Its been easy money so far this season with our Fanduel NFL cash game lineups, lets see if we can keep it rolling into week 6. Oh, and GO YANKEES! I stayed up LATE last night watching the big win and all the festivities afterwards, but I’m not too sleepy to bring you the NFL week 6 action which begins tonight (CAR-PHI). We have some really high team totals around the industry that you’ll want to exploit, so let’s get down to business. As always, I’ll be with you on chat this Sunday from 11-1 helping you to set your cash and GPP lines, and basketball is just around the corner (NBA articles will begin one week from yesterday!).
Drew Brees, NO ($8600)
Of the top guys, the close spread combined with the high O/U makes me lean Brees’ way as the best high end cash option. The Lions rank well in defensive metrics, but playing the Saints in the Superdome is a different animal. Brees has been far better at home in his career, averaging 42 more YPG and almost a full TD pass more. He has an extra weapon in Willie Snead and the removal of Adrian Peterson should focus more passing to the run game as well. The Saints have a high team total pushing 28 points.
Other options – Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, Matt Ryan
DeShaun Watson, HOU ($7900)
What an impact Watson has had on the Texans! What was expected to be a meager offense now comes in with an implied team total of 29 points which is tied for the second highest of the week (behind only the Patriots). Watson has revitalized DeAndre Hopkins into an elite WR1 and now has a home run threat in Will Fuller (both of which he is utilizing to the fullest), and Cleveland ranks 31st in DVOA against the pass. Watson is also creating quite a floor with his legs.
Other options – Kirk Cousins, Jameis Winston, Alex Smith, Philip Rivers, Carson Palmer
Trevor Siemian, DEN ($6900)
As a Giants fan it pains me to say this, but my team is a sinking ship. They have lost literally EVERYONE on offense which means the Denver defense should be able to take advantage and really help Siemian create favorable field positions. Eli Apple’s production in the secondary has taken a step back this year, and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie is suspended. The G-Men rank 22nd against the QB position in FPPG and the Broncos have an healthy implied team total of 26 points.
Other options – Josh McCown, Case Keenum, Kevin Hogan
Kareem Hunt, KC ($9300)
I’m perpetually on #TeamLeVeon, but I have to defer to Hunt this week as the premier option. The Steelers have allowed 0.81 fantasy points per carry to opposing RBs this year, which is by FAR the most in the NFL. Hunt is blowing away the competition for the rushing title thus far and should get a ton of opportunity in this one as the Chiefs are 4.5-point favorites while being the top ranked DVOA team both overall and against the run (which should create additional rushing opportunity for Hunt). There is a lot of value at RB so Hunt is not a cash necessity, but if I’m paying up he gets my vote.
Other options – LeVeon Bell, Leonard Fournette, Devonta Freeman, Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon
C.J. Anderson, DEN ($7000)
This pretty much echoes the same sentiment described in Trevor Siemian’s blurb, but with a little more upside. Anderson should get all the field position benefits mentioned above, and the Giants currently rank 28th in DVOA rush defense. They will likely be without Olivier Vernon again which will only hurt them trying to stop the run.
Other options – Jay Ajayi, Jordan Howard, Lamar Miller, Doug Martin
Mark Ingram, NO ($5900)
Ingram is mispriced around the industry given the fact that his market share of touches should skyrocket with Adrian Peterson out of the picture in New Orleans. He’s already heavily involved in the passing game (15% of targets) and now should see a full complement of rushes to go along with it (Alvin Kamara is strictly a passing back). Detroit is a neutral team against the run, but the Saints are home favorites with a large implied total.
Other options – Chris Thompson, Samaje Perine, Javorius Allen, Marshawn Lynch, Tevin Coleman, Alvin Kamara, Jerick McKinnon, Adrian Peterson
DeAndre Hopkins, HOU ($8000)
This is a surprise, but I think it really merits consideration. Antonio Brown is great, but facing the top ranked team in DVOA pass defense. Julio Jones is coming off an injury, and Odell Beckham is gone. That opens the door for other receivers to take the top spot and this week I think Hopkins does just that. He has a whopping 61 targets through five games (over 12 per game) and in addition has garnered almost 40% of the team’s red zone targets. He’s facing off against Cleveland who ranks 31st in DVOA pass defense, and I think Hopkins is a cash lock with all the value at RB and TE.
Other options – Antonio Brown, Michael Thomas, Julio Jones, Mike Evans
Demaryius Thomas/Emmanuel Sanders, DEN ($6800/$6700)
More Broncos. One of these guys will be covered by Janoris Jenkins (likely Thomas) which means the other one (likely Sanders) is in for a bonanza day against the freefalling Giants. Sanders profiles more as the cash play with the expected better matchup, and Thomas is an elite GPP play.
Other options – Golden Tate, Keenan Allen, Stefon Diggs, Pierre Garcon, Larry Fitzgerald
Adam Thielen, MIN ($6500)
Thielen has yet to find pay dirt this year but he’s the king of efficiency, posting an incredible 73% catch rate since the beginning of last year. Case Keenum hasn’t been much of a downgrade over Sam Bradford so far, and Green Bay has allowed the most FPPG to opposing WRs. There’s also a good chance that Minnesota is playing from behind in this one which means more throws to the Vikings’ wideouts. If Stefon Diggs happens to sit (he shouldn’t), Thielen is the best value on the slate.
Other options – Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker, Amari Cooper, DeSean Jackson, Davante Adams, Randall Cobb, Taylor Gabriel, Willie Snead, Roger Lewis
Travis Kelce, KC ($7200)
I’m not interested in paying up for the TE position with a couple of values at the ready, but I will note that I prefer Kelce to Rob Gronkowski. Gronk is coming off an injury and if the Patriots get up big in this one (they’re double-digit favorites), I could easily seem his resting. Kelce has well over 50% of the market share of the Chiefs’ targets and is facing a Steelers squad that ranks 22nd in DVOA TE defense.
Other options – Rob Gronkowski, Jordan Reed
Evan Engram, NYG ($5300)
Engram inexplicably had no catches last week despite seeing every WR cut down around him. This week he should be in for a massive volume uptick given the fact that he’s likely the only starter left from previous, but just temper expectations. The Giants have an implied team total of 13 points which is the lowest on the slate (man, this hurts to write), and Denver’s pass rush should blast right through New York’s pitiful offensive line. That being said, SOMEONE has to catch the ball, and Denver does rank 21st against TEs.
Other options – Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Hunter Henry, Jared Cook, Austin Hooper, Ryan Griffin
TOP FIVE TEAM DEFENSES FOR CASH
Denver Broncos ($5400)
Washington Redskins ($4700)
Baltimore Ravens ($4900)
Atlanta Falcons ($5000)
Houston Texans ($5400)