FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 7/22/18

Well, THAT’S more like it.  Got double dongs from both Yonder Alonso and Corey Dickerson, and strong totals across the rest of my cash lineup to post a 194 and hit in every contest.  Today is a very different complexion with only eight games and the focus on one of the two stud pitchers (as opposed to offense the last two days).  I’ll be on chat helping out our subs in FTA+, and you can follow me on twitter @jac3600.  Good luck!   STARTING PITCHER TOP PLAY Chris Sale, BOS ($12,500) FanDuel has done it right today.  Sale looks like a better play than Scherzer today but the $700 discount really is going to make the decision difficult.  The Braves lineup is tricky for Scherzer as they don’t strike out a lot and throw a lot of lefties.  However, Ozzie Albies should sit again so we’ll just have to wait.  Anyway, let’s talk about Sale.  He’s unreal lately.  He’s struck out double digit batters in five straight and six of seven (and nine Ks in the one he didn’t).  He has a 37.5% K rate on the season and is a -330 favorite with a 2.9 IRTA.  The Tigers are ranked ninth in wRC+ against LHP but pitching away from Fenway is actually a help for Sale against all these righties.  As of this writing, I’m choosing to pay the extra $700 for Sale, but make sure to join me in chat later.  You need to build around on of these two. Other options – Max Scherzer   VALUE PLAY J.A. Happ, TOR ($8000) If you’re deviating from the top two in GPP, Happ looks like the best bet.  He’s been bad lately, but in all fairness his matchups have been horrendous.  Today he faces the Orioles who rank 29th in wRC+ against LHP, and that was with Manny Machado in the lineup all season.  The K rate is not as high, but this is a great matchup for Happ to get back on track (unless he’s traded).  He’s one of four pitchers with in IRTA under four runs (3.8), and allows for some fun offense in GPP. Other options – Mike Foltynewicz, Alex Wood, Chris Archer, Jose Quintana, Jake Odorizzi   CATCHER/FIRST BASE TOP PLAY Joey Votto, CIN ($3900) The Indians are only available on DK today, so you’re going to see a new crop of names today on FD (you still want the Indians hitters on DK).  Votto is a solid cash play and comes in at a nice price at under 4k.  He’s hitting in his home park and facing Ivan Nova who has allowed a .366 wOBA and .213 ISO to LHB since the beginning of last season.  Votto’s HR numbers are down this year, but none of his peripheral stats have diminished a bit. Other options – Justin Smoak, Anthony Rizzo, Steve Pearce   VALUE PLAY Kendrys Morales, TOR ($2500) Morales quietly has an incredible 55% HHR over his last ten games, and is only $2500 on FD which really fits the cash mold with us spending on pitching.  The Blue Jays have an IRT of 5.2 runs which is actually the highest on FD’s slate right now, and they’re facing Andrew Cashner who has allowed a 47% FB rate over the past three years.  Toronto will be very popular today with their cheap price tags. Other options – Josh Bell, Lucas Duda, Joe Mauer Catcher values – Salvador Perez, Russell Martin, Tucker Barnhart   SECOND BASE TOP PLAY Scooter Gennett, CIN ($3800) 2B is tough today but there are almost no cheap plays that stand out as of now.  Gennett is cash viable since you may be forced into squeezing him in, and the context is great.  He has the same platoon edge against Ivan Nova, and Gennett has been excellent against RHP since the beginning of last season with a .397 wOBA and .228 ISO. Other options – Brian Dozier, Whit Merrifield   VALUE PLAY Jonathan Schoop, BAL ($3200) Schoop is priced fairly, but he’s at least a cheaper option if you can’t get all the way up to Gennett.  Schoop is facing a quality pitcher in J.A. Happ, but Schoop is one year removed from a breakout season where he had a .399 wOBA and .290 ISO against LHP.  Hitting in the Rogers Centre plays well to right-handed power, and Happ has struggled a bit lately. Other options – Eduardo Nunez, Devon Travis, Logan Forsythe   THIRD BASE TOP PLAY AND TOP VALUE Yangervis Solarte, TOR ($2600) Solarte is a lock for cash.  He’ll hit anywhere from second to fourth on the team with the highest IRT on the slate, and his price is nowhere near correct for what he’s done this year.  Solarte has a .177 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last season and gets to take aim at the HR-prone Andrew Cashner, which is good for any DFS prospects. Other options – Eugenio Suarez, Kris Bryant, Mike Moustakas, Justin Turner, Colin Moran   SHORTSTOP TOP PLAY Manny Machado, LAD ($4400) Machado has come in second to Lindor the last two days, but he’s the top option for sure today with the latter only available on DK.  Machado is getting a park upgrade in Milwaukee and is facing Brent Suter who has allowed a 36% HHR to RHB since the beginning of last season.  The strength of Milwaukee’s bullpen keeps Machado (and most of the rest of the Dodgers) strictly in GPP play for me, but Machado is an elite hitter. Other options – Xander Bogaerts, Trea Turner   VALUE PLAY Tim Beckham, BAL ($2500) I’m high enough on Happ that it’s disturbing that I might play two Orioles in cash, but Beckham is the cash choice for me as the leadoff road hitter at only $2500.  He’s not a great hitter but he has a .172 ISO against LHP the last two years, and he fits the cash game build with the emphasis on Sale and Scherzer. Other options – Jose Peraza, Paul DeJong, Aledmys Diaz   OUTFIELD TOP PLAY Mookie Betts/JD Martinez, BOS ($5100/$4800) It’s going to be near impossible to fit one of these guys into cash, but I’d stack them both in any GPPs with cheap pitching.  The Red Sox have an IRT of 5.1 runs which is just behind the Blue Jays, and Betts and JD both have unreal numbers against LHP over the past two years.  Blaine Hardy is not as good as his 3.31 ERA suggests, with a 4.54 xFIP and only an 18% K rate.  He’s also backed by a lousy bullpen. Other options – Bryce Harper, Juan Soto, Starling Marte, Gregory Polanco,  Eddie Rosario   VALUE PLAY Curtis Granderson, TOR ($2900) Like Solarte, Granderson is simply too cheap for the context.  He’ll hit leadoff against Andrew Cashner and the Orioles, and he has a .224 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year.  With Kevin Pillar on the DL, there’s virtually no PH risk for Granderson despite the fact that Baltimore has two strong lefties in their bullpen (at least for now). Other options – Corey Dickerson, Tommy Pham, Marcell Ozuna, Harrison Bader, Ryan Braun, Lorenzo Cain, Adam Eaton, Teoscar Hernandez, Matt Kemp, Kike Hernandez, Chris Taylor, Dwight Smith   Fantasy Baseball

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