This is one of the most complex weeks in NFL DFS but I think they’re plenty of spots we can take advantage of and be successful.
Playoff scenarios for this weekend:
Houston vs. Jacksonville: HOU won to win their decision and a win + NE loss for a bye
New England vs New York Jets: NE clinches a first round bye with a win
New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers: NO can win NFC south division title and also home field advantage
Chiefs vs Raiders: Chiefs can win AFC west division Title and Home field advantage throughout AFC playoffs with a win
LAC vs Den: LAC can clinch AFC west division title and home field advantage throughout AFC playoffs with a win + KC loss.
Ravens vs CLE: Baltimore clinches AFC north division title with a win or PITT loss.
PITT vs. Cincy: PITT needs to win + BAL loss.
Rams vs 49ers: Rams already won the NFC west but needs a win to secure first round bye.
Bears vs Vikings: Bears already won the NFC north but needs to win + Rams to lose. Bears starters are at risk to be subbed out if Rams are up big by half time.
Eagles vs Washington: Clinches a playoff berth with a win and a Vikings loss.
Vikings vs Bears: Vikings clinch playoff berth with a win + a Eagles loss
Seahawks vs Arizona: Seahawks can clinch a Wild card. Already came out and said they will play their starters but this game can get out of hand and starters have a risk of being pulled.
High Priced QBs I’m interested in:
Mahomes, Big Ben, Rodgers, and Rivers
- Mahomes has thrown for either 300 yards or three touchdowns in all but two games this season. The Chiefs unfortunately have lost 3/5 games but the Chiefs still need a win so this sets up as a perfect bounce back spot for the team as a whole. The raiders are one of the worst teams in terms of their pass rush and Mahomes is leading the league with 9.5 adjusted yards per attempt. The thing with Mahomes is that while he’s expensive. They’re so many cheap punts on the slate that it’s pretty hard not to play him today.
- Big Ben: he draws a dream matchup against Cincy on Sunday and why can’t he have a repeat performance of last week when he threw for 3 touchdowns and 380 yards. This is the perfect storm for the Steelers offense. Big Ben is at home and in a must win. We are all aware of his home road splits which is another check in the roster column for him. Since the bye week, Big Ben is throwing on avg. of 312 yards and 2.33 touchdowns while completing 68% of his passes. He is a great pivot from a chalky Mahomes if you want to differentiate.
- Aaron Rodgers has publicly stated that he will play out the rest of the season in an attempt to show his team and the fans that he is a leader and just one of the guys. Rodgers has 742 yards and 7 TD over his last two and may draw some ownership after blowing up last game. While Big Ben and Mahomes being strong cash plays, This road can be an option and for Rodgers, let’s thank God he has Davante Adams.
- Rivers is coming off a performance where he went for just 181 yards and two picks. While that is an area for concern, old man Rivers loves playing in Denver. He’s already put up a 400 burger on them in week 11 where he also threw for two TD. I’m expecting a repeat performance.
The next Tier is an Interesting one.
You have Goff and Ryan separating themselves by just 100 dollars on DK but on FD, Ryan cost 700 dollars more than Goff.
Ryan gets the luxury and I guess the Price bump on FD for his matchup against a Tampa Bay defense who can’t stop anyone right now. The falcons are also implied for a 26.75 team total.
Goff is averaging 362 yards with 18 TDS in seven games at home which makes him interesting if you want half the ownership that BIG Ben and Mahomes get but with similar upside.
The next tier is also very interesting:
You have Bridgewater(If Drew sits), Josh Allen.
Bridgewater will draw the start if NO decides to bench Drew. The issue would be that if he does start, how much will Payton allow him to throw? There’s a possible where they decide to run the entire game which would limit Teddy upside. However, he has averaged 7.2 yards per attempt and has a 65% completion percentage over his career.
Josh Allen: This can be a boom or bust play considering his rushing upside. The issue is that the majority of his rushing yards are on plays that are not designed. The bills offense as a whole has been bad avg. just 16 PPG over their last three game.
Honorable mentions: Bortles. LOL he’s 4.4 k but he is making his last start in JAX. He’s so cheap, but worth a shot if you’re MME.Fantasy Football, Random FTA articles