Yesterday was a bad day. Thanks to Doug McDermott’s ineffectiveness and a Portland blowout against the Lakers, my DraftKings winning streak came to a half and my FanDuel losing streak continued (and I bet a LOT). I’m confident we’ll get it back tonight as Wednesday presents us with a sweet six-game slate (say that five times fast). Kevin Love immediately pops as my top value on the slate, so we’ll look at the best way to build around him.
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Kevin Love is a Top Value | FanDuel 1/11
Russell Westbrook, OKC
Westbrook will likely be a GPP-only play for me tonight. He’s always the top PG by a long shot, but the matchup with Memphis removes some upside as they rank 28th in pace and third against opposing PGs. The Grizzlies also have the longest streak in the NBA of not allowing a triple-double.
SECONDARY TOP PLAY
Chris Paul, LAC
Paul has been insanely efficient since returning from injury. His two FD scores are 42.2 and 56.2 while only averaging 30 minutes of work per game. This isn’t the most prolific game environment, but Paul is fifth in the league in PER and gets such a huge usage boost with Blake Griffin out. Orlando ranks 21st in defensive efficiency against PGs and CP3 is still underpriced on FD.
Other options – John Wall, Damian Lillard, Isaiah Thomas, Kyrie Irving
Mid-tier options – Mike Conley, Derrick Rose (yeesh)
T.J. McConnell, PHI
There are really no low end plays at PG that pop (which means you want to consider spending up for two of them). McConnell has risk associated with him since Sergio Rodriguez is healthy, but McConnell did still start last game en route to 36 minutes. It seems as though Philly is prepared to hand him the keys to the starting position going forward (a good move since they’ve won three of four), and McConnell is facing the Knicks who are dead last in defensive efficiency over the last eight games (and have also allowed the most FPPG to opposing PGs in that time frame).
Other options – Ricky Rubio, Patrick Beverley, Austin Rivers, D.J. Augustin
James Harden, HOU
I’d really love to not have to pay for Harden tonight, but the SG position is such garbage today that it’s starting to look like a necessity (even though he’s not as good a value with his price tag up to $12,400). Minnesota ranks first against SGs but 27th against PGs, and Harden dropped 57.3 FD points on Minnesota the last time they played. There are, of course, efficiency worries with Harden on the second game of a b2b, but his insane usage and assist rates rarely let us down.
Other options – None
Mid-tier options – Bradley Beal, Zach Lavine (GTD)
UPDATE: Zach LaVine is DOUBTFUL to play tonight. Andrew Wiggins becomes a much better play at SF if he’s ruled out, and Kris Dunn or Shabazz Muhammad could move into the starting five. Stay tuned.
J.J. Redick, LAC
Redick is so scoring dependent that I hate rostering someone like him in cash, but that’s really the state of the position tonight. Redick is hot right now, beating his value threshold in each of the last four contests while averaging 36 MPG. Orlando ranks well against SGs but you’re playing the price tag/opportunity and usage boost here. If you like narrative, he’s going against his former team.
Other options – Evan Fournier, Victor Oladipo, Jamal Crawford, Courtney Lee