FanDuel DFS NHL – Saturday 2/16/19


There are nine games on tonight’s slate, with the Oilers, Hurricanes and Bruins skating in the second half of back-to-back games. As always, we will discuss all options in the FTA+ discord chat throughout the day.

TONIGHT’S SCHEDULE
OTT @ WPG – 7:00pm EST
EDM @ NYI – 7:00pm EST
MTL @ TBL – 7:00pm EST
TOR @ ARI – 7:00pm EST
DAL @ CAR – 8:00pm EST
CBJ @ CHI – 8:30pm EST
VAN @ SJS – 10:00pm EST
NSH @ VGK – 10:00pm EST
BOS @ LAK – 10:30pm EST

LAST NIGHT’S RESULTS: Last night’s lineup cashed easily, and the two alternates cashed as well. The best performance of the night came courtesy of Nino Niederreiter, who again scored two goals against the Oilers, coming away with 30.4 fantasy points. Value winger Jesper Bratt also had a strong evening, tallying two assists and three shots for 21.3 FP. Ryan Suter came away with 21.3 FP as well, as both players picked up two assists (one on the power play) and three shots. Dougie Hamilton had a quiet night, recording just one shot and three blocks for 6.4 FP, though his ownership was high in FanDuel cash contests. The same was true of Patrice Bergeron, who was in the lineup mainly because of projected ownership; he finished the night with just three shots for 4.8 FP, though his ownership was around 50 percent, which made his minimal contribution less damaging. Mika Zibanejad had a disappointing night as well, coming away with 4.8 FP despite the fact that the Rangers scored six goals against the Sabres. It was mainly the Rangers’ middle six that did the scoring, however, though Mats Zuccarello did pick up an assist and 12.8 FP. Sebastian Aho, however, came through with 24 FP thanks to two assists and five shots. Zach Parise had a quiet night, chipping in just five shots and a block, though he at least came through with a solid floor performance (and massive ownership), which is what makes him a safe cash play most of the time. Danton Heinen managed just two blocks for 3.2 FP but had very high ownership as wel; plus, his low price tag on FanDuel made him an easy value play. Lastly, Jaroslav Halak came through with a 30-save shutout, earning 44 FP on the night, which was a huge boost to the lineup. His ownership was lower than expected but still hovered around 30-35 percent in most cash contests. The other player highlighted in yesterday’s post was Jared Spurgeon, who was too expensive to fit in the main lineup. Suter ended up having a better night, though Spurgeon still came through with 14.4 FP with an assist, two shots and two blocks. Leon Draisaitl also scored Edmonton’s only goal in a 3-1 loss to Carolina.


Center

There are a ton of options at all price points on tonight’s slate, which features many of the best lines in the NHL. Auston Matthews ($7,700) has been red-hot in recent games, though that production came against two teams that have been struggling of late (Colorado, Vegas). That being said, he has three goals and six points in his last two games, earning 42.1 and 37 fantasy points, respectively. Matthews skates on Toronto’s second line and first power-play unit and is averaging 19.1 fantasy points per game this season, though he has been known to come up empty, which adds some risk to the equation.

Mark Scheifele ($7,400) is in a favorable spot on home ice once again, though he had a disappointing game the other night against Colorado, which was a surprising outcome given his numbers against the Avs this season. Tonight’s matchup is against the Senators, who held Scheifele off the scoresheet a few games ago in Ottawa. Winnipeg’s top line could be due for a breakout game, however, assuming Anders Nilsson doesn’t stand on his head. Scheifele has 43 points in 31 home games this season but has been inconsistent in recent games. He and his linemates could have some ownership in cash contests tonight, though, and he’s definitely capable of at least 20 fantasy points.

Another option is Sebastian Aho ($7,300), who continues to produce on the Hurricanes’ high-powered top line. Aho has 15 points in his last 11 games and is averaging 16.7 fantasy points per game this season.

Tomas Hertl ($6,200) is extremely affordable given what he’s been able to do in recent games. He has points in five out of his last seven games, recording seven goals and 11 points as well as 18 shots and 10 blocks in that time. He skates on the Sharks’ second line and first power-play unit and has averaged 15.1 fantasy points per game this season.

One player who has flown under the radar is Ryan Johansen ($6,300), who quietly has points in six straight games and in eight out of his last nine games. That includes a game in Vegas in which he scored a goal and earned 18.4 fantasy points. Johansen has recorded two goals and nine points on 13 shots during his current six-game point streak. He skates on Nashville’s first line and first power-play unit. Though these teams generally have low-scoring games, Johansen has played very well in recent games and could be worth a look if you’re searching for an under-owned option.

