FanDuel DFS NHL – Saturday 4/7/18

Today is the final day of the DFS NHL season, with 14 games on tonight’s Main Slate. As usual, today’s post will go through some of the top plays at each position. Some of today’s games are relevant for playoff standings, others are not; therefore, there could be a lot of players held out of games prior to the postseason, so make sure to stay on top of lineup/injury updates prior to tonight’s 7:00pm EST lock. This may also change certain recommendations, so be sure to check in for updates and pay close attention to goalie confirmations.

There are two games on tonight’s slate that could determine the final playoff team in each conference, with others that will determine the final seeding. St. Louis @ Colorado essentially will be a one-game playoff to decide which of those two teams makes the playoffs and which team comes just short (see Nathan MacKinnon “the situation” description for more info), and if the Flyers lose in regulation to the Rangers this afternoon, then the Buffalo @ Florida game could determine whether it’s Philadelphia or Florida that clinches the final playoff spot in the east (Florida has one more game tomorrow against Boston). Only one out of eight first-round matchups is finalized (Winnipeg vs. Minnesota), so lots of teams have something to play for tonight. The rest will try to end the season on a strong note and play spoiler if they can.

Hopefully with the help of today’s post you can end the season on a high note as well. I’d like to thank everyone for reading these posts throughout the season, and I hope you’ve had a successful and fun year. Feel free to reach out to me via Twitter or in the FTA+ discord chat (@JWagner) if you’d like to play some DFS in the playoffs, though this will be my final official daily post of the season. Best of luck tonight; see you next year!

INJURY/LINEUP NOTES/UPDATES

UPDATE: Philadelphia beat the Rangers this afternoon, so Florida has been eliminated from the playoffs.

  • Taylor Hall, Kyle Palmieri, Travis Zajac, Sami Vatanen will NOT play tonight; all are being rested prior to the playoffs.
  • Artemi Panarin, Cam Atkinson, Alexander Wennberg, Seth Jones, Zach Werenski, Ryan Murray will NOT play tonight; they are being rested ahead of the playoffs.
  • Jonathan Marchessault WILL play tonight for VGK.
  • Evander Kane (SJS) is a game-time decision
  • Devan Dubnyk (MIN) may not play the whole game, so he’s not a good start tonight.
  • Aleksander Barkov will NOT play tonight (or tomorrow).
  • Erik Karlsson will NOT play tonight.
  • Kevin Connauton will NOT play tonight.
  • ZACH PARISE will NOT play tonight.
  • Reilly Smith is a GTD for tonight.
  • Brock McGinn will NOT play tonight.
  • Steven Stamkos will NOT play tonight.
  • Jacob Trouba will NOT play tonight.
  • Brandon Pirri has been reassigned to the AHL.
  • Sami Niku has been reassigned to the AHL.
  • Jonathan Toews will NOT play tonight.

For further news updates, check out the resources listed beneath the “Starting Goalies” section below.


Summary of Last Night’s Results

Last night’s lineup cashed. Centers: Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin both found the scoresheet, earning 26.9 and 16.5 fantasy points, respectively. Brayden Schenn, Ryan O’Reilly and Brayden Point all found the scoresheet as well, though none of them had a large game; the three earned 9.6, 11.7 and 13.6 fantasy points, respectively, though Schenn and especially Point had high ownership rates. The value centers in the final lineup both outperformed all three mid-range options, as Casey Mittelstadt scored a power-play goal and added four shots for 18.9 FP while Kyle Brodziak picked up two assists, three shots and two blocks for 24 FP at just a five percent ownership rate. Wingers: Patric Hornqvist came through once again, scoring a goal and finishing with 15.2 fantasy points. Vladimir Tarasenko did not find the scoresheet, putting up just four shots; his ownership varied greatly, ranging from 31 percent to as high as 68 percent in some contests. Andrew Cogliano had a great game, making him an excellent value play on last night’s slate; he scored a goal and an assist and added four shots for 26.4 FP, while teammate Ondrej Kase saw his point streak come to an end with just two shots and one block. But Cogliano’s performance was key, especially at ownership rates of 9-12 percent. Defensemen: On the back end, Victor Hedman scored a goal and finished Tampa Bay’s 7-5 win over Buffalo with 16.8 FP, while Alex Pietrangelo managed two shots and three blocks for 8 FP. However, it was a great night for value defensemen, as Josh Manson, Dan Girardi and Roberto Bortuzzo all found the scoresheet. Manson had an especially strong game, outperforming almost everyone on the slate with a goal and an assist as well as five shots and one block for 29.6 FP. Girardi scored a goal and earned 16.8 FP, while Bortuzzo tallied an assist, one shot and two blocks for 12.8 FP. Goalies: Very surprisingly, Casey DeSmith’s ownership rate ranged from 18-30 percent, though that made his 35-save shutout and 48 FP that much more valuable. Ryan Miller and Carter Hutton both picked up wins as well but faced just 26 and 20 shots, respectively, therefore finishing with 18.4 and 23.2 FP, respectively.

