Can you trust Miami running back Jay Ajayi?
Week four is over and now fantasy football gets to be exciting. Injuries, bye week, workload and match ups all come into play in a big way at this point of the season. As you know each week I will be here to help alleviate the fantasy decision making process. Here I am offering you five starts and five sits at the running back position. You will obviously be starting your studs every week so no need for me to tell you that David Johnson or guys of similar talent are ones that you want in your lineup every week. Instead I will be focusing on the RB2 and Flex positions where you probably aren’t really sure who will produce. Additionally, I will provide some projected stat lines but please take those with a grain of salt. Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter, share this page and comment down below! Now it is time to check out why Jay Ajayi is a must start this week, Fins up! To see more advice on all positions be sure to check out the Fantasy Football Start Sit hub.
Must Start: Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins vs TEN
As long as Arian Foster does not play then Jay Ajayi is shaping up to be one of this weeks top options in the RB2 range. Now that Miami is planning to do away with their abysmal four man running back committee, owners can expect to see Ajayi get plenty of touches. This bodes well for Jay Ajayi as he is the assumed primary back and has a easy opponent in the Titans. He will exceed ten carries no matter what and that should equate to good fantasy points while hosting Tennessee. With goal-line work an added bonus, he becomes a very sneaky start this week.
Projection: 13 carries, 66 yards, 2 TDS; 3 catches, 10 yards
Start: Terrance West, Baltimore Ravens vs WAS
If you scooped up West off of the wire then congrats. He is an addition that you should feel confident playing right away. The Ravens like to split carries among the backs however by posting a 21-113-1 line against the Raiders we see that West will be the feature back. With Justin Forsett being cut it boosts the value of the entire backfield. So far this season the Redskins have been giving up a lot of fantasy points to running backs on the per week basis. A home match up will drive up West’s value even more. He is somebody that should be starting in almost all lineups.
Projection: 19 carries, 90 yards, 1 TDS; 3 catches,18 yards
Start: Matt Jones, Washington Redskins @ BAL
Sure he is no Ajayi, but coming off of a 100 yard game and a near twenty point fantasy performance you should be playing Jones this week. He can handle a big workload and should function as the top dog for Washington, at least for now. Baltimore does have a good defensive unit but the agility and balance of Jones is going to keep him running the whole game. 100 yards against the Browns doesn’t seem like a big deal but he has the upside to repeat that this week. While they may not all be on the ground, those yards will lock him in at a floor of ten points. The rest is just bonus.
Projection: 19 carries, 85 yards, 0 TDS; 2 catches, 19 yards
Start: Darren Sproles, Philadelphia Eagles @ DET
Sproles had a big catch and run before the bye week which led to his 6-126-1 line. So why start him against Detroit. He is a low floor-high ceiling type player but this week he is ready to keep his scoring streak alive against Detroit. He needs to get more involved in the running game but his 5+ receptions per game is going to give you something week in and week out. The Eagles are really mixing up their rushing attack and this is shaping up to be a Sproles type of game. He is a TD threat through the air, on the ground and running back punts. On of the highest upside players every year.
Projection: 4 carries, 19 yards; 7 catches, 67 yards, 1 TDS
Start: Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons @ DEN
This is a play I love this week. Tevin Coleman may be unable to play at the altitude due to his sickle-cell trait and many will be fading Freeman due to his match up against Denver’s defense. In seasonal formats you will be starting him no matter what, but just know the Denver defense shouldn’t be as spooky as it seems. As for DFS players you can find Freeman at a reasonable price and he should meet at least two times value. His affordability will help you create versatility in the rest of your lineup.
Projection: 19 carries, 70 yards, 1 TDS; 5 catches, 20 yards
Sit of the Week: LeGarrette Blount, New England Patriots @ CLE
Blount is going to see a massive decrease in work this week. The Browns play the Patriots close so I do not think this is going to be a game won in the first quarter. Brady is returning which means the Pats will be more than happy to air out the ball and depending on if Haden plays we can see the biggest line come from an outside receiver, not a running back. Additionally, James White is going to suck away catches from Blount. If he does not score he will not be worthwhile on Sunday.
Projection: 16 carries, 50 yards, 0 TDS; 1 catch, 3 yards
Sit: Isaiah Crowell, Cleveland Browns vs NE
Crowell is number two in rushing yards through four weeks. Gross. While Kessler is going to lean on the run to help stay in the game we will not see the games we have been from Crowell. Both teams will be airing it out and the Pats defense looks pretty for real this season. While he may turn out to be a fantasy playoff darling in the latter part of the season, he has some tough games coming up and it may be time to sell the Brown’s top dog. Do not expect the 20 point games you are used to. And don’t forget, this is the Browns.
Projection: 13 carries, 52 yards, 0 TDS; 2 catches, 5 yards
Sit: Bilal Powell, New York Jets @ PIT
A lot of sites had Powell as a top add off the wire. Personally I think Forte is going to play and although they are aware that they are overworking him he should not see to much of a decrease in carries. If the Jets are playing from behind then the entire backfield may not see too many touches so I think Powell is a definite sit. His receiving element makes him a tempting start in PPR but you should let him ride the bench one week before plugging him in. No reason to touch him in DFS.
Projection: 5 carries, 18 yards, 0 TDS; 5 catches, 34 yards
Sit: Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings vs HOU
McKinnon had a monster game against the Giants “new and improved” defense which will put him in a position of high expectations this week. Prepare to have those expectations let down, even against a Houston defense minus J.J. Watt. Sure the Texans have been one of the worst teams against the run to start the year but if this team is going to give Osweiler any chance at winning games it needs the unit to step up. After allowing two scores to DeMarco Murray they will be much more stingy this week even in a tough road match up.
Projection: 12 carries, 40 yards, 0 TDS; 3 catches, 19 yards
Sit: Eddie Lacy, Green Bay Packers vs NYG
For most of you Eddie Lacy will be in your lineups if you own him. Unless you have a plethora of running backs to choose from then you will have no choice really. The Giant’s defense, referenced above as “new and improved”, actually has done a great job at stopping the run. The best running backs can secure the edge and get past the elite D-Line of New York but with a one dimensional back like Lacy there will not be much chance for a big game. All he can do is run up the middle and good luck doing that against guys like Vernon and JPP. Sit him.
Projection: 14 carries, 57 yards, 0 TDS; 2 catches, 7 yards