Rick Baso Report: Night Slate


Bos VS Phi:

We have seen Terry Rozier price go from 4k a month ago to $6900 on DK and $7200 on FD. Each game Kyrie has missed, he has Avg. over 30 DK points which was good when he was cheaper, but he isn’t quite doing what he should be doing to justify his price. On FD, Brown, Hayward, and Morris are all priced between 5100-5300 dollars which makes all of them an easy fit if you are playing a SE double up or GPP. Each player gets an increase in usage and we are all well aware that Brown gets the highest bump at 4.2%.

Philly made some noise at the trade deadline signing Tobias Harris and letting go pieces of their young nucleus. Last two games after joining his new team, Harris has avg. a 19.8% usg rate, avg 35.6 FD points during this mini stretch meeting salary expectations just once out of the two meetings. Jimmy butler’s numbers pretty much stayed the same along with Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons. Not known to shoot already, Simmons has been playing bad since Harris has joined the team shooting a combined 8/23 and avg. 5.5 turnover during this stretch. The assist numbers are similar along with his usg. %. Teams have figured him out and are almost daring him to shoot. It’s disrespectful even. I would Avoid until he can prove he can hit a mid range shot. The line has jumped from 5- 6.5 favoring Philly. Interesting to see how high it really goes.

SAS vs Mem

This might be one of the worst games to watch in NBA history so God bless if you are able to do so. Since the trade deadline, we saw Mem. Break up their core and sent Gasol to TOR. Since leaving, Conley has been playing the same min and it seems to me they couldn’t find a buyer for him. The last two games have been ugly for Conley shooting a combined 7/26 and hitting just 1/11 3 pointers during this two game stretch after the deadline. The real winner of this trade was triple J. Better priced on DK at just 6200, you can expect for him to continue to impress. He’s avg 1.08 Dk points per minute with Gasol and Green gone. Ivan Rabb is still around but I think at this price, we can fire him up here. Anderson has also been ruled out for this Tuesday. Bradley played 25 min during his debut and Ivan Rabb started.

SAS

On a short slate where we have Bos providing value, it’s easy to spend your money on this slate. For the spurs, we can easily avoid the spurs value and look to their core of Gay, Derozan , and Aldridge. I cant help by recommending all 3. Spurs are a boring team and run their offense by either throwing the ball in the post and having Aldridge pass out to the wings or running Derozan and Gay off screens. I wish I made more for you here but it seems to be straight forward.

Magic VS Pels

Orlando gets a +4.2 pace bump today against the pelicans who are terrible on defense. Surprisingly blowing out their competition over their last two games. Looking at the game logs, you will see significantly less min for their studs Gordon and Vucevic but their lack of minutes are due to blow outs. The game projects closer than normal so expect both of them to play over 30 min. I love both of them today particularly Vuc who has a double/double in 4 out of his last five games. Isaac surprisingly has gone for 30 straight fantasy point games and has double digit shot attempts in attempts in two out of the last three games. He’s a DK only play for me hovering just over 5 k.

The pelicans are projected to score a touch above 114 points today and will more than likely get overlooked on a 3 game slate. The one person of course who will NOT be ignored is AD. He is still priced appropriately on FD at 12k but on DK, he makes sense at 10.3. There may be some who are hesistent to go here with the min cap around 25 min but no one has a better floor than Davis. With limited options on a 3 gamer, I would consider him a staple in lineups on DK while easily fading him on FD.

On the night slate:

76ers(116.5)and Pelicans(114.75)have the highest totals.

Magic(+4.2)and Grizzlies(+2.9) have the highest pace bumps

Magic have the highest projection over average at +5

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