Today’s post is for the Main Slate, which locks at 3:00pm EST and does not include the Nashville vs. St. Louis game. That being said, there are still seven games on tap today in the NHL; the teams not skating in the second half of a back-to-back are the Blackhawks, Hurricanes and Rangers.
NOTE: Recommendations may change throughout the day depending on news updates, goalie confirmations, etc.
WPG @ BUF – 3:00pm EST
COL @ BOS – 3:00pm EST
DET @ CHI – 3:00pm EST
MIN @ NYI – 3:00pm EST
CAR @ NJD – 3:00pm EST
TBL @ FLA – 6:00pm EST
TOR @ NYR – 7:00pm EST
YESTERDAY’S RESULTS: I went 1-1 in yesterday’s contests, cashing easily on the Early Slate but coming up short for the Main.
Early: Most of the recommended players for the in yesterday’s post had strong games, aside from Jason Pominville, who finished with a goose egg. However, his price tag made up for his lack of contribution. Fortunately, the other value winger, Danton Heinen, came through with a goal and an assist for 26.4 fantasy points, though David Pastrnak ended up being a waste since he managed just 10.6 FP. Sean Couturier and Dylan Larkin both found the scoresheet, and Adrian Kempe picked up a power-play assist and three shots for 13.3 FP. Couturier had a three-point game and recorded five shots on goal, though Jake Voracek came away with just 14.4 FP with an assist, three shots and one block. All three defensemen had decent games, though I didn’t end up using Ryan Pulock in my recommended line. That was unfortunate since he scored two goals on eight shots for 38.9 FP, though Thomas Chabot and Ryan Suter earned 11.7 FP and 14.9 FP, respectively. Both Carter Hart and Anders Nilsson came away victorious. Unfortunately there was a technical issue with my FanDuel contests, so I do not have screenshots of the line, which featured Larkin, Couturier, Pastrnak, Voracek, Pominville, Heinen, Chabot, Suter and Hart.
Main: The line for the main slate was not nearly as successful, starting with a giant goose egg from Leon Draisaitl (at $7,600) as well as a quiet night from Jonathan Drouin, who was not at all worth his $6,300 price tag. Andrew Shaw was in the alternate line, and he came through with 25.3 FP, but Jesperi Kotkaniemi and Drouin were disappointments in Montreal’s 4-3 loss to the Maple Leafs. Evander Kane had a strong game, scoring a goal and a power-play assist on four shots for 26.9 FP, but Brent Burns’ 14.4 FP was a brutal output considering his massive price tag, especially since the Sharks scored five goals against the Oilers. Ben Hutton and Josh Leivo proved to be strong value plays, earning 13.6 FP and 11.2 FP, respectively. The same was true of Boone Jenner, who tallied an assist and 11.2 FP. Elias Pettersson, who was in the alternate line, picked up 20.8 FP, and pivot option Tomas Hertl had a solid night with 24.8 FP. The other skater highlighted in the post was Connor McDavid, who was slightly better than Draisaitl but essentially equally as useless on last night’s slate. Marc-Andre Fleury had a one-goal lead in the third period but was unable to come away with a win, giving up two late goals and finishing the night with just 7.2 FP. All in all, it was a disappointing effort that came close to cashing on a low-scoring night but ultimately fell short.
Recommended play: Patrice Bergeron ($8,400) vs. COL
Patrice Bergeron has goals in three straight games and points in seven out of his last eight games, scoring six goals and five assists in that stretch. He has been shooting the puck a lot more, recording 13 shots in his last two games and 30 in his last six. He skates on Boston’s top line and top power-play unit and is averaging 19.7 fantasy points per game this season. The Bruins have a favorable matchup against the visiting Avalanche, who have given up 28 goals in their last six games, all losses.
There are plenty of other solid options at the center position tonight, and I’ll likely spend up at center given all the value at wing. Some other options worth considering are Jonathan Toews ($7,600) and Dylan Strome ($5,300) as well as Mika Zibanejad ($7,400), Sebastian Aho ($7,400) and Dylan Larkin ($7,100), though there are plenty of other elite plays on tonight’s slate, many of which are listed below. Top plays will be discussed in chat prior to lock.
Value play: Casey Mitteldstadt ($4,000)/Evan Rodrigues ($3,700) vs. WPG
If you decide not to spend up at center, consider one of the young Sabres forwards for value. Both Casey Mittelstadt and Evan Rodrigues enter today’s game in the midst of point streaks. Mittelstadt has earned a point in four straight games, collecting one goal and four points on seven shots in that time; he skates on Buffalo’s second line and first power-play unit, offering exposure to Buffalo’s top forwards. Rodrigues is now centering the fourth line, making him a less appealing option, though he sees time on the second power-play unit. He has two goals and an assist as well as eight shots during his three-game point streak. Again, neither option is a stellar play, but they’re decent plays at affordable price tags.
