Despite Stanton and Kris Bryant crapping out, yesterday was a supreme success on FanDuel thanks to Robbie Ray, Freddie Freeman, and my Yankees mini-stack. We’re launching right back into it today with a full 15-game slate and a fun mix of aces and value pitchers. If you subscribe to our FTA+ premium content you get unlimited access to our spreadsheet which has really been on point thus far, and also our live DFS chat room every day leading right up until first pitch. Give it a try – it’s just $0.50 per day!
FanDuel DFS MLB Tuesday 4/18 | Daily Fantasy Baseball
Max Scherzer, WAS ($11,400)
The difference in price between Scherzer and Darvish is much less on FanDuel than it is on DraftKings which means Scherzer is clearly the top choice on FD. The Braves are in the midst of a four-game winning streak and have been pesky to Scherzer in recent years, but they have the lowest IRT on the slate at 3.3 runs and Scherzer’s 33.5% K rate the last two years speaks for itself. He’s fairly easy to deploy on FD.
Other options – Yu Darvish, Michael Fulmer
Luis Severino, NYY ($7700)
You can’t just ignore the volatility Severino has carried throughout his brief career, but you also can’t ignore how he’s looked so far this year. He’s posted an incredible 35.4% K rate and is taking on a lousy White Sox lineup that ranked 24th in wRC+ against RHP last year while also finishing in the bottom ten in K rate. They don’t project any better this year and may be without Todd Frazier again, and Severino is the largest favorite on the slate at -183.
Other options – Zack Wheeler, Shelby Miller, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Mike Foltynewicz, Matt Andriese
Buster Posey, SF ($3900)
Posey’s return at least gives us a “top” option to utilize at the position (as long as he returns as planned), but he’s way too expensive to consider for cash games. He’s a solid GPP option thanks to his skill set and park upgrade to KC, where the weather is warm.
Other options – None
Welington Castillo, BAL ($2800)
The Orioles are going to be the premier team to target today. I’ve attacked Bronson Arroyo to tremendous success both times out this far and he’s already allowed four homers in ten innings pitched. Baltimore is not losing anything in park factor going to Cincinnati and Arroyo is also backed by the bullpen that was the worst in baseball last year. Castillo has been a reverse-split type player in his career (.177 ISO vs RHP the last three years).
Other options – Salvador Perez, Victor Martinez, J.T. Realmuto, Russell Martin
Anthony Rizzo, CHC ($4200)
Rizzo is in a great spot tonight against Jimmy Nelson who has allowed a .362 wOBA and .173 ISO to LHB over the past two seasons. The wind is currently blowing out at Wrigley Field and Rizzo’s K rate is miniscule compared to what a power hitter he is. The only issue here is that Chris Davis is almost $1000 cheaper on FanDuel (see below) and Baltimore players are rising to the top of my projections today.
Other options – Paul Goldschmidt, Joey Votto, Carlos Santana, Edwin Encarnacion
Chris Davis, BAL ($3300)
Davis is not priced for the matchup against Arroyo and the Reds bullpen. Davis does strike out a lot, but that actually helps this matchup since Arroyo is incapable of missing bats (has not struck out more than six batter per nine innings since 2008). Davis has a .293 ISO vs RHP since 2014 and is my #DFSHRcall for the day (new streak – thanks Stanton 🙁
Other options – Eric Hosmer, Brandon Belt, Kendrys Morales, Albert Pujols, Lucas Duda