Here’s what I played on FanDuel last night:

(1)Main: Crosby, Brodziak, Tarasenko, Hornqvist, Cogliano, Kase, Hedman, Pietrangelo, DeSmith – $200 remaining, final score: 176.5 (cashed)

(2)Main: Malkin, Point, Tarasenko, Hornqvist, Cogliano, Kase, Pietrangelo, Manson, DeSmith – $400 remaining, final score: 168.5 (cashed)

(3)Main: Crosby, Point, Tarasenko, Hornqvist, Cogliano, Kase, Ristolainen, Schultz, DeSmith – $100 remaining, final score: 168.5 (cashed)

(4)Main: Crosby, Malkin, Tarasenko, Hornqvist, Cogliano, Kase, Manson, Girardi, DeSmith – $0 remaining, final score: 190.6 (cashed)

(5)Point, O’Reilly, Tarasenko, Hornqvist, Cogliano, Kase, Hedman, Pietrangelo, DeSmith – $0 remaining, final score: 150.9 (cashed)

(6) Crosby, Mittelstadt, Hornqvist, Schwartz, Cogliano, Nylander, Hedman, Pietrangelo, Miller – $1300 remaining, final score: 169 (cashed)

(7)O’Reilly, Mittelstadt, Tarasenko, Schwartz, Hornqvist, Rodrigues, Hedman, Manson, DeSmith – $2300 remaining, final score: 191.1

(8)Malkin, Schenn, Tarasenko, Hornqvist, DeBrincat, Kase, Dunn, Girardi, Miller – $100 remaining, final score: 97.3 (did not cash)

(9)Crosby, Malkin, Hornqvist, Cogliano, Kase, Rodrigues, Hedman, Girardi, Hutton – $700 remaining, final score: 166.3 (cashed)

(GPP)Mittelstadt, Brodziak, Benn, Hornqvist, Cogliano, Rodrigues, Manson, Girardi, Miller – $10,400, final score: 192.2 (cashed)

(GPP)Crosby, Malkin, Kessel, Hornqvist, Rodrigues, Nylander, Manson, Girardi, Hutton – $1000 remaining, final score: 185.2 (cashed)


Tonight’s Schedule

  • NY Islanders @ Detroit – 7:00pm EST
  • Ottawa @ Boston – 7:00pm EST
  • Tampa Bay @ Carolina – 7:00pm EST
  • Montreal @ Toronto – 7:00pm EST
  • New Jersey @ Washington – 7:00pm EST
  • Buffalo @ Florida – 7:00pm EST
  • Chicago @ Winnipeg – 7:00pm EST
  • Columbus @ Nashville – 8:00pm EST
  • St. Louis @ Colorado – 9:00pm EST
  • Anaheim @ Arizona – 9:00pm EST
  • Vegas @ Calgary – 10:00pm EST
  • Vancouver @ Edmonton – 10:00pm EST
  • Dallas @ Los Angeles – 10:30pm EST
  • Minnesota @ San Jose – 10:30pm EST

 

Starting Goalies

  • NYI: Thomas Greiss (confirmed) vs. DET: Jared Coreau (confirmed)
  • OTT: Danny Taylor (confirmed) vs. BOS: Anton Khudobin (confirmed)
  • TBL: Louis Domingue (confirmed) vs. CAR: Cam Ward (confirmed)
  • MTL: Carey Price (confirmed) vs. TOR: Frederik Andersen (confirmed)
  • NJD: Cory Schneider (confirmed) vs. WSH: Braden Holtby (confirmed)
  • BUF: Chad Johnson (confirmed)* vs. FLA: Roberto Luongo (confirmed) James Reimer (confirmed)
  • CHI: Jeff Glass (confirmed) vs. WPG: Connor Hellebuyck (confirmed)
  • CBJ: Joonas Korpisalo (confirmed) vs. NSH: Pekka Rinne (confirmed)
  • STL: Jake Allen (confirmed) vs. COL: Jonathan Bernier (confirmed)
  • ANA: Ryan Miller (confirmed) vs. ARI: Antti Raanta (confirmed)
  • VGK: Marc-Andre Fleury (confirmed) vs. CGY: Jon Gillies (confirmed)
  • VAN: Anders Nilsson (confirmed) vs. EDM: Cam Talbot (confirmed)
  • DAL: Kari Lehtonen (confirmed) vs. LAK: Jonathan Quick (confirmed)
  • MIN: Devan Dubnyk (confirmed)* vs. SJS: Martin Jones (confirmed)

