We are officially into the second half of the Fanduel NFL season! I wish my Giants were performing a little better, but I certainly can’t complain about fantasy results in the first half, having lost only two weeks on FanDuel and one week on DraftKings thus far. Some big names are on bye this weekend (Bell, Brown, Brady, Gronk, etc) so you’ll have to deviate a bit on the high end if you’ve been running systems built around them. Let’s see what we can dig up this week, and you can follow me on twitter @jac3600.
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Fanduel NFL Cash Lineup | Week 9
Russell Wilson, SEA ($8500)
Rookie sensation DeShaun Watson has skyrocketed up to $9600 on FanDuel, and as a result I prefer Wilson as my cash target since I have them projected pretty evenly. Seahawks OC Darrell Bevell has stated that they’re going to “ride” Eddie Lacy but I don’t have high hopes for results there, which should lead to yet another heavy passing attack from the Seattle offense. The Seahawks have scored 88% of their TDs through the air this year which is second in the NFL, and Wilson adds that other dimension with his legs.
Other options – DeShaun Watson, Drew Brees, Dak Prescott
Jameis Winston, TB ($7900)
Winston is a GPP play I can totally get on board with, but his shoulder injury (plus the fact that the Saints have been playing much better defense) keeps him off the cash radar. Similar to Seattle above, Tampa is playing a very pass-happy script right now (over 65% of their playbook has been passing the last four games). Winston has Mike Evans, DeSean Jackson, and two very capable TEs at his disposal, and should go overlooked this week.
Other options – Carson Wentz, Alex Smith, Cam Newton, Marcus Mariota, Jared Goff
Jacoby Brissett, IND ($6500)
This is nothing more than an obligatory value play for large-field GPPs. Brissett has rushing ability and Houston’s defense lost arguably its two best defenders in J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus. They just got torched by Seattle (granted a much more efficient offense) but the opportunity is definitely there for Brissett if he can limit his turnovers (a big if).
Other options – Eli Manning, Jay Cutler/Matt Moore, C.J. Beathard
Kareem Hunt, KC ($9000)
Hunt’s results have been a little disappointing lately but the opportunity hasn’t wavered at all. He’s stil receiving 73% of the team’s carries (a true RB1 not in a committee) and a whopping 78% of the team’s RZ opportunities. Dallas ranks 30th in rush defense DVOA and K.C. should be able to win the “ball control” game with Ezekiel Elliott likely suspended for this one.
Other options – Todd Gurley, Leonard Fournette
Mark Ingram, NO ($7900)
Ingram remains the lead back in New Orleans following the departure of Adrian Peterson. In that span, Ingram has been an absolute bellcow, averaging 22 carries per game and over five targets in the receiving script (along with a ridiculous 82% of RZ carries which has led to him averaging almost a TD and a half per game). New Orleans has an implied total of 29 points (second highest on the slate) and are seven-point favorites which should keep Ingram’s workload significant. Tampa Bay ranks 24th against the RB position.
Other options – Lamar Miller, Devonta Freeman
Adrian Peterson, ARI ($6800)
I’m not an Adrian Peterson fan based on declining skills and YPC, but the matchup doesn’t get much better here. The 49ers have allowed the most FPPG per game to opposing RBs and the Cardinals should lean heavily on Peterson in a game where Drew Stanton will be the starting QB. The problem is – the 49ers KNOW that Peterson will be the focal point and will likely be stacking the box. Ultimately, Peterson is cheap to mitigate these risks, but it’s worth mentioning. I like him as a cheap RB2 complement.
Other options – Chris Thompson, Alvin Kamara, Christian McCaffrey, Alex Collins, Marshawn Lynch, Kenyan Drake
DeAndre Hopkins, HOU ($9100)
With Antonio Brown on a bye, this is an easy call for the top overall WR. Hopkins leads the league in market share of targets with a 35.35% mark and has just exploded this year with DeShaun Watson as his QB. He should feast this week against the Colts secondary that ranks 30th in pass defense DVOA, and Vontae Davis looks as though he has nothing left. The issue is price tag, as high-priced RBs offer you a little more stability, but I have no argument against playing Hopkins in cash games.
Other options – Mike Evans, A.J. Green
Doug Baldwin, SEA ($7900)
Baldwin was a total bust in Seattle’s 41-point outburst but he should bounce back this week as the usual focal point of Seattle’s passing game. I’ve already gotten questions on twitter asking if I’m worried about the shadow coverage of Josh Norman, and I’ve answered “no” as Baldwin should avoid Norman for the majority of this game (Baldwin typically lines up in the slot). I’m all about this Seattle offense this week, and Baldwin is underpriced for his typical role.
Other options – Julio Jones (cheapest I’ve seen him in years), Michael Thomas, Dez Bryant, Will Fuller, Michael Crabtree, Jarvis Landry
Devin Funchess, CAR ($6100)
Funchess’ price was released on FanDuel prior to the trade of Kelvin Benjamin, which is a gift for us. With Benjamin in the lineup, Funchess was already drawing over 20% of the market share of targets and it wouldn’t be shocking to see that volume ascend to WR1 status. Funchess should draw the coverage of Desmond Trufant which is difficult, but the sheer volume likely coming him way is substantial for such a cheap tag.
Other options – Amari Cooper, T.Y. Hilton, Pierre Garcon, DeSean Jackson, Sterling Shepard, Tyler Lockett, Paul Richardson, Ted Ginn
Travis Kelce, KC ($7000)
Kelce is the easy call at the top of the TE position with Gronkowski on bye and Jordan Reed hurt (shocking, I know). Kelce is a target monster in the Chiefs offense and Dallas ranks 29th in DVOA against the TE position. It might be hard to get up to Kelce in cash games since I’m advocating paying up for QB and at least one top-tier RB, but Kelce is absolutely viable in all formats.
Other options – Zack Ertz, Jimmy Graham, Evan Engram
Jack Doyle, IND ($5700)
I have a feeling Doyle will be the chalky TE this week which a price tag that hasn’t fully caught up with his recent play. Doyle has an insane 32 targets over the last three weeks, catching 25 of them while scoring one TD. With that kind of volume, there is absolutely no argument for fading him in cash, but I will point out that Houston does feature a solid pass rush and they rank eighth in DVOA against the TE position (representing a Doyle fade in GPPs)
Other options – Jason Witten, Delanie Walker, Vernon Davis, Ryan Griffin
TOP FIVE DEFENSES FOR CASH GAMES
Jacksonville Jaguars ($5300)
Houston Texans ($5200)
Los Angeles Rams ($4800)
Philadelphia Eagles ($5200)
San Francisco 49ers ($4400)