FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 7/22/19

Francisco Lindor admires a homerun from the left side for the Cleveland Indians

So we start a new week today, and it’s one that does not include:

Coors Field
Yankee Stadium
Camden Yards
Wrigley Field
Globe Life Park (Texas)

As a result, we’re seeing some tame IRTs compared to what they’ve been, and we’ll have to adjust accordingly as a result. I’ll be back in chat helping out our loyal FTA+ subs, and make sure to follow me on twitter @jac3600.

STARTING PITCHER

TOP PLAY

Gerrit Cole, HOU ($11,700)

Cole is fully priced, but if there’s ever a day to pay it it’s today, as offenses are a lot more diminished. The A’s are not the best matchup (14th in wOBA against RHP with only a 21% K rate) but Cole has been simply tremendous this year with a 2.58 xFIP (best in the majors among starters), 37.5% K rate, and a 16.3% swinging strike rate. He’s a -230 favorite with a 3.4 IRTA (both slate extremes) and he’s racked up double digit K’s in five of his last eight starts. I won’t call him a lock given the difficult nature of fitting in bats next to his price tag, but I’m making every effort to prioritize him.

Other options – Mike Clevinger, Robbie Ray

VALUE PLAY

Robbie Ray, ARI ($9600)

If you REALLY aren’t comfortable with Cole’s price tag, Ray is the logical alternative. His 11.5% BB rate and 41.5% HHR allowed make him far less safe than Cole, but his 30.7% K rate and 13.8% swinging strike rate make it so he can match Cole’s upside. Furthermore, Ray’s matchup is much better against the Orioles who have the fifth lowest wOBA against LHP with the fifth highest K rate against them, and Baltimore will lose the DH traveling to Arizona. At a $2100 discount, Ray is an elite GPP option and can be considered in cash.

Other options – Eduardo Rodriguez, Marco Gonzales, Trevor Richards, Trevor Williams

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

TOP PLAY

Gary Sanchez, NYY ($3900)

Despite the park downgrade going to Minnesota, the Yankees come into this slate with the highest IRT at 5.7 runs. Sanchez has hammered LHP this season for a .286 ISO and 46% HHR and Martin Perez’s 4.73 SIERA indicated he’s still bound for some serious regression. He also doesn’t really miss bats (20.5% K rate) which doesn’t bode well against a Yankee offense stacked with righties.

Other options – Edwin Encarnacion, Luke Voit, Carlos Santana, Christian Walker

VALUE PLAY

Neil Walker, MIA ($2200)

The Marlins are a strangely good option today, and Walker is a nice value for those of us who have aspirations to roster Gerrit Cole. Walker has been hitting second for the Marlins lately, and they’re not only getting a massive park upgrade going to Chicago but also a league shift (gaining the DH). Ivan Nova is a horrible pitcher with a 5.86 ERA, 5.11 SIERA, and only a 148% K rate (and less than 14% against LHP). Miami’s IRT of 4.7 runs is about as high as you’ll see it for a team ranked as low as they are.

Other options – Jose Abreu, Joey Votto, Matt Adams, Brandon Belt

Catcher values – Mitch Garver, Yasmani Grandal, Roberto Perez, Omar Narvaez

SECOND BASE

TOP PLAY

Eduardo Escobar, ARI ($3900)

It’s not Camden Yards, but it’s also not like Arizona isn’t hitter-friendly (even with the humidor installed). Also, facing the Orioles’ pitching staff has its benefits no matter where the game is held, and the D-Backs have the second highest IRT at 5.5 runs. Escobar has a .230 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year, and just remember the entire Baltimore staff ranks last in xFIP and wOBA allowed.

Other options – Jose Altuve, Gleyber Torres

VALUE PLAY

Derek Dietrich, CIN ($2800)

Dietrich comes in as a nice little value at $2800. He’s been a powerful platoon play for the last two years, posting a .353 wOBA and .237 ISO against RHP, and he’s also hot with a 33.3% HHR over the last 15 games. Plays like this are necessary to find for Cole builds in cash.

