I’m sitting here buried under a little over a foot of snow, and this storm is just getting started. The sliver lining is there’s plenty of time to do NBA research for this epic Monday slate we have on tap. There are tons of fun matchups today, and the highlight is the Golden State/Denver game which features an O/U of 239 (I’ve never seen a starting like that high). We also have some injuries and trades opening up (I don’t know if Jusuf Nurkic and Mason Plumlee will be available as they were traded for each other yesterday). I’ll try and post any updates on twitter @jac3600.
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Golden State of Mind | FanDuel Daily NBA 2/13
Russell Westbrook, OKC ($12,600)
You know the drill by now with him. He’s the top projected scorer at the position, but there are multiple PGs I like better from a value perspective (starting with the Golden boy in Golden State).
SECONDARY TOP PLAY
Stephen Curry, GS ($9400)
Curry is a lock for me tonight, as is Durant from the same game. The Golden State/Denver O/U is sitting at an insane 239 points, and Curry is still the lead usage play on the Warriors with a 28.3% mark. The Nuggets rank dead last in both overall defensive efficiency and last against PGs as well, making this an incredibly easy call.
Other options – John Wall, Damian Lillard, Eric Bledsoe, Jrue Holiday
Mid-tier options – Mike Conley, Kemba Walker, Jeff Teague, Dennis Schroder
Tony Parker, SA ($4500)
This is an obligatory cheap play just for the purpose of having options, but I fully plan on using Curry along with one of the names above. Parker is on the second game of a b2b so there’s rest risk here, but the Pacers rank 13th in pace and 20th against opposing PGs. If any of the OTHER Spurs were to rest and Parker didn’t, he becomes more viable.
Other options – George Hill, T.J. McConnell, Matthew Dellavedova
C.J. McCollum, POR ($7700)
Giannis Antetokounmpo is so incredibly overpriced that I’m not even considering him for GPP tonight. McCollum is an excellent play (and value) since his price has finally come back down to a point where he’s considered Lillard’s understudy. McCollum will see a solid boost to his usage (it’s right around 30% with Plumlee off the floor) and assist rates with Mason Plumlee out of town, and the Hawks rank 20th in defensive efficiency against SGs. This game may get lost in the shuffle but it has a two-point spread and 219 O/U.
Other options – Nicolas Batum
Mid-tier options – Klay Thompson, Devin Booker
Will Barton, DEN ($5800)
Barton was a disappointment last game as he only played 22 minutes against the Cavs, but keep in mind he still logged over a FanDuel point per minute. Kenneth Faried and Danilo Gallinari have already been ruled out, and Barton should see 30+ minutes in a game that is going to play to fast, small-ball basketball. The matchup is neutral (Golden State is 15th against SGs), but everyone in this game environment is viable.
Other options – Gary Harris, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Even Fournier, Tyreke Evans, Allen Crabbe
Kevin Durant, GS ($10,100)
Durant is too cheap for this matchup, and he and Curry are my building blocks on the expensive side of things. The Nuggets rank 23rd against SFs and these two teams rank second and fifth in pace. Golden State has an unbelievable team total of 125.5 and you need multiple pieces of exposure to it. Why not roster the best two?
Other options – Kawhi Leonard
Mid-tier options – Wilson Chandler, Robert Covington, Harrison Barnes
Chandler Parsons, MEM ($3600)
Do not forget about the Grizzlies tonight. The Nets represent the best matchup from a defensive standpoint as they rank first in pace, 28th in overall team defense, and allow the most FPPG to opposing SFs. Parsons’ minutes are being heavily monitored, but he should see about 25 tonight and was able to average a FanDuel point per minute last game against the Suns (the Nets offer a similar matchup and are even worse defensively). Parsons is a way to get access to the Grizzlies’ 110 team total (second highest) at almost a minimum price.
Other options – Marcus Morris, T.J. Warren, Michael Beasley, Maurice Harkless, Vince Carter
Anthony Davis, NO ($11,100)
I have Davis behind the Golden State players in terms of priority, but Davis is absolutely cash viable as well. The Suns allow the fourth most FPPG to opposing frontcourts and rank third in pace, and Davis just recently torched them for 58.4 FD points. He is finally looking (dare I say) healthy, and routinely logs 40 minutes when he is. The Suns also allow the fifth most blocks per game and are likely missing Tyson Chandler tonight as well.
Other options – Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Draymond Green (all cash viable)
Mid-tier options – LaMarcus Aldridge, Zach Randolph, James Johnson
Nerlens Noel, PHI ($5400)
Joel Embiid and Jahlil Okafor are both out for the Sixers on Monday, and Noel logged 32 minutes last game against the Heat. He gets a nice matchup against the Hornets who rank 22nd against opposing centers and will be without Cody Zeller again who is a very solid defender. Noel is severely underpriced for this type of role and averages 1.14 FD points per minute.
Other options – Frank Kaminsky, Marvin Williams, Terrence Jones (GTD), Dirk Nowitzki, Ed Davis (if Nurkic is unavailable), Alex Len (if Tyson Chandler out)
Marc Gasol, MEM ($8500)
Gasol has the highest floor/ceiling combination of all the Grizzlies players, but unfortunately he’s also priced that way. I still think $8500 is a fine price to spend if you have the funds, and he gets to face a Nets team that ranks 28th in overall team defense, 26th against centers, and 27th in rebounding rate. Gasol can also contribute assists and defensive stats. He’s one of the safest plays on the slate.
Other options – Hassan Whiteside, Andre Drummond
Mid-tier options – Rudy Gobert, Nikola Vucevic, Al Horford, Dwight Howard (best value)
Dwight Howard, ATL ($6800)
Howard is far too cheap on FD at $6800 and I’ll likely be locking him in at that price. Howard has an elite 24% rebounding rate and is facing a Portland team that ranks 28th against opposing frontcourts and 24th in rebounding rate. They are also without Mason Plumlee after trading him to the Nuggets, and if Jusuf Nurkic is unavailable there is no one near capable of defending Howard in the post. He strikes me as almost a free space tonight.
Other options – Steven Adams, Myles Turner, Tyson Chandler (GTD)
Daily NBA, DFS Lineup Advice