and build better lineups today with FTA+ projections and chat
There are just four games on tonight’s slate, though none of the eight teams are skating in the second half of back-to-back sets. Tonight’s slate locks at 7:30pm EST.
NOTE: Today’s recommendations are subject to change depending on goalie confirmations, line changes, news updates, etc. Top plays will be updated/discussed throughout the day in chat.
CHI @ DET – 7:30pm EST
WPG @ COL – 8:30pm EST
NYI @ CGY – 9:30pm EST
BOS @ VGK – 10:00pm EST
LAST NIGHT’S RESULTS: Last night’s line cashed, though it was a close call depending on the cash lines, which varied throughout FanDuel cash contests (a few users in chat did not cash with the main line). That’s in part because of a late-day switch I made at the center position, electing to go with Sebastian Aho instead of Aleksander Barkov, who was the main center highlighted in yesterday’s post. I knew Aho would be chalky and figured that it was likely his line would get some points even though Henrik Lundqvist has strong numbers against Carolina, but that was not the case. Aho was incredibly chalky but managed just two shots for 3.2 fantasy points. Another huge disappointment was Nikita Kucherov, who went from scoring five points the night before to recording just one shot last night. The last-minute news regarding Brayden Point certainly made things difficult prior to lock, especially with regards to finalizing the lineup; unfortunately, the Point news also made me hesitate on Louis Domingue, who had been my goalie of choice earlier in the day. Instead I had Curtis McElhinney in the main lineup, with the option of upgrading to Domingue or especially to Carey Price (I left the $400 required for Price). Once Tampa Bay jumped out 3-0, the team stopped pressuring and sat back on the lead, which is another reason for Kucherov’s quiet night (fortunately his ownership was around 50 percent). Using either of the other goalies would have made cashing very easy last night, but of course McElhinney suffered a 2-1 loss and came away with just 11.2 FP. Ryan Suter also had an off night considering his favorable matchup against the Ducks, who shut out the Wild in a 4-0 win. Suter managed just 4.8 FP. Mikhail Sergachev came through with a first-period goal, however, and he finished the night with 16.8 FP. He wasn’t the only strong value play in the lineup; in fact, the four value plays in the lineup were the best players in the lineup since Vladimir Tarasenko failed to record a point, tallying five shots and a block for 9.6 FP. However, Travis Zajac picked up an assist and 11.2 FP at very low ownership, and both Jesper Bratt and Frank Vatrano had strong nights as well. Bratt scored a goal and an assist for 21.6 FP, while Vatrano picked up two assists, two shots and three blocks for 24 FP. He was originally part of my mini-stack with Barkov, who had another huge game (as predicted in yesterday’s article), scoring a goal and two assists and coming away with 37.6 FP.
Dylan Strome ($5,700) is likely to have high ownership tonight given his performance the other night. Strome’s career has taken off since arriving in Chicago, and he and Alex DeBrincat have shown phenomenal chemistry, giving Chicago two talented lines that have done a lot of damage of late. Strome offers exposure to DeBrincat but also to Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane given his role on the team’s top power-play unit. His price tag is also tough to beat considering he has 14 points in his last eight games. Strome scored a goal and two assists for 29.6 fantasy points when these teams met in Chicago Feb. 10. Though tonight’s matchup is in Detroit, Strome should be a safe cash play with upside.
Strome’s price tag will allow you to fit an elite option in the other center slot. Though there are several options listed below, one player on my radar is Dylan Larkin ($7,000), who could square off against Chicago’s top line, which has been giving up plenty of goals in recent games. Though Larkin was held off the scoresheet when these teams recently met in Chicago, he managed six shots and generally provides a safe floor.
However, you could also go with another red-hot mid-range option in David Krejci ($5,600). Krejci has points in four straight, scoring two goals and nine points in that stretch. Krejci centers Boston’s second line and is now skating on the top power-play unit. He and the Bruins will face an inconsistent Golden Knights team that has lost five out of its last six games on home ice and four out of its last five games.
Also consider: Nathan MacKinnon ($7,800), Jonathan Toews ($7,600), Dylan Larkin ($7,000), Paul Stastny ($5,300), Derek Ryan ($3,400)
The Chicago Blackhawks are sure to dominate the chalk in cash contests tonight, with both Patrick Kane ($9,400) and Alex DeBrincat ($7,100) in play. Kane’s price on FanDuel may scare some away, though his consistency is difficult to match. That being said, DeBrincat is coming off a masterful five-point game that earned fantasy owners 57.8 fantasy points. That performance gave DeBrincat points in 11 out of his last 12 games; he has collected 22 points in that stretch. DeBrincat skates on the Hawks’ second line and first power-play unit. However, despite the lofty price, Kane has been incredible in 2019. He has scored at least a goal and an assist in three straight as part of a larger 18-game point streak during which Kane has produced 14 goals and 40 points. He skates on the team’s top line and top power-play unit and is averaging 21.7 fantasy points per game this season, the highest among all skaters on tonight’s slate.