*May not play whole game

 

For goalie confirmations and other player news updates, check out DailyFaceoffLeftWingLock and RotoGrinders throughout the day.

 

 

 

FanDuel DFS NHL 4/7/18

Centers

ELITE

Connor McDavid ($9,300)

Connor McDavid will look to extend his lead in the scoring title in the final game of the regular season. Though McDavid leads the league in scoring with 106 points, it has been an incredibly disappointing year for the Oilers, who will look to end the season on a high note. McDavid is coming off a three-point performance but was held off the scoresheet in his previous two games. However, he has seven goals and 17 points in his last nine games and is averaging 18.9 FPPG this season despite scoring just one goal and one assist in three games against Vancouver.

Nathan MacKinnon ($8,400)

The situation: Since St. Louis defeated the Blackhawks last night, the Avalanche must win tonight’s contest against the Blues in regulation in order to make the playoffs. St. Louis has 94 points and 41 ROW (regulation and overtime wins, which is the first tiebreaker) compared to Colorado’s 93 points and 40 ROW. If Colorado were to win the game in overtime (not in a shootout), their ROW would go to 41. At that point, both teams would have 95 points and 41 ROW. However, the next tiebreaker relates to the number of points earned in the season series between these teams; that’s where winning it in regulation plays into this. Since St. Louis has won two of the three games against Colorado this season (therefore earning four out of six points), overtime would give them a fifth point in the season series; even if Colorado were to win the game in overtime and get the two points from the win, St. Louis would have earned five points in the season series compared to Colorado’s four points, which would give them the tiebreaker and therefore eliminate Colorado from the playoffs. That’s why Colorado must win in regulation; any other result will eliminate the Avalanche from the playoffs, which brings us to Nathan MacKinnon.

Nathan MacKinnon: Nathan MacKinnon may not be the captain of the Avalanche (Gabriel Landeskog wears the “C”), but he has put this team on his back all season and is the main reason why Colorado is even in the playoff picture. Without his 38 goals and 95 points, Colorado would not be playing meaningful hockey on the last day of the regular season. As you probably know from reading these posts, MacKinnon was on an incredible four-week tear during which he scored 14 goals and 31 points over the course of 16 games. He has cooled off considerably since then, as have the Avalanche. MacKinnon went three games without a point and now has points in three out of his last four, though he has managed just one assist in each of those games, earning 18.1, 3.2, 13.3 and 16.5 fantasy points in his last four games, respectively. Given his recent production, there’s certainly a chance he will come out and play well without seeing the results on the scoresheet. Considering this is do-or-die for both Colorado and St. Louis, it could end up being a low-scoring game, and it’s possible the offense will come from unlikely scorers. That being said, MacKinnon is in a perfect spot to carry this team to the postseason and potentially solidify himself as a Hart Trophy finalist as league MVP. MacKinnon skates on Colorado’s first line and first power-play unit and is averaging 19.3 FPPG this season. He has two goals and one assist in three games against the Blues this season.

Vincent Trocheck ($7,100)

With Aleksander Barkov out for the rest of the regular season, things fall to Vincent Trocheck, who will center the Panthers‘ top line in tonight’s game against Buffalo. It’s unclear whether he’ll skate with Evgenii Dadonov and Colton Sceviour or Jonathan Huberdeau and Sceviour, but his ice time and responsibility will increase without Barkov. Trocheck has had an excellent season and is averaging 15.7 FPPG, and he could see a slight spike in ownership with the absence of Barkov. However, with 28 teams in action, ownership will be tough to predict tonight and probably won’t play as large a role as usual. Florida has been eliminated from playoff contention.

