FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 9/11/18

Jacob Degrom hurles a fastball at home for the New York Mets

Somehow I won yesterday on DK with Kluber in my lineup, although I made the grave mistake of playing lineups even though I was indisposed from 6:00 on, which caused me to play three Phillies in cash (and thereby donating my money).  Tonight we have a 12-game slate, and it’s the third straight day of deGrom.  I will be back in chat tonight, and follow me on twitter @jac3600.  Good luck!   STARTING PITCHER TOP PLAY Jacob deGrom, NYM ($11,800) Well, maybe deGrom will get to finally pitch tonight, as he’s my top pitcher written up for the third straight day.  Here is yesterday’s writeup – take it for what it’s worth, and remove the Kluber talk. “I literally have deGrom and Kluber dead even today, so I’m siding with the discount on deGrom with every dollar counting.  Kluber likely has more K upside than deGrom in this one with the way the Rays have set their lineups recently, but how do you fade a guy who has allowed three runs or less in 25 straight starts?  He is as money in the bank as pitchers come this year, and if I’m getting him at a discount to anyone, that’s the route I’m going.  Miami also ranks 28th in wRC+ against RHP this season.” DeGrom has no competition like Kluber today (who was a total bust anyway), and he should be aggressively pursued in cash. Other options – Mike Foltynewicz, Zack Greinke   VALUE PLAY Mike Fiers, OAK ($7600) Fiers is really cheap on FD considering how well he’s pitched lately.  He’s getting a major park downgrade going to Baltimore (especially since he’s a FB pitcher), but the Orioles rank 29th in wRC+ against RHP with the fourth highest K rate against.  Fiers is undefeated since joining Oakland with a 2.94 ERA, and he’s struck out over a batter per inning as well.  He’s a great GPP option to stack Diamondbacks (or other top offenses). Other options – Shane Bieber, Joe Musgrove, Marco Gonzales, Miles Mikolas, Tyler Glasnow   CATCHER/FIRST BASE TOP PLAY Paul Goldschmidt, ARI ($4900) Goldy may be unreachable in cash with deGrom, but he’s in Coors facing an incredibly good matchup.  Antonio Senzatela has allowed a .185 ISO to same-handed hitters since the start of last season, and Goldschmidt has had great numbers against RHP in his career.  He’s a worthy spend in all formats. Other options – Jesus Aguilar, Anthony Rizzo, Edwin Encarnacion, Matt Olson, Steve Pearce   VALUE PLAY Chris Davis, BAL ($2000) Davis is your full punt today if you need it at first.  Mike Fiers has been great for Oakland thus far, but Baltimore inflates lefty power and Davis still has a .263 ISO against RHP since the beginning of 2015.  The Oakland bullpen is below average in both FIP and ISO allowed as well. Other options – Ji-Man Choi, Brandon Belt, Greg Bird, Jose Fernandez Catcher values – Gary Sanchez, Salvador Perez, Sandy Leon   SECOND BASE TOP PLAY Whit Merrifield, KC ($3600) Merrifield came through last night, and he’s the top 2B once again today.  He’s up to a combined 43 homers and steals on the season and Dylan Covey’s regression has come full circle.  He’s also got a wSB- rating on the year and the Royals have an IRT pushing five runs.  Merrifield will lead off, and his HHR is at 38% over his last ten games. Other options – Daniel Murphy, Jed Lowrie, Ozzie Albies, Rougned Odor   VALUE PLAY Logan Forsythe, MIN ($2300) Forsythe continues to be a relevant cash value at his price tag that refuses to rise.  Forsythe is better suited against lefties, but he’s been getting a top four lineup spot every game lately.  He’s against Sonny Gray who has been a disaster this year, and people may have forgotten that considering he’s been removed from the rotation for so long.  Gray’s FIP and xFIP aren’t as bad as his ERA, but he’s allowed a 36.6% HHR this season. Other options – DJ LeMahieu, Yoan Moncada, Ian Kinsler   THIRD BASE TOP PLAY Jose Ramirez, CLE ($4700) Ramirez has a tough matchup at face value with Tyler Glasnow who has only allowed a .299 wOBA to LHB this year, but Glasnow has incredible command issues (as witnessed last game) and has also allowed the second most SBs this year of anyone on the slate (in limited time).  I don’t see the need to spend on Ramirez in cash, but he’s an elite GPP play, especially since Arenado is likely the highest owned stud 3B despite facing Greinke. Other options – Nolan Arenado, Miguel Andujar, Matt Chapman, Matt Carpenter, Eduardo Escobar   VALUE PLAY Eduardo Nunez, BOS ($2300) Nunez is great salary relief option even though he’s not a great hitter (.304 wOBA and .116 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year).  He should hit in the top six, and the Red Sox have the highest IRT on the slate (5.9) against Ryan Borucki and the Blue Jays’ bullpen that ranks 23rd in FIP.  Nunez also has speed and would be running on a rookie catcher. Other options – Hunter Dozier, Yolmer Sanchez, Kyle Seager   SHORTSTOP TOP PLAY Francisco Lindor, CLE ($5000) Same idea here as Jose Ramirez.  Lindor is actually priced higher, but his hard hit data is much better lately, and he’ll lead off with extra opportunities to steal.  You can’t consider him in cash, but stack the Indians all you want, and use him as a one-off in GPPs. Other options – Trevor Story, Javier Baez, Xander Bogaerts, Didi Gregorius   VALUE PLAY Hernan Perez, MIL ($2500) Perez didn’t play yesterday and ruined a perfectly good value play against Jon Lester who can be run on all day.  Quintana is no prize at holding runners on either, and Perez quietly has some pop against LHP (.173 ISO since the beginning of last year).  He’s a major PH risk with the depth of the Brewers’ bench, but he’s so cheap that he makes it easy to fit in deGrom and some bats. Other options – Adalberto Mondesi, Jorge Polanco, Jonathan Schoop   OUTFIELD TOP PLAY Mookie Betts/JD Martinez, BOS ($4800/$4600) The Red Sox duo is at the top of the projections today against Ryan Borucki who has been incapable of getting righties out this season.  Both players are platoon giants, but Betts gets my priority with the speed boost as well.  He’s pushing hard for that AL MVP, and has a .429 wOBA and .281 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last season.  It’s very hard to fit him in, but if you get one big spend I’d make it Betts. Other options – Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani, Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Hicks, Andrew McCutchen, David Peralta, AJ Pollock, Steven Souza, Charlie Blackmon, Andrew Benintendi, Khris Davis, Michael Brantley, Lorenzo Cain   VALUE PLAY Kole Calhoun, LAA ($3300) I’ve had good luck with Calhoun this year, and I hope it keeps going tonight because he’s a fine value play.  The Angels have an IRT of five runs even at home, and are facing Adrian Sampson who has a 4.74 xFIP at AAA this year with only a 15.8% K rate.  The Angels now rank second in wRC+ against RHP and have the lowest K rate in the league against them, so Sampson could really be in some trouble, and he’s backed by a bullpen that ranks 25th in FIP. Other options – Fantasy Baseball

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