I didn’t get to watch much baseball this weekend due to the G.O.A.T. (Tiger Woods) winning the Masters tournament. If you haven’t played golf you need to check out FTA’s @AlexBlickle1 PGA Model. Nothing but green screens in the FTA community this weekend. Now to back to baseball as we get a nine game main slate tonight. Not much in terms of PPD weather tonight although we will keep an eye on the KC/CHW game as temps are going to be below freezing with wind chill tonight. NYM/PHI and LAA/TEX also have some strong winds blowing in tonight but we will keep checking on that as we get closer to lock tonight. Make sure to join us in chat as we fully break down the slate and the other MLB analysts, including myself list our core plays for both cash games and tournaments. Check out our new A.C.E. Projection System as well to help with building your winning lineups. You can also follow and DM me on twitter @DRockDFS. Want to join us but not sure if you want to pay a monthly sub fee yet? Send us a dm and we can get you a free trial to give us a test run.
Yu Darvish, CHC ($7800)
Over Darvish’s first three starts to begin 2019 he has had a 9.4, 5.6, and 4.6 xFIP. I have watched all three and he is steadily getting better. He has been prone to the long ball so far this year but tonight he gets the best pitching environment he has seen this year in Miami. The Marlins have a 25.7% K Rate to start 2019 and a 24% K Rate at home. Darvish is FTA’s #2 TruV pitcher on tonight’s slate which tells us he is completely under priced. I have no issue rolling out Darvish as my SP2 for tonight’s nine game slate.
Carlos Santana, CLE (1B, $4000)
This is one of those night’s I wish DK had a utility spot as there is many different ways to go at first base tonight. I want to highlight Carlos Santana here though as he gets a 16% HH Boost, according to the FTA A.C.E. Projection System, tonight against LHP Yusei Kikuchi and the Seattle Mariners. Over Santana’s last 30 AB’s against LHP he has a .429 wOBA, 174 WRC+ and a 52.4% HH Rate.
Zack Cozart, LAA (3B/SS, $3300)
This is more of a salary saver play but I am sure he will get plenty of ownership tonight if he does lead off against RHP Shelby Miller and the Texas Rangers. Cozart gets a big park upgrade and in two starts this year, Miller has a 9.7 xFIP and given up a 41% HH Rate. Miller hasn’t pitched much in recent years and is one of my favorite pitchers to attack from a DFS standpoint.
Others: J. Bour, J. Smoak, A. Simmons, B. Anderson, M. Carpenter, T. Shaw, A. Mondesi
Mike Trout, LAA (OF, $5600)
We are not for sure if Trout is going to play tonight but he has rejoined the team in Texas, which is a good sign. Before Trout sat out he was locked in at the plate and tonight gets a gift of a match up against Shelby Miller. Like I said above, Miller is my favorite pitcher to attack. In Trouts last 30 AB’s he has a .579 wOBA, .531 ISO, 285 WRC+ and a 48$ HH Rate. I might leave Trout for gpp tonight if he does play just in case the injury fires up again but I will never tell you to not play him in cash. If I do pivot off Trout it will be to Yelich in cash.
Whit Merrifield, KC (2B/OF, $4600)
The Royals face RHP Ervin Santana and the Chicago White Sox tonight. The Royals have a 4.4 IRT but I think if it wasn’t projected to be around freezing temps that would be about a run higher. Merrifield gets a 14.8% HH Boost tonight and has a 134 WRC+ and a 52.5% HH Rate against RHP in his last 30 AB’s. Santana is not the all star anymore that he once was and has a career 4.1 xFIP against RHB. Not only do you get what might be one of the safest floors in baseball right now with Whit but he also has steal upside which is a huge bonus in DFS.
Others: L. Cain, C. Yelich, T. Hernandez, R. Reyes, W. Myers, B. Nimmo
Join us in chat for more advice and picks for tonight’s slate, along with using our A.C.E. Projection System for help with building your winning lines for tonight. I should be in chat most of the day to answer your questions along with other analyst’s and you can always get a hold of me on Twitter as well. Good Luck tonight and Play Ball.Fantasy Baseball