Also consider: Patrice Bergeron ($7,900), Anze Kopitar ($7,700), Evgeny Kuznetsov ($7,700), William Karlsson ($7,500),  Logan Couture ($7,000)

MID-RANGE

Dylan Larkin ($6,600)

Dylan Larkin extended his point streak to five games with a goal and an assist the other night against the Canadiens. He has three goals and eight points in his last five games, earning 23.2, 16, 20, 26.4 and 19.2 fantasy points, respectively. Larkin skates on Detroit’s second line and second power-play unit and has a favorable matchup on home ice against the Islanders.

Nicklas Backstrom ($6,600)

Nicklas Backstrom skates on Washington’s second line and first power-play unit and is three away from 800 career points. While that won’t be on Backstrom’s mind tonight against New Jersey, it certainly won’t hurt his play. He has points in back-to-back games, scoring one goal and four points for 8.5 and 34.9 fantasy points, respectively. Backstrom is a bit risky in cash contests since he doesn’t shoot much, but he has had great success against the Devils this season, scoring two goals and seven points in three games.

Pierre-Luc DuBois ($6,200)–CBJ’s best players will be out tonight

Pierre-Luc DuBois skates on Columbus’ first line and first power-play unit. It’s unclear how hard Nashville will play tonight since they have already locked up the President’s Trophy, but the game is quite meaningful for the Blue Jackets as it will help determine where in the standings they finish and who they play in the first round. It’s possible the Blue Jackets don’t want to face their current opponent, the Pittsburgh Penguins, so tonight’s win is not absolutely necessary; however, teams normally like to finish the season strong, so it would be surprising to see the Jackets take their foot off the gas. DuBois has points in five straight games, scoring five goals and nine points in that stretch and recording multiple points in three of those five games. He has earned 19.2, 15.2, 15.7, 47.7 and 19.2 fantasy points in his last five games, respectively.

Also consider: Brayden Schenn ($6,600), Ryan O’Reilly ($6,300), Mathew Barzal ($6,200), Bo Horvat ($5,900), Ryan Johansen ($5,800), Brock Nelson ($4,500)

VALUE

Henrik Sedin ($4,400)

Tonight will be Henrik Sedin’s final NHL game after 17 seasons, so it’s sure to be emotional. While the Sedin’s had a picture-perfect ending in their final home game the other night (combining on the overtime game-winner), the twins will still be motivated to go out strong, making Henrik a decent option again tonight. He hasn’t had much luck against Edmonton this season and is very point-dependent, but his price tag makes him an interesting choice, especially skating with Daniel and former Oiler Sam Gagner at even strength and on the power play. Daniel is a safer cash bet between the two, though.

Derek Ryan ($3,800)

Derek Ryan extended his point streak to six games with an assist against Philadelphia the other night. He has two goals and eight points in his last six games, earning 9.6, 15.2, 9.6, 21.6, 11.2 and 20.8 fantasy points, respectively. Ryan skates on Carolina’s fourth line and second power-play unit.

Dylan Strome ($3,400)

Dylan Strome skates on Arizona’s second line and second power-play unit. He has goals in back-to-back games and points in three straight, scoring two goals and five points for 13.6, 20 and 24 fantasy points, respectively.

Also consider: Frans Nielsen ($4,200), Alexander Kerfoot ($4,100), Brandon Sutter ($3,700), Casey Mittelstadt ($3,600), Kyle Brodziak ($3,400), Anthony Cirelli ($3,200)

 

 

Wingers

ELITE

Alex Ovechkin ($8,900)

Alex Ovechkin currently leads the league in goals with 47, and while hitting 50 for the eighth time in his career would be nice, it’s unlikely he’ll manage a hat trick tonight. That being said, Ovechkin has played well against New Jersey this season, scoring one goal and five points in three games. He skates on Washington’s first line and first power-play unit and is averaging 18.2 FPPG. Update: New Jersey is resting four of its best players, including Taylor Hall, Kyle Palmieri, Travis Zajac and Sami Vatanen, and Keith Kinkaid will NOT start in net, which improves Ovechkin’s chances. He could be a strong GPP play considering the potential for a big game, and he should get a lot of pucks on net in the process.

Taylor Hall ($8,500)

Taylor Hall and the New Jersey Devils will look to continue their impressive hot streak with a win to close out the regular season. The Devils are still not settled in the Eastern Conference standings, though they’ve clinched a playoff berth after Hall’s remarkable campaign. He didn’t find the scoresheet Thursday night against Toronto but has two goals and three points in three games against the Capitals this season. Hall has eight goals and 17 points in his last nine games and is averaging 18.9 FPPG this season; he skates on the Devils’ first line and first power-play unit.

