Round the Bases (MLB DraftKings Picks) |05/06/19


This was a really fun weekend of baseball as my Cubs swept the Cardinals to retake first place in the division. DFS went solid as well, cashing everything over the weekend and FTA had some more solid wins. Tonight we get a 9 game main slate with Boston and Houston both in good spots again and some elite pitching to choose from. There is a number of different ways to go tonight which makes this a very interesting cash slate. Not a ton of weather concerns tonight, possible isolated storms in CHI, LA, and SD but nothing to concerning just yet. It is very important to check into chat each night as some of my plays here might change as lineups start coming out. Make sure to join us in chat as we fully break down the slate and the other MLB analysts, including myself list our core plays for both cash games and tournaments. Check out our new A.C.E. Projection System as well to help with building your winning lineups. You can also follow and DM me on twitter @DRockDFS. Want to join us but are not sure if you want to pay a monthly sub fee yet? Send us a dm and we can get you a free trial to give us a test run.

Pitcher

Jacob DeGrom, NYM ($10,200)

You can go a number of different directions tonight with Cole, Scherzer, Snell and DeGrom all on the mound tonight for their respective teams. As of right now I am leading towards Degrom as my cash game ace. He is only $200 more than Max and $500 cheaper than Cole and easy to get to tonight. Some were wondering if he was broken as he struggled against MIN, ATL and MIL but then threw seven shutout innings against the Reds with six strikeouts in his last outing. He comes into tonight with an elite 39% K Rate and a 2.77 xFIP against RHB in 2019. SD will most likely be sending eight RHB to the plate tonight and they strike out at a 27% Rate against RHP this year, worst in baseball. Degrom gets a slight park downgrade but is still in a pitchers park with the wind blowing left to right tonight. I have no problem going to Degrom tonight if you want to save $500 off of Cole.

Infielders

Justin Turner, LAD (3B, $3900)

Turner and the Dodgers face the Braves and RHP Kevin Gausman tonight in LA. Over Turners last 30 AB’s he is slashing a 54.6% HH Rate, elite status, and a .334 wOBA. Turner is still priced under $4K and makes for a great value tonight as Gausman comes into the game with a 3.98 SIERA in 2019. Against RHB this year Gausman has a 4.89 xFIP, 45% FB Rate and a 36% HH Rate. He didn’t get the nickname Kevin Gascan by being an elite pitcher. Fire turner up tonight as he also gets a 7% HH Boost for tonight’s game.

Ben Zobrist, CHC (2B/OF, $3400)

This is not really a sexy pick but for cash games it gets some attention. Zobrist and the Cubs are firing on all cylinders right now and tonight they get RHP Sandy Alcantara and the Miami Marlins. Zobrist is only $3.4K tonight and should be leading off for the Cubs and their 4.5 IRT. The fact that you can put Zo at second or the outfield makes it even better. Dating back to last season Zo has a .341 wOBA and a 114 WRC+ against RHP. Alcantara on the other hand has a horrific 5.7 xFIP in 2019 with a .337 wOBA against LHB. Just like Turner, Zo is another great source of value on tonight’s slate.

Others: J. Smoak, M. Carpenter, J. Baez, A. Bregman, C. Seager, M. Gonzalez, J. Altuve

Outfielders

J. D. Martinez, BOS (OF, $5100)

It’s Boston’s turn to pick on Baltimore tonight and LHP John Means. Dating back to last season Means has a 4.7 xFIP against RHB and Boston has the highest IRT on the slate of 5.3 runs. Martinez is due for a coming out party and tonight could be that night as dating back to last season he is slashing a .442 wOBA, .297 ISO, 179 WRC+ and a 44% HH Rate. $5100 still seems a little to cheap for Martinez in this spot. J.D. is my #DFSHomeRunCall tonight. And no I will not be pitching Means tonight in any format.

Micheal Brantley, HOU (OF, $4900)

Brantley and the Astros get a date with RHP Jakob Junis and his 4.45 xFIP, .351 wOBA, and 43% HH Rate against LHB in Houston tonight. Brantley hitting cleanup for the Astros and under $5K seems like a miss price if you ask me. The Astros have a 5 run IRT tonight and over Brantley’s last 30 AB’s against RHP he is posting a .437 wOBA, .252 ISO, 183 WRC+ and a 35% HH Rate. You will want exposure to both HOU and BOS tonight and Brantley and Martinez seem like the perfect way to get it.

Others: R. Grichuk, K. Bryant, M. Betts, G. Springer, C. Bellinger, K. Schwarber, M. Kepler, N. Cruz

Join us in chat for more advice and picks for tonight’s slate, along with using our A.C.E. Projection System for help with building your winning lines for tonight. I should be in chat most of the day to answer your questions along with other analyst’s and you can always get a hold of me on Twitter as well. Good Luck tonight and Play Ball.

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