FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 8/10/18


Tyler White with the hammer last night!  My favorite 2k play came through right at the end, but it was already a solid lineup with Mookie Betts’ cycle and J.A. Happ punching out nine en route to a win.  Tonight is a full 14-game slate and TONS of different ways to go (DraftKings will be even more diverse).  I’ll be in chat with plenty of time to help tonight, and follow me on twitter @jac3600.  Gotta build that NFL bankroll!

 

STARTING PITCHER

TOP PLAY

Gerrit Cole, HOU ($10,500)

It might be difficult to go with Cole tonight after what the Mariners did to Verlander yesterday, but Cole is WAY cheaper and the Mariners have a IRT of three runs which is by far the lowest on the slate.  The Mariners strike out well below the league average (19.9%), but Cole is posting an elite 35.1% K rate and is a -210 favorite.  He’s price too cheaply for his skill set, and is easy to build around in cash (but not a lock).

Other options – Masahiro Tanaka, Blake Snell

 

VALUE PLAY

Nathan Eovaldi, BOS ($8700)

If you want to go a little cheaper in cash, Eovaldi should be fine even though you’re sacrificing K upside.  Eovaldi has been stellar since joining the Red Sox (and has been solid all year with a ridiculous 0.89 WHIP), and he faces an Orioles squad that ranks 24th in wRC+ with the fifth highest K rate.  He’s a solid -185 road favorite, and the Red Sox offense should drive that even more.

Other options – Shane Bieber, Freddy Peralta, Kenta Maeda, Kevin Gausman, Jose Urena, Austin Gomber

 

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

TOP PLAY

Matt Carpenter, STL ($4700)

I mean, you know.  Carpenter is once again the hottest hitter on the planet, with a 55% HHR and five homers over his last six games.  He seems too expensive for cash, but he’s facing Burch Smith (6.41 ERA, 1.83 HR/9 allowed) and a Royals bullpen that ranks 29th in xFIP and 27th in ISO allowed.  He’s a standout GPP option.

Other options – Paul Goldschmidt, Freddie Freeman, Edwin Encarnacion, Max Muncy, Joey Votto, Yasmani Grandal

 

VALUE PLAY

Joe Mauer/Logan Morrison, MIN ($2200/$2200)

You should use one of these guys in cash games, and whichever one you choose will match your “cash game personality”.  Mauer leads off so he’s got the extra PA upside and a more stable floor.  However, he offers no power, and Logan Morrison has a .259 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year.  Jordan Zimmermann has surrendered a lot of lefty power in recent years.  Either of these guys works fine.

Other options – Matt Olson, Jose Martinez, CJ Cron, Ji-Man Choi

Catcher values – Yadier Molina, Salvador Perez, Buster Posey, Evan Gattis

 

SECOND BASE

TOP PLAY

Gleyber Torres, NYY ($3900)

This isn’t where I’m going to allocate top funds for cash, but Gleyber is a great GPP option, both as a one-off and as part of Yankees stacks.  Mike Minor is in Yankee Stadium and he’s allowed a .199 ISO to RHB since the beginning of last year.  The Yanks are in a three-way tie with both Coors teams for the highest IRT on the slate, and Gleyber should hit fourth or fifth in this one.

Other options – DJ LeMahieu, Brian Dozier, Whit Merrifield

 

VALUE PLAY

Yoan Moncada, CHW ($3100)

I like Shane Bieber as a cheap SP option today, but the fact remains that he’s been brutalized by LHB in his young career, allowing a .401 wOBA and .242 ISO to them.  Moncada’s K downside is immense (34.6% K rate), but he’s posted a .197 ISO against RHP this year to go along with 11 stolen bases.  The White Sox offense isn’t scary, but Moncada’s event upside is high for such a cheap price tag.

Other options – Scooter Gennett, Jonathan Villar, Daniel DeScalsco, Neil Walker

 

THIRD BASE

TOP PLAY

Nolan Arenado, COL ($4500)

There’s nothing to like about the opposing matchup against either pitcher in Coors tonight, but the Colorado effect has still brought each team’s IRT over five runs.  Arenado has a .309 ISO at home over the past three years and his hard hit rate is right about 30% over his last ten games.  He’s a better GPP option for me, but he’s never not cash viable when he’s at home.  Maeda is a good pitcher but he’s no ace.

Other options – Jose Ramirez, Justin Turner, Eugenio Suarez, Miguel Andujar

 

VALUE PLAY

Miguel Sano, MIN ($2600)

Luckily, Sano exists so you don’t have to spend for a top 3B if you’re not totally comfortable with the matchups.  Sano has finally started hitting the ball, and he has a 31% HHR over his last ten games.  Jordan Zimmermann has pitched better this year, but he’s still allowed a .202 ISO to RHB the last three years, and Sano is simply too cheap.

Other options – Matt Duffy, Jedd Gyorko, Yolmer Sanchez, Yandy Diaz

 

SHORTSTOP

TOP PLAY

Francisco Lindor, CLE ($4900)

Lindor has a fairly difficult matchup against Carlos Rodon tonight, but he’s a superstar hitter who has a combined 46 homers and steals and is rapidly approaching a 20/20 season.  He’s been especially good against lefties, posting a .401 wOBA and .214 ISO against them since the beginning of last year (not bad for someone who was supposed to be only good on defense).  He’s a tough spend, but is viable in all formats.

Other options – Manny Machado, Trevor Story, Alex Bregman

 

VALUE PLAY

Jorge Polanco, MIN ($2500)

Polanco is another cheap Twin you can use against Jordan Zimmermann, but just be careful about loading up your lineup with too many of them (I’m already likely locking in Sano and one of the cheap 1B).  Polanco is a switch hitter who has been batting third, and Zimmermann has allowed a .360 wOBA and .213 ISO to LHB since the beginning of last year.

Other options – Andrelton Simmons, Brandon Crawford, Jose Peraza, Jose Iglesias

 

OUTFIELD

TOP PLAY

Giancarlo Stanton, NYY ($4900)

Stanton is my priority spend on this slate.  He homered again yesterday, which now makes three straight days, and Stanton is known for these binges where he’s capable of hitting 8-10 homers in the span of a week.  His hard hit rate is 39.7% over the last ten games, and he has an unreal .466 wOBA and .392 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year.  Texas’ bullpen isn’t any better once Minor is out of the game either.

Other options – Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Andrew Benintendi, Mike Trout, Charlie Blackmon, Christian Yelich, Aaron Hicks, Rhys Hoskins, Starling Marte, David Peralta, Cody Bellinger, Matt Kemp

 

VALUE PLAY

Joc Pederson, LAD ($3400)

Joc’s K issues are no longer a problem this year as his K rate has plummeted to 16%.  That meshes well with the matchup against Jon Gray who can really neutralize lineups with his high strikeout totals.  As long as Joc leads off, he’s going to be popular in cash as he’s too cheap for the leadoff hitter in Coors.  He’s also posted a .222 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last season.

Other options – Yasiel Puig, Carlos Gonzalez, David Dahl, Gerardo Parra, Eddie Rosario, Max Kepler, Nick Castellanos, Mike Gerber, Steven Souza, Jackie Bradley, Brandon Guyer, Rajai Davis, Kevin Kiermaier, Josh Reddick, Daniel Palka, Nick Delmonico

 

Fantasy Baseball

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