Also consider: John Tavares ($8,100), Jonathan Toews ($7,600), Mika Zibanejad ($7,400), Sebastian Aho ($7,400), Dylan Larkin ($7,100), Dylan Strome ($5,300), Carl Soderberg ($4,700)*, Riley Sheahan ($3,400)
*Expensive but decent narrative play, will be low-owned
Recommended play: Patrick Kane ($9,100)/Alex DeBrincat ($6,800) vs. DET
The Blackhawks have played much, much better of late, and both Patrick Kane and Alex DeBrincat have been a huge part of that. That’s especially true for Kane, who has points in 13 straight games and in 20 out of his last 21 games, scoring 17 goals and 42 points in that stretch. He skates on Chicago’s top line and top power-play unit and is averaging 21.1 fantasy points per game this season. Though DeBrincat’s numbers don’t compare, he’s been particularly productive in recent games. Specifically, DeBrincat has points in seven straight and in 11 out of his last 12 games, collecting 10 goals and 17 points in that span. He skates on the team’s second line but also plays on the top power-play unit. DeBrincat is averaging 14.6 fantasy points per game, though he’s managed an average of 21.8 during his current seven-game point streak. Having at least one of these wingers in cash seems like a sensible plan for today’s seven-game slate.
Value play — Danton Heinen ($3,400) vs. COL
Danton Heinen is skating on Boston’s top line with Patrice Bergeron and Brad Marchand, and he took full advantage of that yesterday against the Kings with a goal and an assist for 26.4 fantasy points. His price tag basically makes him a free play, especially considering the exposure he offers; plus, he skates on the team’s second power-play unit. The Bruins will take on an Avalanche team that can’t seem to buy a win, but even if Boston comes up short, Colorado has been giving up plenty of goals, leaving the door open for Heinen to hit or exceed value.
There are a lot of strong value options on today’s slate, however, including Frank Vatrano ($4,500), Andrei Svechnikov ($3,600) and others (see “Also consider” below). But one name that may fly under the radar is Andreas Johnsson ($4,000). He’s a risky option since he skates on Toronto’s fourth line at even strength, but Johnsson has goals in three straight games, scoring four goals and six points on six shots in that span. He plays on the team’s second power-play unit, though he didn’t see any time on the man advantage last night. It’s more than possible his good fortune is about to run out, as his Corsi stats have gone down over the last few weeks, but his recent production has made him a strong points/$ play. Zach Hyman ($4,400) is another affordable option if you want some Leafs exposure.
Also consider: David Pastrnak ($8,500), Brad Marchand ($8,200), Jeff Skinner ($7,300), Zach Parise ($6,700), Chris Kreider ($6,700), Kyle Connor ($6,000), Mats Zuccarello ($5,900), Ondrej Palat ($4,700), Frank Vatrano ($4,500), Zach Hyman ($4,400), Thomas Vanek ($4,300), Jordan Martinook ($3,800), Andrei Svechnikov ($3,600), Brock McGinn ($3,400), Jesper Bratt ($3,400), Luke Kunin ($3,200)
Value plays: Erik Johnson ($4,500) @ BOS, Ryan Pulock ($4,200) vs. MIN
Since there are many options on the back end, I decided to write about two value options on today’s slate rather than the more obvious picks.
Erik Johnson has been back in the Avalanche lineup for four games; in that four-game span, he has picked up two goals and two assists as well as 13 shots and six blocks. Though Johnson does not skate on the team’s top power-play unit with the high-powered forwards, he has been hitting value through peripheral stat coverage and has been able to find the scoresheet as well. He has earned 29.6, 11.2, 23.2 and 6.4 fantasy points in his last four games, respectively. It may be safer to go even cheaper with someone like Andy Greene ($3,700), but Johnson has been effective in recent games and possesses much more offensive upside than cheaper plays.
Another value option is Islanders rearguard Ryan Pulock, who has points in back-to-back games and who has been hitting value consistently. He has earned at least eight fantasy points in six straight games thanks to two goals and an assist as well as 19 shots and 13 blocks. He skates on New York’s second power-play unit.
Additional options will be discussed in chat.
Also consider: Jacob Trouba ($5,700), Dustin Byfuglien ($5,500), Rasmus Ristolainen ($5,200), Josh Morrissey ($4,500), Aaron Ekblad ($4,400), Tyler Myers ($3,900), Mike Matheson ($3,900), Andy Greene ($3,700)
Thomas Greiss ($8,300) vs. MIN
Thomas Greiss is not the most reliable option in net, though he has played very well in his last few starts; plus, it doesn’t hurt that he is playing behind a red-hot team that has gone 8-1-2 in its last 11 games. Greiss has earned 32, 40.8, 35.2 and 38.4 fantasy points in his last four appearances, respectively, going 3-0-1 in that stretch but coming away with impressive point totals regardless of the outcome (that’s because his one loss came in a shootout after he recorded a 41-save shutout through 65 minutes of play). The matchup today could go either way, since the Wild have been inconsistent, but Greiss should be favored for the win and should be a solid cash play.
Note: Goalie confirmations and other news may affect today’s cash recommendation, so be sure to check in with us in chat for the latest pick(s).
Also consider: Louis Domingue ($8,100)*, Colin Delia ($8,000), Petr Mrazek ($7,900)
*Has won nine games in a row
Join us in the FTA+ DFS NHL discord chat to discuss tonight’s slate and lineups.
Featured image credit: AP Photo