Artemi Panarin ($7,700)

Artemi Panarin has points in five straight games and in eight out of his last nine games. He has two goals and 13 points on his current five-game point streak, recording multi-point performances in each of his last four games. Panarin is averaging 14.4 FPPG this season and skates on Columbus’ first line and first power-play unit. He has earned 19.2, 37.5, 36.2, 17.6, 24.8, 9.6, 9.6, 52 and 15.2 fantasy points in his last nine games, respectively.

Mikko Rantanen ($7,000)

Mikko Rantanen and the Colorado Avalanche will be in a one-game playoff battle tonight against the Blues to determine which team moves on and which team heads to the golf course early. Rantanen scored two goals and four points when these teams met in St. Louis Mar. 15, earning 46.4 fantasy points in the effort. The Blues won the first three meetings between these teams before Colorado won the Mar. 15 contest, so it’s very hard to know how tonight’s game will unfold. It could be low-scoring, it could be more of a shootout, it’s tough to say. But Rantanen, who skates on Colorado’s first line and first power-play unit, is having a career season and has been a pretty reliable DFS option for most of the year. He has been struggling of late, but that is true of the entire Colorado roster. Rantanen is probably better in GPP formats because of the unpredictability of his recent play, but he’s capable of putting up multiple points if Colorado (especially its power play) can get going.  Also consider captain Gabriel Landeskog ($5,700).

Also consider: Brad Marchand ($8,200), Jamie Benn ($7,800), Vladimir Tarasenko ($7,700), David Pastrnak ($7,500), Blake Wheeler ($7,300)

MID-RANGE

Cam Atkinson ($6,800)

Cam Atkinson has been very reliable in recent games, picking up at least a point in nine consecutive games for a total of eight goals and 13 points. He skates on Columbus’ first line and first power-play unit and is averaging 13.6 FPPG. However, he has earned 26.4, 34.6, 25.3, 22.4, 21.6, 24.8, 23.7, 16 and 21.6 fantasy points in his last nine games, respectively.

Dustin Brown ($6,100)

Dustin Brown is coming off a four-goal performance in which he also registered seven shots and came away with 59.7 fantasy points. Brown has goals in back-to-back games as well as points in three straight games and in four out of his last five. He has earned 59.7, 22, 9.6, 8,21.8, 1.6, 24.5, 15.2  and 28 fantasy points in his last nine games, respectively. Brown skates on Los Angeles’ first line and first power-play unit.

William Nylander ($5,800)

William Nylander skates on Toronto’s first line and second power-play unit. He has goals in back-to-back games and points in four out of his last five games, scoring three goals and six points in that stretch. Nylander has earned 18.9, 38.9, 1.6, 14.4 and 17.6 fantasy points in his last five games, respectively.

Daniel Sedin ($5,600)

Daniel Sedin will skate in his final NHL game tonight against the Oilers. He scored two goals on 10 shots the other night against the Coyotes, finishing the game with 40.5 fantasy points. While he hasn’t had a ton of success against the Oilers this season, scoring just a goal and an assist in three games against them, he should be eager to go out strong with a good performance tonight.

Jakob Silfverberg ($5,600)

Jakob Silfverberg and the Anaheim Ducks will have a tough test going up against Antti Raanta (assuming he starts), but Silfverberg quietly has points in three straight games, recording one goal and six points as well as three shots and three blocks in that time. He skates on Anaheim’s second line and second power-play unit and has earned 29.6, 11.2, 20.8 and 9.6 fantasy points in his last four games, respectively.

Also consider: Jonathan Marchessault ($6,800), Mitch Marner ($6,800), Brendan Gallagher ($6,700), Zach Parise ($6,500), Anders Lee ($6,300)–sitting at 39 goals, Clayton Keller ($6,300), Evgenii Dadonov ($6,100)–Florida’s lines have changed with Barkov out, Nikolaj Ehlers ($6,000), Gabriel Landeskog ($5,700), Craig Smith ($5,500), Yanni Gourde ($5,400), Kyle Connor ($5,300), Max Domi ($5,200), Nick Bjugstad ($5,100), Patrik Berglund ($4,600)–scored a hat trick last night, Timo Meier ($4,600), Boone Jenner ($4,500)

VALUE

Tyler Bertuzzi ($4,000)/Darren Helm ($4,000)

Tyler Bertuzzi has goals in back-to-back games, scoring three goals on eight shots and adding three blocks in his last two games, earning 23.2 and 30.9 fantasy points, respectively. He and the Red Wings could be involved in yet another high-scoring game as they host the Islanders in the regular-season finale. Bertuzzi skates on Detroit’s first line and first power-play unit. Darren Helm skates on the team’s second line but does not see time on the power play. That being said, he has still managed to score goals in back-to-back games as well, and he has goals in four out of his last five games, recording four goals and six points in that stretch. Helm has earned 15.2, 15.2, 4.8, 18.8 and 32.8 fantasy points in his last five games, respectively.

