Well, we have none of this split-slate nonsense, and can tackle a tidy little eight-game card with some fun matchups. FTA has been really crushing it lately, so give us a look before the madness of NFL season begins! I can be found on twitter @jac3600, and we are offering free trials if you’re interested in subscribing. Good luck!
Chris Sale, BOS ($9600)
Sale has been a polarizing play this season prone to blowups, which has led to a 4.68 ERA. In addition, the Angels have the lowest K rate in the league against LHP with a 17.3% mark. All that said, Sale should NEVER be this cheap, and he has elite strikeout ability (34.6% K rate, 14.2% swinging strike rate). Also, Sale’s 4.68 ERA is scary, but it’s not real either (3.09 SIERA). We have a cheaper option if the matchup and Sale’s game logs scare you, but Sale is absolutely viable in all formats and is a tough fade at under 10k.
Other options – Aaron Nola, Mike Clevinger, Matthew Boyd, Domingo German
Jon Gray, COL ($7900)
If you want to focus more on bats tonight (which isn’t a bad idea), Gray is an excellent option for cash games. As usual, Gray does much better away from Coors with a K rate 4% higher on the road, and this is almost as good a park shift as he can get going to San Diego. To make it even better, the Padres have the second highest K rate against RHP with a 26.2% mark, and Gray’s price helps you fit in some solid big bats.
Other options – Dallas Keuchel, Madison Bumgarner, Alex Wood, Eric Lauer
Freddie Freeman, ATL ($4400)
If you’re spending on big bats, I think you have to focus on the Red Sox and Yankees, but Freeman is one of my favorite GPP options. He has homered in three straight games (with eight hits as well) and has a 38% HHR over his last ten games. Freeman also has a .393 wOBA and .263 ISO against RHP since last year.
Other options – Anthony Rizzo, Rhys Hoskins, Carlos Santana, Gio Urshela
Sam Travis/Christian Vazquez, BOS ($2500/$2700)
Boston leads the slate with an IRT of 6.4 runs, and both of these guys are excellent ways to get cheap exposure. Neither of these guys are the best hitters, but both will hold the platoon edge against Dillon Peters who has a 4.73 SIERA and has allowed a 40.2% HHR this season. The better play of these two will be the one who has the better batting order position.
Other options – Brandon Dixon, Miguel Cabrera, Eric Hosmer, Justin Smoak
Catcher values – Austin Romine, Victor Caratini, Brian McCann, John Hicks
Gleyber Torres, NYY ($3600)
Torres has once again seemingly avoided the injured list, although the repeated tweaking of his core is mildly concerning. If he’s in the lineup tonight though, he is massively underpriced on FD at $3600. The Yankees have been crushing the ball lately and have an IRT of 6.1 runs against Thomas Pannone who has a 5.98 ERA and a 31% GB rate. Torres has a .363 wOBA and .241 ISO against LHP since last year and should hit third or fourth if he plays.
Other options – Ozzie Albies, Cavan Biggio
Michael Chavis, BOS ($3000)
This is just more Boston talk. Chavis will probably hit eighth which keeps him in the GPP-only category, but he’d move way up the cash lists if he somehow hits higher. The hard-hitting Chavis has a .210 ISO against LHP in his rookie campaign, and also has a 32% HHR over his last 15 games.
Other options – Niko Goodrum, Luis Arraez, Jose Peraza
D.J. LeMahieu, NYY ($4100)
Third base is absolutely loaded tonight, and there are many options to choose from. The only thing I’ll say is necessary is paying up, but D.J. is my favorite pick even though he’s up over 4k again. He has been nothing short of a revelation for the Yankees this year with over a .450 wOBA with runners in scoring position. Against LHP this season, he has a .405 wOBA and .257 ISO, and his PA equity is among the highest on the slate leading off on the road. He’s worth paying for.
Other options – Rafael Devers, Nolan Arenado, Kris Bryant, Eugenio Suarez, Josh Donaldson
Jose Ramirez, CLE ($3300)
The only thing hurting Ramirez is opportunity cost at the position, as the above guys have better matchups. That said, Ramirez is far too cheap on FD at his price. He homered in both games of the doubleheader yesterday and has a 35.6% HHR over his last 15 games. Despite three months of struggling, Ramirez is quietly almost at another 20/20 season.
Other options – Scott Kingery, Harold Castro
Xander Bogaerts, BOS ($3900)
Bogaerts tops the SS position, and the fact that he’s cheaper than the other top guys only makes him a more enticing play. Bogaerts is having an MVP-caliber year hitting third for the Red Sox, and he’s been killing LHP this season for a .308 ISO. He should not be under 4k.
Other options – Francisco Lindor, Trevor Story, Javier Baez, Jorge Polanco
Didi Gregorius, NYY ($3400)
It’s a L/L matchup for Didi, but that shouldn’t stop you from seriously considering him likely hitting third for the Yankees tonight. He has a 39% HHR over his last five games and the Toronto bullpen behind Pannone ranks 24th in SIERA. I’d rather find the extra $500 to get up to Bogaerts, but all Yankees are in play in all formats.
Other options – Jose Iglesias, David Fletcher, Johan Camargo
JD Martinez, BOS ($4300)
I already see most of the other industry writers preferring Betts to JD, and if that’s you I don’t argue in the least bit since he leads off and has more SB equity. However, Betts has a 24% HHR over his last 15 games as opposed to JD who is rocking a 49% HHR. Martinez has destroyed LHP in his career, and has a .401 wOBA and .286 ISO against them since the beginning of last year. He headlines a loaded OF position and is worthy of his price tag in all formats.
Other options – Mookie Betts, Andrew Benintendi, Aaron Judge, Mike Trout, Ronald Acuna, Max Kepler, Nelson Cruz, Eddie Rosario
Nick Castellanos, CHC ($3400)
Castellanos has won me a good deal of money the last couple of days, as he’s come out of the gate firing in his new role with the Cubs. Castellanos has hit safely in every game so far with the Cubbies with a six doubles and a 42.7% HHR (and he has a 36.4% mark in his last 15 games). He will have the platoon edge against Alex Wood and Castellanos has a .362 wOBA and .226 ISO against LHP since last year.
Other options – Jorge Soler, Whit Merrifield, Jason Heyward, Ian Happ, Nick Senzel, Phillip Ervin, Aristedes Aquino, Matt Tauchman, Brett Gardner, Cameron Maybin, Justin Upton, Yasiel Puig, Jacoby JonesFantasy Baseball