There are just three games on today’s slate, which locks early at 12:30pm EST. Both Edmonton and Montreal are coming off overtime losses but will play each other in the second half of a back-to-back.
BOS @ WSH – 12:30pm EST
EDM @ MTL – 2:00pm EST
CGY @ CAR – 2:00pm EST
LAST NIGHT’S RESULTS: I had some technical difficulties on FanDuel last night, so unfortunately I don’t have screenshots for everyone in the lineup(s). However, all three lineups posted in chat were able to cash easily, with one top-10 finish and all three finishing in the top 25 in 100-man contests, and they performed well in GPP contests as well. Plus, Derek’s DraftKings cash line also cashed easily and helped some FTA+ subscribers earn quite a bit of money in GPP’s last night. As for the FanDuel lines, the Rangers came through despite taking a 3-2 loss to the Lightning; Mika Zibanejad picked up two assists and 19.7 fantasy points, while Mats Zuccarello scored a goal on five shots for 20 FP. Kevin Hayes also scored, though he didn’t make my final cash lines (but the NYR1/Hayes GPP stack recommendation from chat would have paid off nicely). Matt Duchene had a disappointing night since Ottawa was (somehow) unable to beat Jonathan Bernier. I still believe that was a very favorable matchup for Duchene and would target it again, but obviously hockey is a volatile sport, so things don’t always go according to plan. One thing that was not out of the ordinary, however, was the fact that Steven Stamkos scored a goal. But as explored in yesterday’s post, you don’t always have to pay up for production, especially with so many strong mid-range center plays. One such recommendation was Ryan O’Reilly, who extended his hot streak with a goal and an assist on five shots for 29.6 FP. On the flip side, paying up for Brent Burns did pay off, as he scored a goal and an assist and finished the night with 34.4 FP. Patrick Kane had a down night but still recorded a power-play assist on four shots for 14.9 FP. Evander Kane tallied eight shots for 12.8 FP, and Timo Meier grabbed an assist and three shots for the same output. Frank Vatrano scored a goal and added four shots and two blocks for 21.6 FP, while Kyle Connor tallied an assist and 11.2 FP, though that was a disappointing return considering the Jets scored nine goals. But Conor Garland was an effective value play once again, scoring his 10th goal of the season and coming away with 13.6 FP at just $3,700. Thomas Chabot grabbed 9.6 FP, while Jacob Trouba had another strong game with two assists and 25 FP. Brad Hunt didn’t pick up a point but managed decent value for his $3,500 price tag, collecting 6.4 FP with three shots and a block; Alex Edler recorded one shot and three blocks but had very high ownership and remains cheap on FanDuel. In net, Robin Lehner came through with a 34-save performance, coming away with 31.2 FP in a 4-2 win against the Kings. Other cash players highlighted in yesterday’s post that found the scoresheet include Auston Matthews, Tomas Hertl, Elias Pettersson, Bo Horvat, Artemi Panarin, Chris Kreider, Brock Boeser and Josh Leivo.
Note: As explained throughout the post, today’s picks are heavily influenced by past results between the Capitals and Bruins and do not necessarily reflect safe plays based on recent performance or projected chalk (since this is just a three-game slate). Please keep that in mind as you read the post and build your lineups. Washington likely won’t have high ownership considering how poorly they’ve been playing, and many are likely to target BOS 1 (not discussed in today’s post) considering how many goals the Capitals have been giving up.
Connor McDavid ($9,000): Always an elite play, McDavid has points in three straight games and in nine out of his last 10, scoring seven goals and 14 points in that stretch. He’ll have a tough matchup on the road against Carey Price and the Canadiens, but McDavid is never a bad play and should have some ownership on today’s small slate.
Sebastian Aho ($7,000): Aho scored a goal in his most recent game to extend his point streak to four games during which time he has scored two goals and seven points. He skates on the Hurricanes’ first line and first power-play unit and is averaging 16.8 fantasy points per game. That streak includes a game in which he scored a goal on three shots for 16.8 fantasy points when these teams met in Calgary a few weeks ago; having home-ice advantage will give Aho even more time and space with which to work, which makes him a solid albeit expensive cash play on today’s small slate.
Nicklas Backstrom ($6,200): Backstrom has points in four straight games, tallying one goal and six points in that stretch. He skates on Washington’s top line and top power-play unit and has four points in two games against the Bruins this season. As noted above, one thing you’ll notice about today’s post is that there are many recommended Capitals skaters (either highlighted or listed in the “Also consider” sections); that’s because the Caps have been dominant against the Bruins, especially Tuukka Rask, who is set to start in this afternoon’s game. The Capitals have struggled a lot of late, giving up tons of goals and losing seven of their last eight games, making them risky cash plays, especially since they’ll likely have low ownership. This is especially true since BOS 1 is always a popular target. It’s more than possible this game will be a shootout since the Capitals have not played defense in weeks, and the injury status of Lars Eller could play a major role in that as well. That could make a lack of exposure to a chalky BOS 1 a problem in cash. However, since it’s a small slate, I am taking that risk and playing the Capitals. Just keep that in mind as you read this article and build your lineups.