Andrew Cogliano ($4,000)

Andrew Cogliano came through once again last night with a strong performance, scoring a goal and an assist and finishing the night with 26.4 fantasy points. Cogliano skates on Anaheim’s second line but does not see time on the power play. However, he has goals in three straight games and points in five out of his last six contests, collecting four goals and seven points in that stretch. He has earned 26.4, 16.8, 26.4, 4.8, 18.4 and 14.4 fantasy points in his last six games, respectively.

Anthony Beauvillier ($3,900)

Anthony Beauvillier has been straight fire in recent games, scoring a goal in five straight and picking up five goals and eight points in that stretch. He has earned 15.2, 44, 18.9, 22.1, 16.8, 9.6, 6.4 and 38.9 fantasy points in his last eight games, respectively. Beauvillier skates on New York’s second line and second power-play unit.

Also consider: Ryan Donato ($4,400), Joonas Donskoi ($4,400), Jason Pominville ($4,300), Sam Gagner ($4,300), Tyson Jost ($4,300), Alex Killorn ($4,200), Marcus Johansson ($4,100), Richard Panik ($3,900), Ty Rattie ($3,900), Ondrej Kase ($3,900), Evan Rodrigues ($3,600), Colton Sceviour ($3,400)–skating on top line with Vincent Trocheck, Scott Hartnell ($3,200), Brandon Tanev ($3,200), Sven Andrighetto ($3,200), Alex Nylander ($3,000), Spencer Foo ($3,000)

 

 

Defensemen

ELITE

Roman Josi ($6,200)

Roman Josi is averaging 14.7 FPPG this season and has points in back-to-back games and in three out of his last four, scoring two goals and four points in that stretch. His peripheral stat coverage has been excellent all year, but considering tonight’s game is meaningless as far as the standings are concerned, I’m not sure he and his fellow defensemen will be going out of their way to block shots. That being said, Josi has provided a steady floor all season and, assuming he’s in the lineup, could offer the same once again. He has earned 30.1, 23.2, 9.6, 16.5, 9.6, 18.4, 18.4, 8, 8 and 8 fantasy points in his last 10 games, respectively; he skates on Nashville’s second power-play unit.

Dustin Byfuglien ($6,100)

Dustin Byfuglien skates on Winnipeg’s first power-play unit but may see limited ice time tonight. However, he has been productive and reliable in recent games, earning 11.2, 18.1, 20.5, 19.2, 17.6 and 22.1 fantasy points in his last six games, respectively. He has points in five out of his last six games.

John Carlson ($6,000)

John Carlson will look to extend his lead league in points among defenseman (67) in the Capitals’ regular-season finale tonight in Washington. For some reason, the Capitals seem to be playing their entire lineup even though tonight’s game is meaningless, though they will face a Devils team without its top players and starting goalie. This should leave room for Carlson and Co. to generate some offense and get some points on the board. While it’s unclear exactly how much ice time the stars of the roster will get, it appears as though Washington is treating this as a must-win game. It’s possible it’s so that the team enters the playoffs playing well, but whatever the reason is, the full roster will be playing (aside from the injured T.J. Oshie, who is not expected to play), so Carlson becomes a top option on the back end, especially since he’ll be feeding the puck to Alex Ovechkin on the power play.

Also consider: Brent Burns ($7,200), Victor Hedman ($6,900), Torey Krug ($6,100)

MID-RANGE

Drew Doughty ($5,700)

Drew Doughty has points in four straight games and has been providing solid peripheral stat coverage in recent games, registering 22 shots and 19 blocks in his last 10 games. He has one goal and five points on his current four-game point streak, earning 16.5, 20.8, 18.4 and 24.5 fantasy points, respectively. Doughty skates on Los Angeles’ first power-play unit.

