Well, all good things had to come to an end. My 14-day DraftKings winning streak (which included my $12k hit in GPP) finally missed last night despite having both Kevin Durant and DeMarcus Cousins in there. I’ll likely play GPPs only tonight with only four games on the NBAs schedule, and we’ll turn our attention to football this afternoon in preparation of week 14 (which for many of you begins the fantasy playoffs). Some big names won’t be on the main slates, so lineups may look a bit odd this week. We’ll be in chat helping you every day, and you can find me on twitter @jac3600. Good luck!
Week 14 Fanduel NFL Lineup | 2017
Philip Rivers, LAC ($8100)
With Tom Brady, Drew Brees, and Matt Ryan off the main slate, Rivers checks in as the top option as he quarterbacks a huge game for a Chargers squad that is tied for the highest implied total on the slate (26). Washington offers a solid pass rush but has still allowed the second most FPPG to opposing QBs, and Keenan Allen (Rivers’ favorite target) can likely avoid being shadowed by Josh Norman since he lines up so much in the slot. The looser pricing on FD and the fact that you can’t pay up for LeVeon Bell and Antonio Brown makes Rivers a fine target.
Other options – Carson Wentz, Alex Smith, Matthew Stafford
Dak Prescott, DAL ($7700)
Dak has been a bust lately with the whole Dallas offense struggling, but he has a good chance to rebound this week against a Giants team that ranks 28th in pass defense DVOA and is losing a different defender to IR every week (last week it was Janoris Jenkins, this week it’s LB Jonathan Casillas). Dak offers a nice floor with his legs, and the last three matchups for Dallas have all been against top-10 ranked teams in pass defense. There is the SLIGHT concern that the Giants come out firing in the wake of their poisonous coach being fired, but I don’t generally subscribe much to narrative.
Other options – Russell Wilson, Tyrod Taylor, Kirk Cousins
Jameis Winston, TB ($7200)
Winston is a touch too volatile for me for cash games, but I won’t argue that he has a fantastic matchup and a great supporting cast to try to exploit it with. Even with two different QBs shuffling in and out of TB’s lineup this year, they still rank fifth in pass % and are facing a Lions team that has allowed the fifth most FPPG to opposing QBs.
Other options – Blaine Gabbert, DeShone Kizer, Tom Savage, Eli Manning
Todd Gurley, LAR ($8500)
LeVeon Bell dwarfs the other RBs by a long shot, but he’s not available on the main slate this week. Gurley gets the consolation as he’s the only other RB to come even close to Bell’s market share of carries (both in and out of the red zone). Gurley is also heavily featured in the passing game (Robert Woods’ continues absence will elevate that again, and Saints rookie Alvin Kamara (also not on the main slate) is the only RB that has been more productive with his receptions.
Other options – LeSean McCoy, Melvin Gordon, Leonard Fournette
Joe Mixon, CIN ($7100)
I’m hoping Mixon doesn’t play (he still hasn’t practiced), because that would lock in Giovani Bernard as an absolute lock around the industry. If Mixon does play, he’s an interesting option at this price tag, although I think it’s better suited for GPPs. Mixon’s efficiency has been on the rise in the last three weeks, and his Bengals are favored against a Bears team that has allowed the eighth most FPPG to opposing RBs.
Other options – Kareem Hunt, Jordan Howard
Lamar Miller, HOU ($6600)
I’ve been a bigger Lamar Miller hater than most, thinking him to be distinctly overrated (both in daily and season-long). This week, however, I’m a huge fan and he can be used in any format. Miller played 81% of snaps last week and should see similar volume this week with the Texans super thin at WR. The 49ers rank 22nd in rush defense DVOA and allow the most plays per game in the NFL, which should add a touch onto Miller’s ceiling since he’s a volume-based RB.
Other options – Carlos Hyde, Samaje Perine, Jamaal Williams, Marshawn Lynch, Alex Collins, Mike Davis, Giovani Bernard (if Mixon is out)
Keenan Allen, LAC ($8400)
Once again, we have some unfamiliar faces at the top of the positions (Neither Antonio Brown nor Julio Jones are available on the main slate). Keenan Allen has been a monster over the last three games, catching 33 of 41 targets for 421 yards and four TDs, and he should once again be a featured player for the team with the highest implied total. On a week where the super high-priced studs aren’t available, a Rivers/Allen stack looks awfully enticing.
Other options – DeAndre Hopkins, A.J. Green
Adam Thielen, MIN ($7500)
Thielen continues to dominate targets in the Vikings’ offense (over 30% the last three games), and he should get even extra volume this week with his teammates facing a challenge on the edges with the Panthers’ CBs. Thielen will draw slot corner Captain Munnerlyn whose pass coverage has graded out very negatively this season, and Thielen is still near 10 YPT on the season (which is incredibly efficient). Thielen has a great floor for cash even if he doesn’t get into the end zone (only three TDs on the season).
Other options – Larry Fitzgerald, Mike Evans, Dez Bryant, Michael Crabtree
Josh Gordon, CLE ($6700)
Here we go. Gordon did not look like he missed a beat at all in his near three-year absence from the game, catching four of 11 targets for 85 yards. He would have gone for a lot more if DeShone Kizer wasn’t so inaccurate, and this was against an elite cover CB in Casey Hayward. Now Gordon gets to face Green Bay would has allowed the most FPPG to opposing WRs, and first round rookie corner Kevin King was just placed on IR which eliminates the last line of defense for the Packers. I’m going heavy on Gordon this week.
Other options – Davante Adams, Sterling Shepard, Cooper Kupp, Golden Tate, Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Jermaine Kearse, Dede Westbrook, Marquis Goodwin
Travis Kelce, KC ($8000)
There isn’t much opportunity cost at the TE position this week (we have a solid value), but Kelce is still viable in all formats (especially if you go double cheap at WR with Gordon/Shepard or something thereof). Kelce leads all TEs in air yards by quite a wide margin and gets an incredible matchup against the Raiders who rank dead last in pass defense DVOA and 27th in DVOA against the TE. Kelce laps the field at the position, and if you want to invest I don’t argue.
Other options – Zack Ertz (in concussion protocol), Jimmy Graham, Evan Engram
Stephen Anderson, HOU ($4500)
Anderson is available as a total punt, and it’s going to be really hard to fade him in cash games this week. The Texans have lost both Bruce Ellington and C.J. Fiedorowicz to IR, which caused Anderson to rack up 12 targets last week, and Tom Savage has shown an affinity to the TE position multiple times this year. San Francisco does rank third in DVOA against the TE but they’re also 30th in pass defense DVOA and there’s very little downside to Anderson’s price tag.
Other options – Jason Witten, Jack Doyle, Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Hunter Henry, Ricky Seals-Jones
TOP FIVE DEFENSES FOR CASH
Los Angeles Chargers ($5100)
Denver Broncos ($4700)
Jacksonville Jaguars ($5200)
Green Bay Packers ($5000)
Cincinnati Bengals ($4600)