It was another successful night for FTA. My cash lineup hit on both sites, and we had yet another subscriber take down a GPP – this time it was @BigTurk21 who ruled the day with a Yahoo win and @robert_polera rocking an amazing night as well. We are breaking down walls here at FTA, and we can give you free trials to see for yourself! I’m available @jac3600 for any questions as well. Have fun tonight!
Jacob deGrom, NYM ($11,200)
DeGrom is the clear top choice on this slate even though he’s facing the Braves who rank sixth in wOBA against RHP. DeGrom is once again putting together an amazing season with a 3.44 SIERA, 31% K rate, and a 15.2% swinging strike rate, and he is a -190 favorite with the lowest IRTA at 3.2 runs. This will be deGrom’s fourth start against Atlanta this season, and he’s handled them all three times before. He’s well worth his price tag in all formats, but we do have other options.
Other options – Zack Greinke, Jack Flaherty, Lance Lynn, Hyun Jin Ryu
Jose Berrios, MIN ($8800)
Berrios is not Verlander or Cole, but they showed us firsthand the last two days what you can do facing the Detroit Tigers. Berrios has been billed as a better pitcher than he actually is, but the good news is he’s posted adequate numbers across the board. It’s hard to roster a pitcher in cash that only has a 22.7% K rate and 10.5% swinging strike rate, but the matchup against Detroit (last in wOBA against RHP, highest K rate against) can really amplify those numbers. I definitely like Berrios’ price tag for cash, but I’m fading in GPP as I think ownership will be overblown.
Other options – James Paxton, Eduardo Rodriguez, Vince Velasquez, Chris Paddack, Jordan Lyles, Dylan Cease
Rhys Hoskins, PHI ($3800)
The Phillies have an IRT of 5.1 runs, and I think the park factor is the main reason they’re not higher. There’s nothing to dislike about this matchup against Hector Noesi, who has a 5.80 SIERA, 13.6% BB rate, and a 35.4% GB rate, and he’s backed by a bad bullpen as well. Hoskins should continue to lead off on the road (five PAs), and he has a .275 ISO against RHP since last year.
Other options – Josh Bell, Pete Alonso, Carlos Santana, Trey Mancini, Gary Sanchez, JT Realmuto
Jesus Aguilar, TB ($2700)
I pushed the correct buttons with the Rays yesterday, and we’re going to be on them all weekend as they face O’s pitching. Today the righties get a little more play than the lefties facing Ty Blach, and I’m hoping Aguilar gets a bump in the lineup with the platoon edge. Blach has allowed a 51.7% HHR this year, and has given up a 44.7% HHR over the last three years to RHB. In that span, Aguilar has a .227 ISO against LHP and gives you great cheap access to a 5.9 IRT.
Other options – Yuli Gurriel, Danny Santana, Christian Walker, Paul Goldschmidt, Eric Thames, Justin Smoak
Catcher values – Yasmani Grandal, Travis d’Arnaud, Mitch Garver, Robinson Chirinos
Jose Altuve, HOU ($4300)
Houston is also a phenomenal offense to target tonight with a 5.9 IRT of their own. Jose Suarez has held his own in the K/BB departments, but his 38% GB rate is asking for trouble and he’s also posted a 4.80 SIERA this season. Facing the loaded righty-heavy lineup will be no easy feat today, and Altuve has a .362 wOBA and .180 ISO against LHP since last year while also offering a healthy dose of speed.
Other options – Ketel Marte, Keston Huira, Gleyber Torres
Isan Diaz, MIA ($2100)
If you don’t spend up for Altuve, I think your best option is just pure punting the spot (and this is a necessary value if you choose deGrom as your SP). Diaz hasn’t done much at the major league level yet, but he was raking at AAA (.273 ISO, 26 homers) and will likely continue to hit second for an almost minimum price tag. Vince Velasquez has had his struggles with LHB too, allowing 1.45 HR/9 to them over the last three years.
Other options – Whit Merrifield, Rougned Odor, Cavan Biggio, Michael Brosseau
Mike Moustakas, MIL ($3900)
I was a little puzzled not to see Bregman in the player pool, but it seems as though FD has shifted him back to SS. This puts Moustakas at the top of the list, and he’s viable in all formats. He has the highest ISO baseline of anyone at the position (.276 ISO against RHP since last year), and he has four homers and 11 RBI over his last four games. Merrill Kelly has actually allowed a lot more power to righties, but he only has a 15.3% K rate against lefties, which is not a good thing against this Milwaukee lineup.
Other options – Rafael Devers, Manny Machado, Eugenio Suarez, Eduardo Escobar
Jose Ramirez, CLE ($3400)
Ramirez is back! After three months of struggling, he’s hit the ball so well in the second half that he’s back to another 20-20 season and his ISO has climbed back to a .209. Ramirez will take on Jake Junis who has posted adequate rates, but has allowed a 43.7% HHR this season and a 45.6% mark to LHB. Ramirez should never be this price, and he’s still hitting with a 30.2% HHR over the last 15 games.
Other options – Miguel Sano, Yoan Moncada, Vlad Guerrero, Matt Carpenter, Matt Duffy
Alex Bregman, HOU ($4400)
Bregman has taken over the top spot at a new position, and he’s arguably the top overall play on this night. He homered again yesterday, and has a 33.3% HHR over his last 15 games. Bregman has generated a 1.047 OPS and .339 ISO against LHP this season, and his floor/ceiling combo is sky high in this matchup.
Other options – Francisco Lindor, Jorge Polanco, Bo Bichette
Jean Segura, PHI ($3000)
Elvis Andrus hasn’t let me down in the mid-tier in awhile, but today I’m on #TeamSegura. He is crushing it out of the cleanup spot for Philly, and has a 30.5% HHR over his last 15 games. He’ll get the matchup highlighted earlier against Noesi and the Marlins’ bullpen, and he offers a healthy floor with his speed equity (0.027 SB/PA) despite having no power against RHP (.136 ISO since last year, .106 this year).
Other options – Elvis Andrus, Paul DeJong, JP Crawford, Amed Rosario, Jack Mayfield
Bryce Harper, PHI ($4100)
For the second day in a row, I get to call someone that isn’t Trout or the Red Sox OFs! Bryce has proven to us by now that he’s a pretty streaky hitter, but he’s on one of his tears right now with a 43.8% HHR over his last 15 games. He also continues to crush right-handed pitching with a .388 wOBA and .277 ISO since last year, and Hector Noesi has allowed a .409 wOBA and well over two homers per nine to LHB in that span. I think for the first time this season, I’m calling the $330 million dollar man my favorite overall hitter.
Other options – Christian Yelich, Mike Trout, Nelson Cruz, Max Kepler, Tommy Pham, George Springer, Yordan Alvarez, Michael Brantley, Starling Marte, Marcell Ozuna, Aaron Judge
Corey Dickerson, PHI ($3200)
Dickerson is my “Harper-lite” play today, and I like the idea of using them both in cash as long as Dickerson gets a favorable lineup spot. He doesn’t have Harper’s gaudy numbers against RHP, but he’s posted a very adequate .212 ISO against them since last year and has a 39.4% HHR since joining the Phillies.
Other options – Yasiel Puig, Oscar Mercado, Greg Allen, Trent Grisham, Lorenzo Cain, Ryan Braun, Eddie Rosario, Austin Meadows, Kevin Kiermaier, Guillermo Heredia, Michael Conforto, David Peralta, Dexter FowlerFantasy Baseball