FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 7/31/18

Freddie Freeman at the plate for the Atlanta Braves

It’s trade deadline day!  Even though many teams have already been wheeling and dealing already, we could still see some big names moved by the 4 PM deadline this afternoon (Harper??).  Pay very close attention all day, as lineups could get further watered down, and thereby enhance the pitching matchups for some.  I’ll be on later helping our subs wade through everything, and follow me on twitter @jac3600.   STARTING PITCHER TOP PLAY Trevor Bauer, CLE ($11,800) Bauer is the class of the field by a lot, but the problem is he’s also priced that way.  That said, Minnesota has already traded away Eduardo Escobar and there’s a chance Brian Dozier will be moved before the day is done.  If the Twins lineup is that watered down you really may to strongly consider Bauer, who hasn’t struck out less than seven batters in any game sine 5/22 and who has an elite 31.6% K rate this year.  Right now I’m looking to save in cash, but keep an eye on the news. Other options – Tyler Skaggs, Charlie Morton, Masahiro Tanaka   VALUE PLAY Trevor Cahill, OAK ($6900) I took a shot on Edwin Jackson last night and it paid off, and I might go back to the well tonight with Cahill who is actually a better pitcher.  Toronto is another team dealing players which could add to Cahill’s upside, so keep an eye on this.  Cahill’s 3.43 ERA is completely backed by a 3.40 FIP and 3.42 xFIP and he has an awesome 3.8 IRTA (which is actually better than Bauer’s at the moment).  Cahill is firmly in play for cash games, and allows you to load up on offense. Other options – Danny Duffy, Jon Gray, Zack Godley, Jack Flaherty, Walker Buehler, James Shields   CATCHER/FIRST BASE TOP PLAY Freddie Freeman, ATL ($3900) Freeman is too cheap for someone who is perpetually near $4500 and up.  He has been an elite hitter with the platoon edge, posting a .394 wOBA and .247 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year, and Dan Straily has walked 4.29 batters per nine innings while allowing 1.61 HR/9.  The Braves have an IRT of 5.1 runs, which is solid. Other options – Paul Goldschmidt, Anthony Rizzo, Jose Abreu, Carlos Santana   VALUE PLAY Lucas Duda, KC ($2600) Duda is a trade candidate today, but if he remains in KC he’s a solid value today.  He’s taking on James Shields who has allowed a .213 ISO to LHB since the beginning of last season, and Duda has posted a .258 ISO against RHP in that span.  If you go Bauer, he’s your first basemen, and he can be used in the UTIL spot even if you go cheap at SP. Other options – Greg Bird, Mitch Moreland, Ryan Zimmerman, Matt Davidson Catcher values – Salvador Perez, Tucker Barnhart, Evan Gattis   SECOND BASE TOP PLAY Ozzie Albies, ATL ($4000) Albies gets the same matchup highlighted in Freeman’s blurb, and he comes with speed upside as well (combined 30 homers and steals this season).  I think Freeman is the play if you’re taking one Brave in cash, but Albies is certainly viable and is a cornerstone of Braves stacks in GPPs. Other options – Gleyber Torres, Whit Merrifield, Rougned Odor   VALUE PLAY Niko Goodrum, DET ($2700) The last time I wrote about what a good play Goodrum was, I jinxed him into a day off.  Hopefully he’s in there today, because a $2700 hitter against Homer Bailey is a good thing.  Goodrum has shown event upside this year (combined 16 homers and steals), and he’s got a 31% HHR over the last 15 games. Other options – Cesar Hernandez, Neil Walker, Daniel DeScalso   THIRD BASE TOP PLAY Jose Ramirez, CLE ($4700) Third base is incredibly deep today, but Jose Ramirez just kept adding to his incredible season last night with two more homers (thank goodness I paid for him).  He’s now up to 56 combined homers and steals to go along with a .426 wOBA and .332 ISO, and the thought of even Kyle Gibson (who’s been good) stopping him is laughable.  If you go cheap like Cahill in cash, Ramirez is more than worth his price tag. Other options – Manny Machado, Eugenio Suarez, Matt Carpenter, Anthony Rendon, Eduardo Escobar   VALUE PLAY Maikel Franco, PHI ($3300) For cash, you have to pony up the dough for someone in the group above, but Franco is an elite GPP play.  It’s very likely he’ll get an elevated lineup spot today, and is hitting in Fenway Park which is a paradise for righty power.  Franco has a .188 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year and is taking on Drew Pomeranz who has been absolutely awful this season. Other options – Miguel Andujar, Adrian Beltre, Yolmer Sanchez   SHORTSTOP TOP PLAY Trea Turner, WAS ($3800) This nonsense of Turner hitting near the bottom of the order seems to be over, and he’s been first or second in recent games.  Today he’s taking on Steven Matz who has allowed a .221 ISO to RHB since the beginning of last year while REALLY struggling with the running game.  The Mets bullpen was atrocious even with Jeurys Familia, and now he’s traded away.  Washington stacks are a smart move, and Turner is a solid cash play. Other options – Francisco Lindor, Didi Gregorius, Xander Bogaerts   VALUE PLAY Tim Anderson, CHW ($2800) If you want to save at SS, Anderson is the play.  Danny Duffy has figured a lot of things out lately, but Anderson is the surprising owner of a .187 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year and brings speed upside to the table as well.  Anderson’s combined 35 homers and steals is lost in the shuffle given how poor the White Sox offense has been, but he’s an excellent value. Other options – Chris Taylor, Asdrubal Cabrera, Jose Peraza   OUTFIELD TOP PLAY Giancarlo Stanton, NYY ($4300) The Yankees have a slate high IRT of 5.7 runs as they take on baseball’s worst team in the Baltimore Orioles.  Stanton has been crushing the ball lately (39% HHR last ten games) and has posted a very good .361 wOBA and .261 ISO against same-handed pitching since the beginning of last year.  Orioles pitcher Yefry Ramirez has allowed a .196 ISO to RHB this year, and how the O’s bullpen no longer has Britton or Brach. Other options – Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Andrew Benintendi, Bryce Harper, Mike Trout, Rhys Hoskins, George Springer, AJ Pollock, Ronald Acuna, Aaron Hicks   VALUE PLAY David Peralta, ARI ($3200) Peralta is way too cheap for someone leading off against Bartolo Colon.  Arizona has an IRT of 5.1 runs and Peralta has posted a .372 wOBA and .191 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last season.  Colon has given up 1.88 HR/9 to LHB in that span, and the bad Rangers bullpen just got worse as they traded away Keone Kela (much to the chagrin of my high-stakes season long league). Other options – Michael Brantley, Brett Gardner, Nick Castellanos, Leonys Martin, Jim Adduci, Shin Soo Choo, Joey Gallo, Avisail Garcia, Steven Souza, Josh Reddick, Jackie Bradley Jr, Michael Taylor, Jose Osuna Fantasy Baseball

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