It was a solid night for the FTA crew last night as we had most cash in the double ups and some big GPP hits as well. Let’s get right back to it tonight with another full slate, and don’t forget to check out our up-to-date NFL draft guide as football season rapidly approaches. I will be on chat again tonight helping everyone build the NFL bankroll, and follow me on twitter @jac3600.
Zack Wheeler, NYM ($10,700)
I was hoping to get Wheeler at a BIT more of a discount than this, but he’s still far and away the best pitching option on the slate for me and I can’t see ignoring him in cash. The Mets retained all their assets and decided to go for it, and they’ve gotten themselves to within two games of the WC as a result. Wheeler was on full display against the White Sox last game and he gets an even better matchup against the Marlins tonight. Miami ranks last in wOBA and 29th in wRC+ against RHP with the fifth highest K rate against them, and now they seem to have packed it in completely. Wheeler has struck out seven or more batters in five straight games, and is a -210 favorite with a 3.2 IRTA (both are slate bests).
Other options – Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke
Dinelson Lamet, SD ($6500)
There are multiple teams with IRTs over six runs tonight, so if you want to stack them in GPPs you can’t use Wheeler (or the other two guys above either). Lamet has yet to go more than five innings (tough on FD with emphasis on the QS), but he’s also posted a 3.95 SIERA, 29.1% K rate, and a 14% swinging strike rate. His matchup against Seattle is solid as well as they have the seventh highest K rate against RHP. He’s your path to stacks galore.
Other options – German Marquez, Anthony DeSclafani, Zack Plesac, Jon Lester, Jordan Yamamoto
Carlos Santana, CLE ($3800)
Indians. Yankees. Red Sox. Rinse. Repeat.
You’ll find other values on other teams that will be key, but these are the three teams you’re going to be zeroing in on as all three have IRTs north of six runs. Cleveland arguably has the best matchup on the board against Ariel Jurado, who doesn’t miss bats at all and has allowed a whopping 44.2% HHR this season while posting a 4.98 SIERA. Santana has enjoyed an amazing season back in Cleveland, especially against RHP with a .381 wOBA and .275 ISO against them.
Other options – Freddie Freeman, Rhys Hoskins, Danny Santana, Pete Alonso
Joc Pederson, LAD ($3100)
Joc homered yesterday, which bugs me because I had him in for a long time and switched over to Grandal at the last minute. Joc is a platoon monster with a .373 wOBA and .286 ISO against RHP since last year, and Miles Mikolas’ 17.3% K rate takes away a lot of Joc’s downside. He’s also allowed a 41% HHR to LHB since the beginning of last year.
Other options – Gio Urshela, Joey Votto, Ji-Man Choi, Brandon Belt
Catcher values – JT Realmuto, Yasmani Grandal, Buster Posey, Austin Romine
Gleyber Torres, NYY ($3700)
Torres was a big fat zero on FD last night, but he basically laps the field at the position tonight and is one of my top targets in all formats. I’m sure there will be a little concern about Asher Wojchichowski’s K rates to RHB, but his GB rate is 26.4% which is ABYSMAL. Vegas isn’t afraid either as the Yanks have an IRT of 6.2 runs, and all Gleyber has done against Orioles pitching this year is post a 1.773 OPS with ten homers. He’s my top target from the Yankees tonight.
Other options – Jose Altuve, Ketel Marte, Max Muncy
Jose Peraza, CIN ($2000)
If you’re at all concerned about Torres’ core injury, or if you are prioritizing other big bats like Judge, Lindor, Betts, etc, Peraza is the way I’d go. He’ll probably hit seventh again, but at minimum prices he’s a means to an end to get Wheeler and expensive bats. He has speed, and will have the platoon edge for a Reds squad that has an IRT of 5.4 runs.
Other options – Rougned Odor, Keston Huira, Michael Chavis, Jason Kipnis, Ozzie Albies
Rafael Devers, BOS ($4200)
Devers is another candidate for the top overall play tonight. He’s been miraculous for the struggling Red Sox, posting a .386 wOBA and .247 ISO, and he’s been even better against RHP with a .396 wOBA and .272 ISO against them. Jake Junis has allowed a 42.2% HHR this season, and that mark is a shade below 47% against LHB. The Red Sox have an IRT of 5.1 runs, and Devers has a 33% HHR over his last ten games.
Other options – DJ LeMahieu, Manny Machado, Kris Bryant, Eugenio Suarez
Jose Ramirez, CLE ($3500)
Ramirez has woken up in the months of July and August, and we’re finally seeing the guy we drafted in the early first round this past March. He’s still hitting fifth (it would be nice if he was higher), but he’ll have plenty of RBI opportunities in this game against Jurado and the Texas pen. Ramirez has been running all year (0.039 SB/PA) and has a .248 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year.
Other options – Matt Chapman, Justin Turner, Luis Arraez
Francisco Lindor, CLE ($4200)
Didi is the clear value play (see below), but choosing between Lindor and Xander Bogaerts for the top option was tough. Lindor is three stolen bases away from another 20/20 season, and he has a .354 wOBA and .241 ISO against RHP since last year. He also gets a little more PA equity leading off.
Other options – Xander Bogaerts, Fernando Tatis, Trea Turner, Jorge Polanco
Didi Gregorius, NYY ($3500)
Didi should continue to hit third for the Yankees, and you could make an argument that he’s the priority Yankee if you’re at all afraid of Woj’s K rates against RHB. Woj has been HORRIBLE against LHB in his career, allowing a .361 wOBA and 2.25 HR/9 with only a 22% K rate against them (as opposed to 36% against righties). Didi is tough to pass on tonight.
Other options – Jonathan Villar, Elvis Andrus, David Fletcher, Jose Iglesias
Aaron Judge, NYY ($4100)
You can easily make the argument for either top Boston bat, and of course Trout is also arguably the top overall play as well. The fact that Judge is cheaper, however, makes this a pretty easy call on who is the better priority. I don’t necessarily NEED Judge, as Gleyber and Didi will be Yankees that I roster first, but he has been the best reverse split hitter on the Yankees with a .386 wOBA and .284 ISO against RHP, and he also has a 40% HHR over his last 15 games.
Other options – Mike Trout, Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Andrew Benintendi, Bryce Harper, Max Kepler, Nelson Cruz, Eddie Rosario, Christian Yelich, Oscar Mercado
Yasiel Puig, CLE ($3200)
Puig’s suspension could hit at any time so keep an eye out for this, but if he’s playing he’s one of the top overall values on the board regardless of position. Puig is a reverse split hitter with a .369 wOBA and .263 ISO against RHP since last year, and he’s been batting cleanup since coming to the Indians (and he has seven hits in those five games with a 32% HHR).
Other options – Nick Senzel, Phillip Ervin, Aristedes Aquino, Lorenzo Cain, Trent Grisham, Ryan Braun, Shin Soo Choo, Nomar Mazara, Justin Upton, Hunter Renfroe, Manuel Margot, Wil Myers, Khris Davis, Robbie Grossman, Brett Gardner, Matt TauchmanFantasy Baseball