Fanduel MLB Tuesday 9/12

Corey Kluber fires a fastball for the Cleveland Indians in a home start

It’s another Kershaw/Kluber day on a full slate of games. For me, the decision is easy as Kershaw showed a bit of rust last start and is still having his pitch count monitored, but we’ll get to that later. I will be on chat tonight helping our FTA+ subs, and you can find me on twitter @jac3600. Remember also, my NFL week 2 article will be up on Thursday. Good luck tonight!

Fanduel MLB Tuesday 9/12

STARTING PITCHER

TOP PLAY

Corey Kluber, CLE ($11,800)

Kluber and Kershaw are fully priced but Kluber still ranks as the top play and value. The watered-down Detroit lineup has an IRT of 2.5 runs and Kluber has almost a 40% K rate since the All-star break (and almost 45% against RHB). Detroit’s lineup is pretty right-hand dominant, and Kluber is a whopping -385 favorite.

Other options – Clayton Kershaw, Justin Verlander

VALUE PLAY

Jose Quintana, CHC ($8700)

I wouldn’t fade the sure thing that is Kluber on this slate, but Jose Quintana is in a terrific spot against the shell of the former Mets lineup. The pitching conditions are strong in Chicago and Quintana’s K rate has risen considerably since joining the Cubbies. He is an elite GPP play, and a viable cash decision if you HAVE to fade Kluber (do so at your own risk).

Other options – Gio Gonzalez, Sonny Gray, Eduardo Rodriguez, Lance Lynn, Dylan Bundy, Julio Teheran

CATCHER

Gary Sanchez, NYY ($3800)

As always, Sanchez comes with monstrous upside. Also as per usual though, he’s fully priced. He’s great in GPPs with his .312 ISO against LHP in his young career, and Blake Snell is still struggling with righty power. If you extrapolate Sanchez’s career into a full season, he has 50 home runs.

Other options – Robinson Chirinos, Yadier Molina

VALUE PLAY

Salvador Perez, KC ($2800)

The Royals have the highest IRT on the slate at 5.9 runs, and have one of the best matchups of the year against Dylan Covey and the White Sox bullpen. Covey has pitched to an 8.08 ERA while allowing 3.12 HR/9 in 14 games this year, and he only has a career 5.33 K/9. Your cash lines should be graced with Kansas City exposure, and Perez is the cheapest way to get upside.

Other options – J.T. Realmuto, Yasmani Grandal, Mike Zunino Alex Avila, Stephen Vogt

FIRST BASE

TOP PLAY

Eric Hosmer, KC ($4100)

The fact that the Royals (who lack power) take center stage on a full slate says a lot about the opposing pitcher. Hosmer’s price is rich for cash if you’re using Kluber, but he should absolutely be in a Royals stack. Hosmer has a very usable .219 ISO against RHP the last three years.

Other options – Edwin Encarnacion, Paul Goldschmidt, Anthony Rizzo, Joey Votto, Jose Abreu

VALUE PLAY

Yonder Alonso, SEA ($2800)

Alonso makes a ton of sense for cash with the need to build around high-2000s priced players. The Mariners get an insane park boost going to the heat of Texas and are facing a pitcher who has really struggled with HR (Miguel Gonzalez has given up 1.61 HR/9 over the last three years, and is even worse against LHB.

Other options – Eric Thames, Justin Smoak, Hanley Ramirez, Mike Napoli

SECOND BASE

TOP PLAY

Brian Dozier, MIN ($4200)

Dozier returns home (where right-handed power is inflated) and gets a date with Travis Wood who has allowed a .378 wOBA and .204 ISO to RHB over the last three years. Dozier has a .251 ISO against LHP in that span and is worth his price tag in all formats.

Other options – Jose Altuve, Jose Ramirez, Eduardo Nunez, Daniel Murphy, Jonatha Schoop, Robinson Cano

VALUE PLAY

Starlin Castro, NYY ($3000)

Castro is a cheap option for cash, but the 2B position is looking like it’s coming with a good amount of opportunity cost. You’ll be taking on lower ownership, but Castro does have a .207 ISO against LHP the last two years and Blake Snell does still have issues with command and hard contact.

Other options – Neil Walker, Scooter Gennett, Carlos Asuaje

THIRD BASE

TOP PLAY

Nolan Arenado, COL ($4200)

Arenado isn’t in Coors but he is in Arizona (Coors Field 2.0). The Rockies still have an IRT over five runs and Taijuan Walker has been a reverse-split pitcher over the last two years (.356 wOBA, .221 ISO allowed to RHB). Arenado has a .282 against same-handed pitching in that span.

Other options – Manny Machado, Kris Bryant, Josh Donaldson, Justin Turner

VALUE PLAY

Jake Lamb, ARI ($3100)

Jake Lamb is facing a good pitcher in Jon Gray but he’s way too cheap for having the platoon edge in the premier offensive environment. Lamb has a .367 wOBA and .235 ISO against RHP over the last three years and is far too cheap for his context.

Other options – Travis Shaw, Derek Deitrich, Eduardo Escobar, David Freese

SHORTSTOP

TOP PLAY

Francisco Lindor, CLE ($4500)

Lindor is fully priced which makes him only usable in tournaments, but he is absolutely whacking the crap out of the ball right now. In his last five games, he has four multi-hit games with three homers, two doubles, and two triples. The Indians are by far the top-ranked team against LHP and look to be headed towards their 20th straight win.

Other options – Trea Turner, Marcus Semien, Elvis Andrus, Tim Beckham

VALUE PLAY

Jean Segura, SEA ($3300)

Segura is a great cash target if you’re paying all the way up for Kluber. He will lead off for a Mariners team that has an IRT of 5.5 runs, and he has 29 homers and 53 steals since the beginning of last season. Segura is a very high-floor cash option in a great situation.

Other options – Carlos Correa, Paul DeJong, Xander Bogaerts, Yangervis Solarte

OUTFIELD

TOP PLAY

Giancarlo Stanton, MIA ($4700)

This is an easy call at the top (even though you can’t get to his price tag in cash by using Kluber). Stanton’s .363 ISO meets Nick Pivetta and his 6.49 ERA and 1.78 HR/9 allowed. Pivetta comes with K upside, but if he’s not striking you out he’s either walking you or giving up a homer.

Other options – Mike Trout, Charlie Blackmon, JD Martinez, Khris Davis, Aaron Judge, Nelson Cruz, Rhys Hoskins, Marcell Ozuna, Christian Yelich, George Springer, Jose Bautista, Josh Reddick, Kyle Schwarber, Carlos Gonzalez, Shin Soo Choo, Ryan Braun

VALUE PLAY

Andrew McCutchen, PIT ($2900)

McCutchen is still way too cheap on FD. He has definitely lost a step in his skills but he’s got almost a .400 wOBA against LHP over the last three years and is getting a park upgrade going to Milwaukee. He fits in the cash scheme really well with so much emphasis on starting pitching, and the Brewers’ bullpen is bad too.

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