Other options – Scooter Gennett, Brian Dozier, Starlin Castro

THIRD BASE

TOP PLAY

Jose Ramirez, CLE ($3800)

We’re FINALLY seeing vestiges of the Jose Ramirez everyone drafted in the top five overall this season, and honestly if this keeps going he’s still pretty underpriced. Ramirez has been busting the cover off the ball with a 44.2% HHR the last 15 games, and he’s facing Ryan Borucki who is backed by a bullpen that ranks 24th in SIERA. Ramirez hits better from the left side, but he’s also still running a lot this year (20 stolen bases).

Other options – Anthony Rendon, Nolan Arenado, DJ LeMahieu, Yoan Moncada, Eugenio Suarez

VALUE PLAY

Jake Lamb, ARI ($2900)

Don’t look now, but the elusive Jake Lamb has arisen in the month of July with a 36.8% HHR. He’s always been a solid platoon play, and that’s continued since the beginning of last year as he’s posted a .212 ISO against RHP. Aaron Brooks has a 5.59 FIP and has allowed 1.94 HR/9 this year, and is backed by the worst bullpen in baseball.

Other options – Tommy Edman, Pablo Sandoval, Brian Anderson

SHORTSTOP

TOP PLAY

Francisco Lindor, CLE ($3900)

If you decide to choose Gerrit Cole as your SP, it’s likely you’re only able to fit in one bit bat, and in my opinion that should be Lindor tonight. He’s honestly a gift being under 4k anyway, and he’s been crushing the ball lately for a 38.9% HHR over his last 15 games. Like Jose Ramirez, Lindor is generally better from the left side, but he’s been great against LHP since the beginning of last year, posting a .373 wOBA and .228 ISO. He’s also not afraid to run, with 14 stolen bases of his own.

Other options – Alex Bregman, Trevor Story, Trea Turner

VALUE PLAY

Miguel Rojas, MIA ($2200)

The beauty of FanDuel is that you can roster Lindor and STILL find a nice value at SS should you choose. Rojas is really not a good hitter (12.2% HHR this year) and he’s also dealing with an injury that caused him to not start yesterday’s game, but he did make an appearance (and got a hit). He’s the leadoff hitter in Chicago against one of the worst pitchers on the slate and he’s near min price which automatically gives him value, especially on a day where you want to try and pay top dollar for your SP.

Other options – JP Crawford, Elvis Andrus, Leury Garcia

OUTFIELD

TOP PLAY

Aaron Judge, NYY ($4700)

Judge is fully priced and won’t fit any sort of Cole builds, but there’s no question that he’s the top OF on the slate and should be a mainstay in your GPPs, whether as a one off or part of stacks. Judge has a 57% HHR over the last 15 games (yes, you read that right) and has killed LHP this season for a .425 wOBA and .270 ISO. He DOES have downside, as lefties have K’d him at a 26.1% rate, but that shouldn’t stop him from doing some serious damage tonight.

Other options – George Springer, Yordan Alvarez, Michael Brantley, Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Juan Soto, Charlie Blackmon, Ketel Marte, Joey Gallo, Oscar Mercado, Aaron Hicks

VALUE PLAY

Jordan Luplow, CLE ($2800)

Luplow is always a fun platoon option as he’s beaten up on LHP for a .450 wOBA this season, and is facing one that has struck out under six batters per nine innings this season while walking over three batters per nine. Luplow does have PH risk with Tyler Naquin there, but he’s too cheap to ignore for the upside he brings in the matchup, and Cleveland has a nice IRT of 5.3 runs.

Other options – Yasiel Puig, Jarrod Dyson, Adam Jones, David Dahl, Mallex Smith, Adam Eaton, Kyle Schwarber, Tyler O’Neill, Dexter Fowler, Jose Martinez, Curtis Granderson, Alex Dickerson, Mike Yastremski

Fantasy Baseball