Alexander Edler ($5,400)

Alexander Edler has points in three straight games, recording one goal and four points in that time. He has provided one of the safest floors among defensemen for quite some time. Edler has recorded 32 shots and 33 blocks in his last 10 games, earning 29.3, 14.9, 28, 8, 12.8, 11.2, 12.8, 30.4, 11.2 and 27.4 fantasy points, respectively. He skates on Vancouver’s first power-play unit.

Matt Dumba ($4,900)

Matt Dumba is coming off back-to-back strong games in which he combined for two goals and three points as well as eight shots and three blocks, earning 28 and 22.1 fantasy points, respectively. He and the Wild don’t have much to play for tonight since their first-round matchup against the Jets is already set. However, he is worth considering because of his recent production, and he should still get decent ice time with injuries to two of Minnesota’s top defensemen.

Also consider: Alex Pietrangelo ($5,700), Tyson Barrie ($5,700), P.K. Subban ($5,500), Jake Gardiner ($4,900), Shea Theodore ($4,600), Colton Parayko ($4,600)

VALUE

Niklas Kronwall ($4,200)

Niklas Kronwall has points in five straight games, scoring one goal and five points in that stretch. He has earned 9.6, 13.3, 12.8, 8, 18.4, 8, 20.8 and 8 fantasy points in his last eight games, respectively. Kronwall skates on Detroit’s first power-play unit.

Josh Manson ($3,900)

Josh Manson is coming off back-to-back stellar performances, recording one goal and four points and adding eight shots and five blocks for 29.6 and 27.2 fantasy points, respectively. He does not see time on the power play but has played well in recent games. He and the Ducks could have a tough matchup against the red-hot Antti Raanta, but Anaheim needs the points in tonight’s contest and therefore has a lot to play for. Manson’s recent production and reasonable price tag make him a decent value play on tonight’s slate, though there are many options, as listed below in the “Also consider” section.

Dan Girardi ($3,500)

Dan Girardi is playing way over his head as far as production is concerned, since he is not an offensive defenseman. That being said, there’s no denying that he has been producing in recent games, as the stay-at-home d-man has points in back-to-back games and in four out of his last five games. Girardi has two goals and four points in his last five games, earning 16.8, 11.2, 4.8, 17.3 and 17.6 fantasy points, respectively. He does not see time on the power play but has picked up some points and usually grabs 1-2 shots and 1-2 blocks each night. He’s certainly a dart but could end up being a decent punt play.

Also consider: Jaccob Slavin ($4,400), Ryan Pulock ($4,000), Mike Matheson ($4,000), Josh Morrissey ($4,000), Thomas Chabot ($3,900), Kevin Connauton ($3,900), Vince Dunn ($3,800), David Savard ($3,700), Alex Goligoski ($3,700), Robert Bortuzzo ($3,600), Jonas Brodin ($3,600), Ryan Murphy ($3,500)

 

 

Goalies

Pekka Rinne ($8,800)

Pekka Rinne and the Nashville Predators will close out their President’s Trophy-winning regular season on home ice against a depleted Columbus Blue Jackets team that will have some of its best players out of the lineup, including Artemi Panarin, Cam Atkinson, Seth Jones and Zach Werenski. Rinne has had some shaky games in recent starts but will look to settle things down ahead of Nashville’s playoff run, which could be a deep one. Rinne has lost back-to-back games and four out of his last five games, so tonight’s contest is crucial for his confidence entering the playoffs. He has not been confirmed as of this posting, but expect him to start to try to build up his confidence ahead of the postseason. Rinne is 1-0 against Columbus this season, stopping 35 of 36 pucks; he is averaging 23.6 FPPG.

Connor Hellebuyck ($8,600)

Connor Hellebuyck will look to grab one more win in the regular season to tie Andrei Vasilevskiy for the lead league in wins among goalies at 44 (unless Vasilevskiy plays tonight’s game in Carolina). Either way, Hellebuyck has had a Vezina-worthy campaign, picking up 43 wins and averaging 21.7 FPPG. He has played a massive role in Winnipeg’s return to the postseason, and he has been excellent on home ice all year, going 29-5-2. The one drawback of tonight’s matchup is that he has struggled against Chicago this year, going 1-2 in three games against the Hawks. So there is some risk in playing him, especially since Chicago will look to rebound from yesterday’s disappointing effort against St. Louis. However, Winnipeg appears to be playing most of its starters and therefore could put up a strong fight as well; make sure to double check that Winnipeg is keeping most of its lineup intact before lock.

