We have a manageable five-game slate on tap tonight in DFS NHL, with the red-hot and ever-chalky Chicago Blackhawks hosting the much-improved Colorado Avalanche. The Red Wings are also in action coming off a productive performance in a 5-4 loss to Chicago.
NOTE: Recommendations are subject to change depending on goalie confirmations, line changes, news updates, etc. Join us in chat for the most up-to-date plays.
CBJ @ OTT – 7:00pm EST
MIN @ DET – 7:30pm EST
COL @ CHI – 7:30pm EST
ANA @ CGY – 9:00pm EST
WPG @ VGK – 10:00pm EST
LAST NIGHT’S RESULTS: Last night’s line did not cash. I made too many changes to lines throughout the day and ended up taking out most of my best plays for the night (i.e., Aleksander Barkov, Tomas Hertl, Travis Zajac, Justin Williams, Roman Josi, etc.). Most of those players were highlighted in yesterday’s post at least, I just didn’t go with my gut in the final line. Nikita Kucherov scored his 100th point of the season and almost added a second goal in overtime, though Tampa Bay struggled mightily against Carter Hutton and the Sabres, which was definitely frustrating. Kucherov still recorded eight shots and 24.8 fantasy points for yet another solid performance, though. Jesper Bratt managed just one assist and 9.6 FP in a 4-0 win for the Devils, a game that was greatly affected by late news regarding Mark Stone and Ryan Dzingel joining Matt Duchene as healthy scratches for potential trade purposes. Mika Zibanejad and Brayden Point were both disappointments, though Zajac, yesterday’s highlighted value play who was in my PH, scored a goal and earned 16.8 FP. Barkov came through as expected, though I foolishly took him out of my line; unfortunately, he did most of his damage on the power play, which left Frank Vatrano out of the mix. J.T. Miller was also held off the scoresheet in the low-scoring game between the Sabres and Lightning, though he at least managed three shots and a block. Despite his hefty price tag, Andrei Vasilevskiy came through as the safe cash goalie, making 29 saves and coming away with 31.2 FP in a 2-1 shootout win. On the back end, Ryan Pulock had a strong game, tallying two power-play assist, two shots and two blocks for 23.4 FP though Jordan Oesterle, another late substitution, managed just two shots and two blocks for 6.4 FP.
Top Play — Dylan Larkin ($7,300)
UPDATES: Matt Duchene has been traded to CBJ.
Dylan Larkin has been one of my favorite cash centers all season long, but he’s certainly in play tonight. Though I don’t expect he’ll match his three-point performance from the other night, which featured nine shots on goal and 48.5 fantasy points, he’s generally a safe bet for 15-20 fantasy points, and he’ll face a Wild team skating in the second half of a back-to-back. Minnesota looked much better last night against the Rangers, but Detroit’s offense is firing on all cylinders. Larkin skates on Detroit’s top line and top power-play unit and is averaging 16.7 fantasy points per game with 58 points in 60 games this season.
Value Option — Tyson Jost ($3,700)
Tyson Jost has goals in back-to-back games and is skating on Colorado’s third line and top power-play unit, both with Gabriel Landeskog . The Avs have split up the big three, and Jost has benefited greatly from the shake-up. He has two goals and four points as well as five shots in his last two games. Jost managed a Corsi For percentage of 62.07 the other night against Winnipeg, which was just about as strong as his 62.96 from the game before that (against the Knights). Though Jost has had his issues this season, he seems to have taken to the recent line changes, and he and Landeskog make for an interesting mini-stack tonight even though they’ll be on the road. Nathan MacKinnon ($8,000) has the better matchup since he’ll likely draw the Jonathan Toews line for most of the night, but Jost is mainly highlighted for his price tag. There are other mid-range options that might be more worthwhile, though. Several of those options are listed below; they will be discussed in chat throughout the day.
Also consider: Nathan MacKinnon ($8,000), Dylan Strome ($5,900), Pierre-Luc DuBois ($5,800), Mikael Backlund ($5,500), Paul Stastny ($5,200), Boone Jenner ($4,800)
Top Play — Patrick Kane ($9,400)
Don’t overthink it. Yes, Semyon Varlamov has been outstanding in recent games, but even if Patrick Roy was in net tonight, it’s way too risky to fade Kane tonight, especially on a small slate. Even if his salary was $10,000, he’d likely have ownership above 50 percent in FanDuel cash contests because of how hot he has been. Kane extended his point streak to 19 games with two goals against Detroit the other night. He now has goals in four straight as part of four consecutive multi-point games, and he has scored a total of 16 goals and 42 points during his current 19-game point streak. He skates on Chicago’s first line and first power-play unit and is averaging 21.9 fantasy points per game this season, though he has averaged 28.2 fantasy points per game during the streak.
Value Option — Anthony Mantha ($5,100)
Update: Mantha no longer on DET 1, still a good play. Other recommendations in chat.
This is another play that will have high ownership tonight, but he remains part of my core yet again tonight after a massive performance the other night in which he tallied four assists and seven shots for 43.7 fantasy points. Though he has seen a $600 price increase, Mantha is still underpriced given his recent production. He skates on Detroit’s first line and first power-play unit and has recorded eight points in his last five games. Notably, he has registered 26 shots in his last five games for an average of 5.2 per game.
Also consider: Johnny Gaudreau ($8,100), Alex DeBrincat ($7,400), Cam Atkinson ($7,100), Elias Lindholm ($7,100), Gabriel Landeskog ($7,000), Zach Parise ($6,600), Reilly Smith ($5,700), Kyle Connor ($5,600), Andreas Athanasiou ($5,300), Josh Anderson ($4,900), Tyler Bertuzzi ($4,400), Brandon Pirri ($3,700), Michael Frolik ($3,600)
There are several elite plays on tonight’s slate, a few of which I have my eye on. However, a few decisions may depend on line combinations and starting goalies, so the top plays will be discussed in chat. That being said, my top value choice of the night is highlighted below, and other options are suggested below.
Value Option — Filip Hronek ($3,600)
Once again, Filip Hronek is a strong value option as he’ll skate on Detroit’s top power-play unit. The Wild are coming off a strong performance against the Rangers but have struggled of late, going 1-6-3 in their last 10 games. Hronek won’t yield significant fantasy points, but he’s a solid value option across the industry.
Also consider: Mark Giordano ($6,300), Erik Gustafsson ($5,700), Seth Jones ($5,500), Tyson Barrie ($5,200), Zach Werenski ($4,800), Mike Green ($4,200), Hampus Lindholm ($3,900), Ryan Graves ($3,500), Rasmus Andersson ($3,500), Michael Del Zotto ($3,500)
Goalies will be discussed in chat once confirmations have been announced. I expect that Sergei Bobrovsky ($8,700) and Mike Smith ($7,900) will be the chalky plays, so it’ll come down to one of them, but we’ll have to see who is starting and if any players are being held out of action because of the impending trade deadline.
Join us in the FTA+ DFS NHL discord chat to discuss tonight’s slate and lineups.
Featured image credit:Brian Cassella-Chicago Tribune