Round the Bases (MLB Draftkings Picks) | 07/02/2019


Heavy hearts in the baseball world today as Angels Pitcher Tyler Skaggs passed away yesterday. He was 27 years old. God bless his family and friends from everyone at Fantasy Team Advice. Tonight we get a 15 game monster slate with Coors field and Arlington. We do have some weather to keep an eye on tonight so keep your eyes open. It is very important to check into our FTA Discord Chat each night as some of my plays here might change as lineups start coming out. Check out our A.C.E. Projection System as well to help with building your winning lineups. You can also follow and DM me on twitter @DRockDFS.

Pitcher

Charlie Morton, TB ($10,600)

The Rays are home against the O’s tonight with Charlie Morton taking the mound. Baltimore has the lowest IRT on the slate at 3.08 and gets a park downgrade. Against LHB this season Morton has a 31% K Rate and a 28.5% K Rate to RHB. 13.4% SwStr rate to with a 3.63 SIERA and a 3.33 xFIP just show how dominate Morton has been this year. Trevor Bauer has also has a great matchup tonight but I’ll gladly take the $1K discount against a Baltimore team that has a 23% K Rate against RHP and is bottom 5 in the league against RHP in ISO (.164) and wOBA (.299).

Others: T. Bauer, M. Boyd, D. Price, M. Straham

Infielders

Jose Altuve, HOU (2B, $4200)

Coors slate in full effect tonight. The Astros will face RHP German Marquez and don’t get me wrong he is great with a 2.5 xFIP and a .267 wOBA dating back to last year against RHB. In Coors this year he has a .339 wOBA against RHB. Altuve hasn’t been the Altuve we are all use to, but this price tag in Coors Field is just way to hard to pass up on. Over his L14 he has a 41% HH rate and will easily be a cash core for me tonight. If your looking to play more HOU, I would aim for their lefties as Marquez has a 4.6 xFIP with only a 16% K rate to LHB at home this year.

Trevor Story, COL (SS, $4500)

The Rockies will go up against one of Houston’s top pitching prospects tonight, RHP Jose Urqiudy. What a way to get thrown into the big league mix. It’s going to be hot and humid with wind blowing out and he Rockies have the highest IRT on the slate at 6.8 runs. Story is suppose to be coming back tonight after injuring his thumb. Some will stay away but at $4500, that is way to hard for me to pass up if he is in the lineup tonight. Story against RHP has just been dominate, especially at home where he has a .484 wOBA with a .400 ISO. This might be the only chance you get all year with him under $5K at home.

Others: M. Cabrera D. Murphy, J. Kipnis, N. Arenado, M. Semien, M. Rojas, Y. Diaz, M. Moustakas

Outfielders

Mike Trout, LAA (OF, $5600)

This is a tough one tonight with the Angels playing with very heavy hearts. Its hard to pass up on an IRT of 5.98 though in Arlington. Trout will face LHP Mike Minor and the Rangers in Arlington. You could make an argument to just play Blackmon for $300 more tonight in Coors but I’m leaning the discount as long as the value pops tonight. Trout this year has a .409 wOBA with a .275 ISO against LHP. Mike Minor has been good this year but his 4.6 xFIP against RHB dating back to last year still makes him very attack able along with his sub 40% HH Rate given up. If you are one that think emotions could have a negative effect tonight as Trout was very close with Skaggs there is no problem just paying up for Blackmon.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC (OF, $4100)

When DK sends me my mid-season report Schwarber is easily going to be my highest owned player this first half of the season since DK refuses to price him correct. He did go up a hair but $4100 is still a joke leading off for the Cubs. Tonight they face RHP Joe Musgrove. Musgrove dating back to last season has given up a .336 wOBA with a 4.3 xFIP against LHB and over his L30 he has a 44% HH Rate. Schwarber against RHP this year has a .336 wOBA with a .249 ISO. He has been chalk city for about two weeks now and I don’t expect nothing less tonight.

Others: C. Blackmon, Jose Martinez, J. Pederson, A. Verdugo, K. Davis, M. Betts, W. Calhoun, N. Mazara, S. Ohtani, J. Upton

If you also play on Fan Duel make sure to check out one of the greatest minds FTA has @Jac3600‘s daily FanDuel MLB article.

Join us in chat for more advice and picks for tonight’s slate, along with using our A.C.E. Projection System for help with building your winning lines for tonight. I should be in chat most of the day to answer your questions along with other analyst’s and you can always get a hold of me on Twitter as well. Good Luck tonight and Play Ball.

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