FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 7/20/18

Free MLB DFS FanDuel GPP Advice

Let the second half begin!  We’re back working hard for you at FTA+ as we immediately get a 14-game slate to tackle with all sorts of ways to build on both the pitching and hitting side.  If you’re a subscriber (you should be), join us in FTA+ chat tonight as we keep you up to minute on lineup changes and the best ways to build cash and GPP lineups.  You can also follow me on twitter @jac3600.   STARTING PITCHER TOP PLAY Trevor Bauer, CLE ($12,200) Bauer easily tops the pitching pool today but is pretty much priced out of cash around the industry.  Bauer has become a bonafide ace with his 31.4% K rate this season and the matchup is great against the Rangers who rank 24th in wRC+ against RHP.  That said, the temperatures in Texas will be pushing 105 degrees and it’s led to a 4.2 IRTA.  I’d rather keep the same K upside in the mid-tier for cash and buy some serious bats, but Bauer is an elite GPP option. Other options – Stephen Strasburg   VALUE PLAY Robbie Ray, ARI ($7600) Ray is likely where I’ll settle into cash.  His matchup is neutral against the Rockies who are 14th in wRC+ against LHP with a league average K rate, but this is a pitcher who is routinely pushing 10k.  Ray struck out eight Rockies in Coors in his last start in just 5.1 innings, and he has an amazing 34.1% K rate this season after posting a 32.8% mark last year.  He offers incredible upside, and allows you to get some amazing bats in there. Other options – David Price, Rich Hill, Jake Arrieta, Nathan Eovaldi, Domingo German, Wade LeBlanc, Sam Gaviglio   CATCHER/FIRST BASE TOP PLAY Edwin Encarnacion, CLE ($3600) The Indians will be the featured offense in this first day back from the break, as they travel to the heat of Arlington and lead the slate with an IRT of 5.8 runs.  Edwin is obviously on the wrong side of his career, but he has a great price tag and is facing Martin Perez who has allowed a .382 wOBA and .182 ISO to RHB since the beginning of last year.  Edwin should hit cleanup, and fits across all formats. Other options – Joey Votto, Paul Goldschmidt, Justin Smoak   VALUE PLAY Chris Davis, BAL ($2100) Chris Davis is available as a pure punt option even though he’s had a miserable season.  He usually hits fifth now, and the trade of Manny Machado may bump him up one more spot (even though the overall offense loses out).  Sam Gaviglio is a sneaky GPP option, but he’s allowed a .203 ISO to LHB since the beginning of last year. Other options – Brandon Belt, Matt Olson, Carlos Santana, Jose Abreu, Kendrys Morales Catcher values – Buster Posey, Salvador Perez, Yan Gomes, Russell Martin   SECOND BASE TOP PLAY Brian Dozier, MIN ($3700) Be aware of the trade rumor mill, as Dozier’s name has been bandied about a bit.  However, he was raking before the allstar break and now gets a date with Danny Duffy who has allowed a .171 ISO to RHB since the beginning of last year.  Dozier has a .243 ISO against LHP in that span and has a 36% HHR over the last 15 games. Other options – Jose Altuve, Scooter Gennett   VALUE PLAY Dee Gordon, SEA ($3100) Gordon is always a tough sell in terms of upside, as he has a 5% HHR the last 15 games and only a 6% mark on the entire season.  However, he still has blazing speed (112 SBs since the beginning of 2016) and will lead off for a Mariners team with an IRT of five runs.  James Shields is always a prime attack point in DFS, and Gordon’s price tag is attractive. Other options – Whit Merrifield, Cesar Hernandez, Asdrubal Cabrera, Jonathan Schoop, Logan Forsythe   THIRD BASE TOP PLAY Jose Ramirez, CLE ($4800) Ramirez and his teammate Lindor are my top two overall hitters tonight, but Lindor is the easy choice for me of the two considering there’s a lot of depth to the 3B position tonight.  However, Ramirez is posting unbelievable numbers this season with a .280 ISO and a combined 49 homers and steals already.  He’s better against righties but a .388 wOBA and .244 ISO against LHP is nothing to sneeze at either.  He’s an elite play across all formats. Other options – Nolan Arenado, Alex Bregman, Anthony Rendon, Eduardo Escobar   VALUE PLAY Yangervis Solarte, TOR ($2600) Solarte’s price seems way too cheap, and he’s my lean in cash games as of right now.  Solarte is quietly having a fantastic year for the Jays with a .422 wOBA and .245 ISO, and his price tag simply does not reflect this.  Dylan Bundy is the strongest pitcher on the Orioles staff, but he’s struggled with lefty power, allowing a .190 ISO to them since the beginning of last year.  Toronto has a sneaky IRT of 4.7 runs. Other options – Mike Moustakas, Justin Turner, Kyle Seager, Jake Lamb, Tim Beckham   SHORTSTOP TOP PLAY Francisco Lindor, CLE ($4500) Lindor is my top overall hitter today, and I’m spending on him in cash.  Lindor is having a magical season for the Indians with a .271 ISO and a combined 38 homers and steals.  He’ll hit in the heat of Texas and has destroyed LHP since the beginning of last year with a .400 wOBA and .216 ISO.  Five PAs is a good bet, and he doesn’t seem like he’ll disappoint in any format. Other options – Manny Machado (in LA, remember), Xander Bogaerts, Trevor Story, Jean Segura, Trea Turner, Didi Gregorius   VALUE PLAY Chris Taylor, LAD ($3300) I assume Taylor will not be listed at SS much longer once Machado becomes the premier Dodgers SS, but we can use him here tonight.  He should lead off against Wade Miley who has allowed 1.44 HR/9 to RHB over the past two years, and Taylor has a .194 ISO against LHP in that span.  The addition of Manny Machado enhances the Dodgers lineup tremendously, and they come in with an IRT of five runs right out of the gate. Other options – Tim Anderson, Jorge Polanco, Brandon Crawford   OUTFIELD TOP PLAY Mookie Betts/JD Martinez, BOS ($5000/$4700) Lindor is my top cash priority for a big bat, but I think you can fit one of these guys in as well as long as you go cheap at SP (like I plan to).  The Red Sox have an IRT of five runs even against an improved Matt Boyd, and both these hitters have obliterated LHP in their career.  JD has the most elite numbers with a .468 wOBA and .363 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year, but Betts has the SB upside as well.  Both are fantastic plays, and each hitter has over a 40% HHR the last 15 games.  You can’t go wrong here. Other options – Mike Trout, Bryce Harper, Juan Soto, Giancarlo Stanton, Brett Gardner, Michael Brantley, Starling Marte, Nelson Cruz, Mitch Haniger, George Springer, Lorenzo Cain, Nick Castellanos   VALUE PLAY Curtis Granderson, TOR ($2600) Grandy has been cold lately (10% HHR last 15 games), but he leads off against RHP and has a .244 ISO against them over the past two seasons.  I noted that Dylan Bundy struggled with lefty power, and Toronto plays well to that as well.  There’s so much value in the OF that you can fit in some nice big bats elsewhere, and I think it starts with Granderson. Other options – Rhys Hoskins, Corey Dickerson, Andrew McCutchen, Kevin Kiermaier, Brandon Nimmo, Michael Conforto, Adam Eaton, Shin Soo Choo, Nomar Mazara, Joey Gallo, Dustin Fowler, Aaron Altherr, Brandon Guyer, Rajai Davis   Fantasy Baseball

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