FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 7/24/19

Jaharel Cotton

My FanDuel winning streak is now up to seven straight, but it’s been accompanied by a four-day losing streak on DK. I’d like to get back on track with both tonight, and DK also has a 7-game early card to tackle (in true stupid FD fashion, they’ve chopped up the early games). Check us out in FTA+ chat as we’re rolling along, and while you’re there, purchase our NFL draft guide for the upcoming season! I’m also on twitter @jac3600.

STARTING PITCHER

TOP PLAY

Noah Syndergaard, NYM ($10,000)

We’ve got an interesting little eight-gamer tonight with multiple ways to go at SP in all formats. Ultimately I think Syndergaard is the best combo of price, floor, and ceiling, and he’s the way I’m looking to build in cash. He’s pitched WAY better than his 4.36 ERA says he has, with a 12.5% swinging strike rate, a 47% GB rate, and only a 29.1% HHR allowed. He’s getting a Padres squad that routinely runs out seven RHB, and they have a 26% K rate against RHP which is the second highest in baseball. He’s a -150 favorite with an IRTA under four runs.

Other options – Patrick Corbin, Shane Bieber

VALUE PLAY

Reynaldo Lopez, CHW ($7800)

Welp, if you risked White Sox pitching the last two nights against Miami you got mixed results. Nova went the distance against them on Monday while Dylan Covey got knocked around for five runs yesterday. With Lopez, there is no way of telling which of those results you’ll get, but Miami does have a 4.4 IRT which is the lowest after the three teams facing the top starters above. Miami ranks 29th in wOBA and 29th in wRC+ against RHP with the fifth highest K rate against, and Lopez has flashed double-digit K upside with the right matchup. This is a GPP-only play – he has no business being near your cash.

Other options – Julio Teheran, Dinelson Lamet, Zack Gallen

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

TOP PLAY

Joc Pederson, LAD ($3600)

The Dodgers once again come in with an IRT of 5.7 runs which is tied for the highest on the slate, and it looks like they’ll be facing Jaime Barria who has given up a shade under a 49% FB rate since 2017. Joc’s HHR is up (33.3% over the last 15 games), and he has a .383 wOBA and .286 ISO against RHP since last year. He’s once again a top option on this slate.

Other options – Edwin Encarnacion, Luke Voit, Freddie Freeman, Josh Bell, Mitch Garver

VALUE PLAY

Howie Kendrick, WAS ($2300)

With Ryan Zimmerman back on the DL, I assume we’ll see Howie Kendrick in there instead of Matt Adams in the second game of today’s doubleheader. If Kendrick hits anywhere in the top six, he’s a near lock on this slate at his price tag. Kyle Freeland has been named the starter of game two and he’s been a mess this year, posting a 6.21 FIP and allowed 2.27 HR/9. The park upgrade will help, but not much, as Washington is still rocking an IRT of 5.6 runs.

Other options – Paul Goldschmidt, Garrett Cooper, Neil Walker

Catcher values – Matt Wieters, Yan Gomes, Wilson Ramos

SECOND BASE

TOP PLAY

Max Muncy, LAD ($4100)

This pick pretty much echoes the Joc play. Muncy is an elite power play in baseball, as only Mike Trout and Christian Yelich have hit more homers over the past 162 games. Muncy has a 30.4% HHR over his last 15 games and a 30.1% mark on the year, and he’s posted a .257 ISO against RHP since last year. He’s worth his price, but I’d rather grab some value in cash.

Other options – Gleyber Torres

VALUE PLAY

Brian Dozier, WAS ($2700)

Dozier has been a popular choice at FTA when he was batting seventh, and we’ve actually seen him climb to sixth in recent games. He’s had a renaissance this year, and its led to posting a .345 wOBA and .220 ISO against LHP with a bit of speed. Against Kyle Freeland and a tired Rockies bullpen, he’s too cheap.

Other options – Jason Kipnis, Cavan Biggio, Starlin Castro

THIRD BASE

TOP PLAY

Anthony Rendon, WAS ($4200)

Rendon just adds more to the allure of the Nationals bats tonight. He’s hitting the ball well (32.5% HHR last 15)and he’s an elite bat for nine innings. Against lefties since the beginning of last year, Rendon has posted a .392 wOBA and .259 ISO. He’s in competition with Judge and Bellinger for the top overall bat on the slate.

Other options – DJ LeMahieu, Nolan Arenado, Josh Donaldson, Yoan Moncada, Justin Turner

VALUE PLAY

Miguel Sano, MIN ($3400)

The Twins have really flexed their muscle in this series with the Yankees, and Sano has really been in the thick of that. He’s been hitting fifth lately and has a whopping 45% HHR over his last 15 games. Since the beginning of last year, Sano has walloped LHP for a .271 ISO, and the Yankees bullpen was blown out yesterday. J.A. Happ has a 4.64 SIERA with a 39.7% HHR allowed this year. With the bullpen tired, stacking the Twins and their 5.3 IRT is better than most days.

Other options – Vlad Guerrero, Tommy Edman, Brian Anderson

SHORTSTOP

TOP PLAY

Trea Turner, WAS ($3900)

Turner will be popular after hitting for the cycle yesterday (unless he sits – he’s in the game one lineup). Nevertheless, he’s underpriced and will lead off for a Nats squad and their 5.6 IRT. Turner has been crushing the ball lately with a 44.1% HHR, and can win your games with his bat or his legs.

Other options – Francisco Lindor, Trevor Story, Jorge Polanco

VALUE PLAY

Didi Gregorius, NYY ($2900)

Didi went ballistic yesterday with five hits and seven RBIs, and now he might even get a lineup boost with Gary Sanchez headed to the IL. He should be chalk, and I like the idea of utilizing FanDuel’s UTIL spot to pair Didi with Trea Turner. Jake Odorizzi has been a quality pitcher this year, but the Yankees have an IRT of 5.7 runs against him and the Twins bullpen is gassed too. Since last season, Didi has a .208 ISO against RHP.

Other options – Dansby Swanson, Corey Seager, Miguel Rojas

OUTFIELD

TOP PLAY

Aaron Judge, NYY ($4500)

Choosing between Judge and Cody Bellinger for this spot is brutal, and honestly it’s the $200 discount for Judge that pushes him slightly over the top. Judge is the best reverse split hitter on the Yankees with a .386 wOBA and .284 ISO against RHP since last year, and in that span Jake Odorizzi has allowed a .193 ISO to RHB. Judge is also absolutely crushing the ball right now, with a 53.8% HHR over his last 15 games (don’t get me wrong – Bellinger is also red hot with a 46.4% HHR last 15).

Other options – Mike Trout (oh yeah, him too), Ronald Acuna, Nelson Cruz, Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, Juan Soto, Whit Merrifield, Michael Conforto

VALUE PLAY

Curtis Granderson, MIA ($2000)

Your guess is as good as mine where he’s going to hit in the lineup (he was first two days ago and seventh last night). It really doesn’t matter where he is at min price (remember, he homered from the seventh spot yesterday), and he has an upgrade to pretty much every relevant factor, plus he’s minimum priced. Despite the decline, Granderson still has a .186 ISO against RHP since last year, and Reynaldo Lopez has a 4.96 SIERA and only a 33% GB rate this season.

Other options – Tyler O’Neill, Dexter Fowler, Jose Martinez, Alex Verdugo, Marwin Gonzalez, Adam Eaton, Alex Gordon, Victor Robles, Ian Desmond, Randal Grichuk

Fantasy Baseball