For value, you could go with a BOS 2 mini-stack by turning to Jake DeBrusk ($5,100), who has goals in four straight games. In his last four games, DeBrusk has produced three multi-point games and a total of four goals and nine points. He is skating on the Bruins’ top power-play unit and has earned 30.1, 23.2, 17.3 and 38.1 fantasy points in his last four games, respectively.
You can also look to Detroit, who is likely to put up a few against the Blackhawks. Anthony Mantha ($4,500) is too cheap on FanDuel considering what he’s been able to do lately. Though he likely won’t be on the top line with Gustav Nyquist set to return, Mantha is on the top power-play unit, and as we saw the other day with Ottawa, Chicago’s penalty kill is worth exploiting. Mantha has 13 shots in his last two games and has points in three out of his last four, though he was held to 6.4 fantasy points against the Hawks in Chicago.
Of course, FanDuel has not yet added him, but if you’re playing on DraftKings, a top value play of the night is Karson Kuhlman ($2,500), who skates on Boston’s second line. He, Krejci and DeBrusk form an incredibly affordable stack.
Also consider: Blake Wheeler ($7,500), Gabriel Landeskog ($6,800), Max Pacioretty ($6,100), Gustav Nyquist ($5,900), Tyler Bertuzzi ($4,300), Thomas Vanek ($4,200), Alex Tuch ($4,200), Danton Heinen ($4,000), Brandon Pirri ($3,600), Sean Kuraly ($3,400), Oscar Lindberg ($3,400), Chris Wagner ($3,100)
Based on FanDuel pricing, there aren’t many great options on the back end for tonight’s contests, so it may be a night to pay down. However, there are some strong value options, including Mike Green ($4,000), who will go up against a Chicago team that is very prone to giving up points to opposing defensemen. Green doesn’t get time on Detroit’s top power-play unit, which is definitely a disadvantage, though his recent floor has been consistent. He has earned 8, 24, 11.2, 3.2 and 11.2 fantasy points in his last five games, respectively, which includes his four shots and three blocks against Chicago on Feb. 10. UPDATE: Hronek is on PP1 now (don’t use Kronwall).
If you want that exposure to the top power-play unit, you could opt to use Niklas Kronwall ($3,500), though he is certainly not a reliable play. Kronwall has points in back-to-back games (both against Philadelphia), but he could take advantage of a struggling Blackhawks penalty kill, especially while skating with the likes of Dylan Larkin, Gustav Nyquist, Anthony Mantha, etc.
On the other side of that matchup, Erik Gustafsson ($5,500) might be worth considering. Somehow, Gustafsson did not play a role in any of Chicago’s eight goals the other night against Ottawa, but he had been on an impressive stretch, recording points in each of his previous four games. That includes an assist against Detroit in a game in which he came away with 16 fantasy points.
Another value option worth considering is Tyler Myers ($3,900), though most will be playing either Jacob Trouba ($5,400) or Josh Morrissey ($4,300). However, Myers has quietly put together some strong performances of late. He is coming off a two-goal game, which is definitely not something one should expect out of him, but he does have points in three out of his last four games, and he does skate on the team’s second power-play unit. Myers was held to just 3.2 fantasy points in Winnipeg’s recent tilt against Colorado, but he should get more ice time with Dustin Byfuglien out of commission.
Also consider: Mark Giordano ($6,100), Jacob Trouba ($5,400), Tyson Barrie ($5,000), Erik Johnson ($4,700), Shea Theodore ($4,600), Duncan Keith ($4,500), Ryan Pulock ($4,400), Nate Schmidt ($4,300), Colin Miller ($3,900), Rasmus Andersson ($3,500)
There are cases to be made for several netminders on tonight’s slate, but it’ll be easier to go through the options once it’s determined who will be in the crease. Therefore, goalies will be discussed in chat once confirmations have been announced.
Join us in the FTA+ DFS NHL discord chat to discuss tonight’s slate and lineups.
Featured image credit: Chris Sweda-Chicago Tribune