DraftKings Value Play — Adrian Kempe ($2,900)

Adrian Kempe has been a solid value play in recent games, recording four goals and seven points as well as 19 shots in his last six games. He skates on Los Angeles’ third line and second power-play unit and is extremely affordable across the industry ($4,100 on FD), but especially on DraftKings.

Also consider: Steven Stamkos ($8,700), Patrice Bergeron ($8,400), Tyler Seguin ($7,800), Brayden Point ($7,600), Jonathan Toews ($7,400), Elias Pettersson ($7,200), Matt Duchene ($7,000), Pierre-Luc DuBois ($5,800), Dylan Strome ($5,600), David Krejci ($5,100), Lucas Wallmark ($3,500)


Winger

There are several of the most elite wingers in the NHL on tonight’s slate. For starters, there’s no one hotter right now than Patrick Kane ($9,200), who has points in 16 straight games and in 23 out of his last 24 games. Kane has collected 12 goals and 35 points during his current point streak, averaging 27.4 fantasy points per game in that stretch. He skates on the Blackhawks’ top line and top power-play unit and is averaging 21.3 fantasy points per game this season. Kane will have a more difficult matchup with the Blue Jackets in town; though Sergei Bobrovsky has had some atrocious performances this season, he has been better in recent games, and John Tortorella has the Jackets playing better defense in front of him. That being said, Kane hasn’t been contained too often, so there’s always potential for a huge output. If he doesn’t hit big then his salary is difficult to justify, but he certainly presents as much upside as anyone on the slate. Some may turn to Alex DeBrincat ($6,900) instead, though he and the rest of Chicago’s second line came up short the other night in Boston. That doesn’t mean they won’t put up points tonight on home ice, but his ownership may be lower than usual considering the other night’s results and the number of top plays on tonight’s slate.

Another player who has been lighting it up of late is Nikita Kucherov ($8,900), though it has been on a much smaller scale compared to Kane and others. Kucherov has four goals and 11 points in his last three games alone, earning 40-plus fantasy points in each game for an average of 42.3. Kucherov skates on Tampa Bay’s top line and top power-play unit and is averaging 19.9 fantasy points per game this season. He and the Bolts will have a difficult matchup against Carey Price and the Canadiens, though it’s tough to know if anyone can slow him down right now.

Evander Kane ($7,700) is coming off a miserable game but is always a strong cash bet given his shot volume. He scored two goals against Vancouver the other night, though that was against a rookie netminder. Even so, Kane has been hot in recent games, scoring seven points in his last four games and 15 points in his last 11. He skates on San Jose’s second line and second power-play unit and is averaging 15.3 fantasy points per game this season.

Nino Niederreiter ($6,000) is a more affordable option, and he’s coming off a two-goal performance against the Oilers last night in which he earned 30.4 fantasy points. He has points in three straight games and in five out of his last six, scoring three goals and seven points in that stretch. He is particularly affordable on DraftKings tonight at just $5,400. Justin Williams ($5,600), who also skates on Carolina’s top line and top power-play unit with Niederreiter and Sebastian Aho, has points in three straight games as well. Williams has earned 22.4, 29 and 12.8 fantasy points in his last three games, respectively.

One player who could have high ownership tonight is Kyle Connor ($5,400), who skates on Winnipeg’s top line in a favorable matchup against the Senators. The Senators give up a ton of scoring chances, though they’ve gotten better goaltending from Anders Nilsson of late. That being said, the Jets will be eager to get things back on track after a stretch of inconsistent play, and Connor skates on the top power-play unit as well, making him a very affordable option on tonight’s slate.

Another play that is particularly affordable on DraftKings tonight is Ondrej Palat (DK: $4,100), though he’s $4,800 on FanDuel. Palat skates with Steven Stamkos at even strength and offers exposure to Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov and the entire top power-play unit for the Lightning. He has points in back-to-back games.

On FanDuel, however, there are some other plays that are more appealing. Though it’s a bit risky given the matchup, Andrew Shaw ($4,700) scored two goals in Tampa Bay earlier this year, and he has points in back-to-back games since rejoining the Canadiens’ lineup. Shaw skates on the team’s second line and second power-play unit.

It will be no surprise if you’ve been reading these posts, but I like Kevin Labanc ($4,500) once again tonight. Labanc skates on San Jose’s third line but is on the team’s top power-play unit, and he has goals in three straight games (five total including a hat trick) and points in five out of his last six games. Labanc has recorded six goals and eight points as well as nine shots and three blocks in his last six games.