Anton Khudobin ($8,000)

Anton Khudobin and the Boston Bruins will take on an Ottawa Senators team that will be eager to end a long and difficult season. Khudobin gets the nod tonight since the Bruins have one more game tomorrow against Florida. This is an important game for the Bruins, who need to win their final two games and get some help from the Hurricanes (who are facing Tampa Bay tonight) in order for the Bruins to win the Atlantic Division. If Tampa Bay wins their game, then Boston’s games don’t matter; however, if Tampa loses, Boston likely will do whatever it can to win out so that they don’t have to face Toronto in the first round. Either way, the Bruins are heavy favorites against a struggling Senators team, and Khudobin could have decent ownership given the matchup and his price tag. That being said, Khudobin has lost five games in a row, going 0-2-3 in his last five starts, so there is definitely risk playing him tonight. One of the goalies listed below could be a safer bet. But since Boston won’t know whether Tampa Bay will have beaten Carolina tonight, tonight’s game against Ottawa is a must-win game for the B’s.

NOTE: Additional recommendations may be made once further goalie confirmations are released.

Also consider: Roberto Luongo ($8,500), Marc-Andre Fleury ($8,500), Frederik Andersen ($8,400)



Sample Lineups

MacKinnon/Bergeron/Kopitar/Karlsson/McDavid/Matthews, Backstrom/Larkin/Barzal or Brodziak/Mittelstadt, Ovechkin/Benn/Pastrnak/Forsberg, Sedin/Connor/Lee/Brown/Marchessault/Smith/Dadonov/Nylander/Gourde, Bertuzzi/Cogliano, Beauvillier, Carlson/Byfuglien/Doughty/Edler, Manson/Pulock/Girardi, Hellebuyck/Rinne/Fleury/Raanta

Backstrom/Larkin, Barzal, Ovechkin, Gourde/Connor, Donskoi/Meier/Donato/Bertuzzi/Cogliano, Beauvillier, Carlson, Edler/Subban, Hellebuyck/Fleury/Raanta/Luongo

Bergeron, Kopitar, Nylander, Sedin, Donskoi/Donato/Bertuzzi/Cogliano, Beauvillier, Carlson, Edler, Fleury/Hellebuyck/Raanta

McDavid, MacKinnon, Ovechkin, Sedin/Gourde/Connor or Donskoi/Donato/Killorn/Gagner/Jost, Bertuzzi/Cogliano, Beauvillier, Pulock/Manson, Girardi, Hellebuyck/Fleury/Raanta/Luongo

MacKinnon/Matthews, Larkin/Backstrom, Ovechkin/Kucherov, Smith/Gourde/Connor, Rodrigues, Edler, Manson, Rinne

Backstrom/Larkin/Point/Barzal, Ryan, Ovechkin/Kucherov, Marchand/Benn/Laine/Tarasenko/Pastrnak, Beauvillier, Rodrigues, Carlson/Byfuglien/Barrie, Doughty, Khudobin/Raanta

Kopitar, Couture, Wheeler, Lee, Sedin, Killorn, Kronwall, Pulock, Hellebuyck

2 of Duchene/Point/O’Reilly/Barzal/Larkin, Ovechkin, Sedin, Beauvillier, Rodrigues, Carlson/Byfuglien/Doughty/Barrie, Edler/Subban, Fleury/Hellebuyck/Rinne

Larkin/Backstrom/Barzal, Brodziak/Strome, Ovechkin, Kucherov, Beauvillier, Rodrigues, Carlson, Edler, Hellebuyck/Fleury/Luongo

Trocheck, Backstrom/Larkin, Ovechkin, Sedin, Cogliano/Bertuzzi, Beauvillier, Carlson, Manson, Rinne

MacKinnon, Kopitar, Pastrnak, Sedin, Bertuzzi/Cogliano, Beauvillier, Edler, Manson, Hellebuyck

MacKinnon, Sedin, Laine, Sedin, Cogliano/Bertuzzi, Beauvillier, Byfuglien, Carlson, Hellebuyck

McDavid, Larkin, Ovechkin, Bertuzzi/Cogliano, Donskoi/Donato/Jost, Beauvillier, Edler, Manson, Hellebuyck

 

 

Photo credit: Matthew Stockman-Getty Images

By | 2018-04-07T23:02:51+00:00 April 7th, 2018|Daily Fantasy Hockey, DFS Lineup Advice|0 Comments

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