FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 7/3/19


It was a successful slate for us over at FTA last night as we waded through 15 full games! No rest for the weary tonight, as there are very few day games on the slate and we’ll be dealing with another full card of games (14). Our team of analysts will be helping you make your final decisions tonight, and make sure to follow us on twitter @FanTeamAdvice (and me @jac3600).

STARTING PITCHER

TOP PLAY

Chris Sale, BOS ($11,200)

It’s going to be hard to call Sale a lock tonight with another Coors game that has an O/U of 13.5 runs, but he is in an incredible spot tonight against the Blue Jays who rank 22nd in wOBA against LHP with a 24.1% K rate. Sale is an absolute K machine with a 35.5% K rate (backed by a 14.3% swinging strike rate), and he’s a -260 favorite with an IRTA of 3.5 runs. I do think Walker Buehler is viable for $1000 less if it helps upgrade some Coors bats, but Sale absolutely has the better K upside of the two.

Other options – Walker Buehler, Mike Clevinger

VALUE PLAY

Domingo German, NYY ($8100)

We’ll have to see if there are any kind of pitch limitations on German as it’s his first start back from the IL, but if there aren’t he’s fine as a cash alternative that helps you fit in multiple big bats. German has struggled with hard contact (38.1% HHR allowed), but he’s also got an elite 13.9% swinging strike rate and is getting both a park and league shift pitching at Citi Field. The Mets are a neutral matchup against righties, but German is too cheap for someone who can rack up 7-8 K’s in five innings.

Other options – Chris Archer, Sonny Gray, Kyle Gibson, Cal Quantrill, Bryse Wilson

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

TOP PLAY

Edwin Encarnacion, NYY ($4100)

I wouldn’t be fooled by Jason Vargas’ 3.66 ERA as it’s backed by a 5.04 SIERA, and he’s also allowed a 39.8% HHR this season. With Luke Voit and Giancarlo Stanton on the IL, we may see a lineup boost for Edwin against the lefty, and he’s battered them for a .365 wOBA and .281 ISO since the beginning of last year. It’s a park downgrade for the Yankees, but they have one powerful righty after another and are worthy of fully stacking on this slate.

Other options – Freddie Freeman, Rhys Hoskins, Anthony Rizzo, Gary Sanchez, Robinson Chirinos

VALUE PLAY

Joey Votto, CIN ($3300)

After looking like he was all done for most of the season, Votto’s bat has come alive over the last couple of weeks. He has a 33.3% HHR over the last 15 days, and he has three multi-hit games in his last five. Votto’s price tag still hasn’t adjusted for this hot streak, and the Reds have a healthy IRT of 5.6 runs against Jhoulys Chacin who has been awful this season (5.40 SIERA, 35% GB rate, 45.1% HHR allowed).

Other options – Paul Goldschmidt, CJ Cron, Tyler White, Justin Bour, Miguel Cabrera

Catcher values – JT Realmuto, Chris Iannetta, Travis d’Arnaud

SECOND BASE

TOP PLAY

Jose Altuve, HOU ($4100)

The Astros are the class of the offense tonight, and rightfully so. They have a slate-high IRT of 7.2 runs and will be facing Peter Lambert who does not at all look major-league ready (or at least not Coors Field ready). Lambert hasn’t exactly lit it up at AAA with a 5.07 FIP and a 16.4% HR/FB rate, and those numbers have been even worse at the MLB level. Throw in the Coors factor and he really doesn’t stand a chance. Altuve has a good shot at five PAs on the road, and he’s heating up with seven hits over his last two games.

Other options – Max Muncy, Gleyber Torres (Moustakas is no longer a 2B on FD)

VALUE PLAY

Scooter Gennett, CIN ($2900)

Gennett has been understandably slow out of the gate after a lengthy injury, but man is his price cheap. Gennett allows you cheap access to the Reds offense and their 5.6 IRT, and he carries a .341 wOBA and .203 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year. I’d be careful about stacking too many Reds even with the high IRT due to the strength of the Milwaukee bullpen, but there are definitely some key cheap individual plays.

Other options – Tommy LaStella (hurt yesterday), Ryan McMahon, Rougned Odor

THIRD BASE

TOP PLAY

Nolan Arenado, COL ($4600)

Ho-hum. Arenado against a lefty in Coors. Yes, I know Wade Miley has been a solid pitcher this season, but Coors Field is a completely different animal, especially this year. Colorado has a ripe IRT of 6.3 runs, and Nolan has a .427 wOBA and .328 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year. He also has a 40.3% against lefties this season. Roster him with confidence.

Other options – Rafael Devers, Mike Moustakas, Yuli Gurriel, Kris Bryant, Eugenio Suarez

VALUE PLAY

Josh Donaldson, ATL ($3000)

If you can’t afford Arenado, Donaldson stands out as a hitter that’s far too cheap. He’s cooled off some after his torrid June, but he’ll hit cleanup for a Braves team that has an IRT of 5.6 runs. Phillies pitcher Nick Pivetta has really turned it around since his demotion to AAA earlier in the season, but when he goes wrong it’s via the long ball (career 1.61 HR/9 allowed). Donaldson is solid in all formats.

Other options – Jose Ramirez, Justin Turner, Marwin Gonzalez

SHORTSTOP

TOP PLAY

Trevor Story, COL ($4000)

Story is still about $500 too cheap, which is giving him the EVER SO SLIGHTEST edge over Alex Bregman (who is really the top option). He has a .405 wOBA and .314 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last season, and he was at a 38% HHR the 15 games before his untimely injury. By the way, if you have the money for Bregman, no one at FTA will argue with you for spending it.

Other options – Alex Bregman, Xander Bogaerts, Francisco Lindor, Dansby Swanson

OUTFIELD

TOP PLAY

George Springer, HOU ($4800)

Springer’s teammates are right behind him here, but he’s the leadoff hitter in Coors, and he’s rocked a 38.1% HHR since returning from his injury. As this article was being written, the Astros’ IRT has risen from 7.2 to 7.4 runs, and Springer has the best floor/ceiling combination of any hitter on the slate. He’s my favorite big hitter to spend on, but he’ll be difficult if you need Chris Sale.

Other options – Yordan Alvarez, Michael Brantley, Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani, Justin Upton, Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Andrew Benintendi, Charlie Blackmon, David Dahl, Aaron Judge, Bryce Harper, Ronald Acuna, Joey Gallo, Kyle Schwarber, Cody Bellinger, Christian Yelich

VALUE PLAY

Ian Desmond, COL ($3300)

With Trevor Story back, Desmond’s lineup spot might get compromised a bit, but he’s viable in the top six at this depressed price tag. $3300 for a hitter in Coors is always a strong value, and Desmond has still rocked a very usable .344 wOBA and .205 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year. The Rockies’ IRT is also on the rise (now up to 6.6).

Other options – Tommy Pham, Shin Soo Choo, Nomar Mazara, Delino DeShields, Joc Pederson, Alex Verdugo, Nick Castellanos, Christin Stewart, Jose Martinez, Tyler O’Neill, Jordan Luplow, Lorenzo Cain, Ryan Braun

Fantasy Baseball