Danton Heinen ($4,100) is still in play despite last night’s down performance. Heinen skates on Boston’s top line and top power-play unit and scored a goal and an assist for 26.4 fantasy points against the Kings in Boston a few games ago. Tonight’s matchup will be in Los Angeles, but Heinen is cheap enough that there isn’t too much of a downside in using him. The same is true of Brady Tkachuk ($4,100), who is coming off a very strong performance but will be on the road in Winnipeg tonight. Tkachuk was held to just two shots when these teams met in Ottawa a few games ago, though he skates with Mark Stone, who will be eager to impress given the speculation that he might be headed to the Jets in the next week or so. There are additional value plays listed below, and others may be recommended later today in chat.

Also consider: Leon Draisaitl ($8,000), Artemi Panarin ($7,600), Viktor Arvidsson ($7,500), Blake Wheeler ($7,500), Mark Stone ($6,800), Brandon Saad ($5,400), Timo Meier ($5,200), Josh Anderson ($4,900), Jake DeBrusk ($4,800), Oliver Bjorkstrand ($4,100), Alex Killorn ($3,800), Anthony Duclair ($3,200), Brad Richardson ($3,000)


Defense

Brent Burns ($7,600) is always a solid option, though his price tag will make it tough to accommodate him tonight if you want to play some of the elite forwards. Burns has had a few quiet performances in recent games, earning just 16, 19.2 and 14.9 fantasy points in his last three games, respectively. However, his upside is massive, and he can be a slate-breaker.

Update: Erik Karlsson ($7,000) will be available to play tonight, which makes Burns a less appealing option. I likely will not be spending up for him on FanDuel tonight.

One more affordable mid-range option is Erik Gustafsson ($5,500), who has points in three straight games and in six out of his last seven games. He skates on Chicago’s top power-play unit and has earned 14.4, 21.6 and 16 fantasy points in his last three games, respectively.

Thomas Chabot ($5,200) is another solid choice with a safe floor. Chabot has points in four out of his last five games, including an assist against the Jets when these teams met in Ottawa a few games ago. Chabot skates on Ottawa’s top power-play unit and is averaging 15.5 fantasy points per game this season.

Zach Werenski ($4,900) has seen his price drop, and while he went through a stretch of very mediocre play, his output has picked up in recent games. Werenski skates on Columbus’ top power-play unit and will go up against a Blackhawks team that surrenders a lot of points to opposing defensemen. He has points in two out of his last three games, tallying two assists, nine shots and three blocks in that span.

Anton Stralman ($3,700) has been an effective value play in recent games, and he has five points in two games against Montreal this season. He won’t put up big numbers tonight, but he’s been a sneaky option. With Alec Martinez ($3,700) out of the lineup tonight, consider Oscar Fantenberg ($3,600), who is especially cheap on DraftKings at just $2,700. Other value plays are listed below.

Update: Dustin Byfuglien will NOT play tonight, which makes Jacob Trouba ($5,400) worth consideration as well (assuming he is on the top power-play unit).

Also consider: Roman Josi ($6,700), Seth Jones ($5,700), Shea Weber ($5,500), Ryan Ellis ($4,900), Dougie Hamilton ($4,900), Troy Stecher ($3,900), Mikhail Sergachev ($3,700), Colin Miller ($3,700), Jakob Chychurn ($3,600), Jon Merrill ($3,600)


Goalie

While the ultimate picks will be discussed in chat closer to lock, two teams in favorable matchups tonight are the Islanders and Sharks.

Thomas Greiss ($8,800) has been fantastic in recent games, picking up wins in five out of his last six games; the only loss in that stretch was an overtime loss to the Lightning in which he still earned a shutout with 40 saves through 65 minutes of action. Greiss has earned 44.8, 28.8, 32, 40.8, 35.2 and 38.2 fantasy points in his last six games, respectively.

Alternatively, Martin Jones ($8,500) could have some ownership given the likelihood that he will come away with a win. The Sharks are coming off a tough loss to the Capitals and will look to bounce back. Though Jacob Markstrom will be in net this time, San Jose is a heavy favorite on tonight’s slate, has a potent offense that can give Jones goal support and is on home ice. Jones is always risky since he generally gives up at least a few goals, but there’s a good chance he’ll come away with the 12 fantasy points.

Also consider: Andrei Vasilevskiy ($9,500), Frederik Andersen ($9,200), Juuse Saros ($7,800), Anders Nilsson ($7,800)–GPP




Join me in the FTA+ DFS NHL discord chat to discuss tonight’s slate and lineups.

Featured image credit: Scott Audette-NHLI via Getty Images

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