It’s time once again for the weekly NFL writeup, where all things FanDuel are covered here at FTA+. Last week left a little to be desired in GPP thanks to a terrible performance by the Panthers defense and an injury to Kelvin Benjamin, but Kirk Cousins propelled my cash lines into the money (making me 3 for 3 so far this year with a 100% cash rate). Let’s keep it going this week, and we’ll be working hard for you in FTA+ chat (including tonight). I’m also on twitter @jac3600.
Fanduel NFL Week 4
Fanduel NFL Week 4 QUARTERBACK
Tom Brady, NE ($9500)
Brady is a bit too expensive to fit the cash game mold this week, but he’s really proving time and time again that he’s the best quarterback in the league, and no other QB matches him in terms of weekly upside. The matchup with Carolina is tough (Panthers are ninth in DVOA against the pass), but the fact that the Pats defense is currently the worst in the league should ensure that Brady has to throw for all four quarters (like last week). He’s an elite GPP option as his high price tag should keep ownership down.
Other options – None
Russell Wilson, SEA ($7900)
For the second straight week, my cash QB is likely to come from the last game of the day on Sunday. After dudding in the first two weeks, Wilson went ballistic in week 3 and reminded us all what he’s capable of. Now he gets the Colts who are ranked 30th in overall DVOA and are ranked 24th against the QB. The Seahawks have the second highest implied total on the slate at 28 points, and Wilson’ legs add to his floor and ceiling.
Other options – Matt Ryan, Marcus Mariota, Dak Prescott
Carson Palmer, ARI ($7400)
Old man Palmer is in a good spot this week, and he can be used for cash if you want to save a few more bucks. The 49ers rank 23rd against the QB position and have shown a wide disparity in their defensive schemes. They rank 30th in DVOA against the pass and 13th against the run, so an aerial attack seems like an appropriate course of action (especially since David Johnson is not a factor). Larry Fitzgerald also reminded us that he can make any QB still look good.
Other options – Eli Manning, Philip Rivers, Jameis Winston, Andy Dalton, Tyrod Taylor
Fanduel NFL Week 4 RUNNING BACK
Ezekiel Elliott, DAL ($8500)
Zeke has a MUCH friendlier matchup than LeVeon Bell this week, which I think makes him the clear choice of the two for cash. The Rams are ranked 19th in DVOA against the run and have also allowed the second most FPPG to opposing RBs for the season, and Elliott looked to get his efficiency back on track last week against Arizona. The spread of this game is close and has all the look of a grinding game (RB vs RB).
Other options – LeVeon Bell, LeSean McCoy, Todd Gurley, Devonta Freeman
Leonard Fournette, JAX ($7700)
I’m not entirely comfortable with Fournette’s price tag right now considering Chris Ivory has increasingly been stealing some snaps from him, but this is the matchup to play him in. The Jets rank 25th in DVOA against the run which should help Fournette’s efficiency issues, and this is a perfect game for Jacksonville to try and control the clock. I like Fournette’s floor for at least 80 yards and a TD.
Other options – Dalvin Cook, Melvin Gordon
Chris Carson, SEA ($6600)
I’m a little torn on this because I don’t like using a QB and RB together in cash (especially a running QB), but Carson is such a good value on FD that he shouldn’t be ignored. Carson has grabbed a hold of Seattle’s RB1 and ran with it (literally). Eddie Lacy and Thomas Rawls are non-factors and C.J. Prosise is out this week with an injury, so Carson should get a full workload against the Colts who rank 20th in DVOA against the run. Seattle is a 14-game favorite, so I like Carson to be the one getting all the looks in the fourth quarter in this one.
Other options – Carlos Hyde, Marshawn Lynch, Christian McCaffrey, Bilal Powell, Joe Mixon
Fanduel NFL Week 4 WIDE RECEIVER
A.J. Green, CIN ($8000)
Here’s a surprise. On a week where Brown, Jones, and Beckham are all available, I actually think Green is the best WR play (and he’s the cheapest of the four as well). New OC Bill Lazor immediately centered his offensive scheme around Green, and you can bet we’ll see even more of that as the Bengals are in a must-win situation. Green has torched the Browns in his career, and Cleveland ranked 29th in DVOA against the pass a year ago.
Other options – Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Odell Beckham, Brandin Cooks, Mike Evans
Keenan Allen, LAC ($7300)
Allen is still not priced for his potential on FD and he makes for a fine cash target. Allen has received 29 targets over the first three weeks and gets to face an Eagles squad that allowed the most plays per game last season and is fourth so far this year. Philly’s secondary is banged up and they just got absolutely shredded by Eli Manning and the Giants in all areas of the field. Count on a super high floor from Keenan.
Other options – Doug Baldwin, Stefon Diggs, DeAndre Hopkins, Golden Tate, Alshon Jeffery
Larry Fitzgerald, ARI ($6700)
Once again, Monday night games are valuable because the pricing does not catch up on the player the following week (Fitz should conceivably be $1000 more than this). As I pointed out in Carson Palmer’s blurb, matchup and game script should force Arizona into a lot more throws this week and the 49ers are 30th in DVOA against the pass. Larry Fitzgerald just received 15 targets against the Cowboys on Monday night and there is no one in San Fran’s secondary to prevent him from doing his stuff again.
Other options – Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Adam Thielen, Tyrell Williams, Marqise Lee, Rishard Matthews, Kelvin Benjamin, Devin Funchess, Paul Richardson, JJ Nelson, Jaron Brown
Fanduel NFL Week 4 TIGHT END
Zack Ertz, PHI ($6900)
I’m starting to get a little uncomfortable with Ertz’s price tag on FD, but he’s so consistent that he still warrants it (the TE position is usually such a crapshoot). Ertz has 28 targets which leads all TEs (yes, even Gronk) and he’s facing a Chargers defense that is currently ranked 31st in DVOA against the TE position). If you take a little value at the WR position, you can definitely afford Ertz in cash.
Other options – Rob Gronkowski, Delanie Walker
Evan Engram, NYG ($5200)
Engram has immediately become a solid part of the Giants offense, even with Odell Bechkam fully healthy and Brandon Marshall and Sterling Shepard much more involved. Engram has received 19 targets and three red zone looks through the first three weeks of the season and is dirt cheap on FD. The Bucs have a strong DVOA ranking against the TE position (first, actually) but a lot of that is predicated on their LBs Kwon Alexander and Lavonte David who both will likely miss this week. Engram doesn’t have Ertz’s stability but he does have equal upside at a much cheaper cost.
Other options – Jason Witten, Jared Cook, Charles Clay, Austin Seferian-Jenkins
TOP FIVE DEFENSES FOR CASH Fanduel NFL Week 4
Arizona Cardinals ($4600)
Cincinnati Bengals ($4600)
Seattle Seahawks ($5400)
Jacksonville Jaguars ($5200)
Minnesota Vikings ($4500)