon, Salah Mejri
Thanks for checking out today’s daily Fanduel GPP plays. Make sure to hop on chat tonight prior to tip off to get live analysis, takes, and injury news prior to tip off and learn more about Steph Curry.