Also consider: Mikael Backlund ($5,600)
Alex Ovechkin ($8,500): Ovechkin will return to the lineup after serving his one-game suspension for missing the All-Star Game. He has had a long period of rest but should be ready to go today, especially since it’s the Bruins. Ovi has three goals and four points in two games against Boston this season, and while his production has cooled off from earlier in the season, he scored four goals and five points in the final two games before the break. Now that his team went out and won a game with him out of the lineup, snapping a seven-game losing streak in the process, he should be fired up and ready to go.
Elias Lindholm ($7,200): Lindholm may not be the most talented member of his line; in fact, he’s the third most talented player on the Flames’ top line. However, that doesn’t mean he hasn’t been extremely productive this season, and he’s been a particularly consistent player in recent games even when his linemates haven’t found the scoresheet. Lindholm enters today’s game with points in nine straight, scoring two goals and 11 points in that stretch, and he has 22 goals and 59 points in 51 games this season with his new club. Tonight will be the first time he returns to Carolina since getting traded in the offseason, so he’ll want to take advantage of the moment. He managed an assist and 14.4 fantasy points against the Hurricanes when these teams played in Calgary Jan. 22.
T.J. Oshie ($6,000): Like Backstrom, Oshie has points in four straight games, collecting one goal and eight points in that stretch. He skates on the Capitals’ top line and top power-play unit and, like both of his linemates, has four points in two games against Boston this season.
Nino Niederreiter ($5,600): Niederreiter has gotten off to a great start with his new team since getting traded from the Wild just a few weeks ago. He has five goals in his last four games and has demonstrated solid chemistry with linemates Sebastian Aho and Justin Williams. Niederreiter was held off the scoresheet when these teams recently met in Calgary, though he won’t be limited by Calgary’s second-line matchup with home-ice advantage. He’s affordable and has been very productive, averaging 19.46 fantasy points per game in five games with the Canes.
Also consider: Johnny Gaudreau ($8,600), Tom Wilson ($4,900), Justin Williams ($4,800), Micheal Ferland ($4,600), Jakub Vrana ($4,500), Ty Rattie ($3,100)
John Carlson ($6,700): Carlson is one of the better offensive defensemen in the NHL, though he hasn’t produced like one for much of the season. That seems to be changing, however, as Carlson has earned 19.2, 22.9, 17.6 and 35.2 fantasy points in his last four games, respectively. He has points in four straight, recording two goals and five points as well as 14 shots and 15 blocks in that stretch. Though Carlson was held to just two blocks against Boston in early January, he scored a goal and an assist when these teams played in Washington on opening night. Carlson skates on Washington’s top power-play unit and is averaging 15.5 fantasy points per game this season.
T.J. Brodie ($4,700): Brodie is often overshadowed by Mark Giordano, but he has been quietly productive over the last few games, scoring one goal and adding six helpers in his last four contests. He could get more ice time tonight with the injury to Travis Hamonic, and he sees time on the team’s second power-play unit. Plus, he skates with Giordano at even strength even if he doesn’t offer exposure to the team’s top power-play unit.
Dougie Hamilton ($4,600): That being said, Hamilton is the one who will be particularly motivated tonight as he hosts his former team. Hamilton (along with Elias Lindholm, Noah Hanifin and Micheal Ferland) was involved in a massive offseason trade between the Flames and Hurricanes, so he is one of many players with a little extra to play for tonight. He scored a goal on four shots and added a block for 20 fantasy points when these teams played in Calgary a few weeks ago, and he skates on the Canes’ second power-play unit.
Also consider: Shea Weber ($5,100), Jeff Petry ($5,000), Jaccob Slavin ($4,600), Noah Hanifin ($3,900), Michal Kempny ($3,700)
Carey Price ($8,600): Price and the Canadiens will have their hands full as they welcome Connor McDavid and the Oilers to Bell Centre. However, Price has been excellent in recent games, winning four straight and earning 32, 35.2, 36.8 and 42.4 fantasy points in those games, respectively. He has a 7-3-0 record in his last 10 games and is capable of putting up big numbers even if he can’t shut down McDavid, especially since he should get some goal support against an Oilers team that gave up five goals yesterday and that has been leaky in recent contests.
Braden Holtby ($8,400): Holtby has dominated the Bruins throughout his career. He went 1-2-0 against Boston in 2013-14; since then, he has not lost a single regular-season game to the Bruins. That includes 12 matchups over the last five seasons, including two games this year. Though the Capitals have lost seven out of their last eight games, and though the win against Calgary the other night wasn’t pretty, Holtby’s career numbers against Boston are promising, though he could certainly continue to give up a lot of goals.
Also consider: David Rittich ($8,300)
Join us in the FTA+ DFS NHL discord chat to discuss today’s slate and lineups.
Featured image credit: Bob Dechiari-USA TODAY Sports