FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 6/28/19

Justin Turner of the Dodgers at home pointing to the sky

Happy Friday all! If you’re not on the FanTeamAdvice train you’re really missing out. We’ve been having nightly top-five finishes and takedowns in GPPs and grinding out the cash as well, so you owe it to yourself to check us out if you’re even a casual DFS player. Tonight’s as good a time as any as we have a full 14-game slate (no Yankees or Red Sox as they’re getting set to go in London). I’ll see you all in chat, and follow me on twitter @jac3600.

STARTING PITCHER

TOP PLAY

Jacob deGrom, NYM ($11,200)

There are really two ways to go on this slate. You either have to pay up at SP and sacrifice the Dodger bats, or vice versa. If you prefer the safety of pitching, there’s really nowhere to go but all the way up for deGrom. The Braves are not an ideal matchup at all but deGrom’s skillset trumps everything. He has a 3.25 ERA and 3.27 SIERA, and those numbers are FAR lower at home. He’s also flashed a 30.6% K rate and 14.7% swinging strike rate, so he should pay off his tag even if Atlanta gets to him for a couple.

Other options – Jose Berrios, Mike Clevinger

VALUE PLAY

Yonny Chirinos, TB ($6300)

Chirinos remains laughably cheap on FD, and what’s more important is you can get whatever bats in there that you want around him. The return of Joey Gallo makes the matchup tougher for Yonny, but he’s low key pitched REALLY well this year. The numbers aren’t flashy (21% K rate), but he’s got an impeccable 5% BB rate and has limited hard contact at a high level (31.3%). The Rangers hit righties well but they’re getting a major park downgrade going to Tampa and they still have the ninth highest K rate against RHP. I think Chirinos is a savvy spend in cash, allowing you the highest upside bats.

Other options – Mike Soroka, Sonny Gray, Vince Velasquez, Elisier Hernandez, Wade Miley, Michael Wacha

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

TOP PLAY

Joc Pederson, LAD ($4000)

Despite some other high run totals on the board, no one in even sniffing the Dodgers’ IRT which currently sits at 7.3. You’re going to need multiple bats in cash (which is why deGrom is a bit difficult to swallow), and Joc is a major part of this as the leadoff hitter in Coors. Antonio Senzatela has a 5.49 SIERA, 13.4% K rate, and only a 6.6% swinging strike rate this season, and Joc has a .302 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year. The Dodgers put up 12 runs yesterday, and no reason they can’t again.

Other options – Josh Bell, Carlos Santana, Anthony Rizzo

VALUE PLAY

C.J. Cron, MIN ($3400)

The Twins should not be forgotten here as they have the second highest total on the board at 6.1, which is a number we’d be salivating over if not for the Dodgers. As of this writing, no pitcher has been announced for the White Sox so this total could sway a bit, but the Twins still rank first in both wOBA and ISO this season and Cron is a big part of this. As long as he has a good lineup spot, he’s too cheap.

Other options – Paul Goldschmidt, Matt Olson, Howie Kendrick, Matt Beaty, Miguel Cabrera, Eric Thames

Catcher values – Yasmani Grandal, Mitch Garver, Austin Barnes, Chris Iannetta, Kurt Suzuki

SECOND BASE

TOP PLAY

Max Muncy, LAD ($4100)

Dodgers are going to dominate this article, and 2B is no different with Muncy who has a 31% HHR over his last 15 games. In his time with the Dodgers, Muncy has obliterated right-handed pitching for a .951 OPS and .300 ISO, and he should hit no lower than fifth in this one.

Other options – Jose Altuve, Mike Moustakas

VALUE PLAY

Brian Dozier, WAS ($2500)

Dozier’s lineup spot is a bit of an annoyance for cash, but he’s quietly enjoying a bounce-back season for the Nats this year, with vintage “Dozier” numbers against LHP. This year, he’s blasted them for a .350 ISO, 41.3% HHR, and 1.097 OPS, and Daniel Norris has allowed a 39% HHR to RHB since the beginning of last year.

Other options – Brandon Lowe, Ronny Rodriguez, Nicky Lopez

THIRD BASE

TOP PLAY

Justin Turner, LAD ($3900)

Normally Arenado against a lefty would be an easy call here, but Hyun-Jin Ryu has pitched like an ace this season so it’s quite easy for me to save $600 with Turner. He’s a career reverse-split hitter and this season is no different, as Turner has a .396 wOBA and 43.3% HHR against RHP. He’s also one of the hotter hitters on the Dodgers with a 39% HHR last 15, and he’s the only big bat on the team that’s under 4k. Turner seems like a cash must even if you pay up for deGrom.

Other options – Nolan Arenado, Anthony Rendon, Kris Bryant, Matt Chapman

VALUE PLAY

Eugenio Suarez, CIN ($2700)

By his standards, Suarez has had a down year, but $2700 is too cheap for him, especially since he’s facing a lefty. Since the beginning of 2017, Suarez has a .925 OPS and .296 ISO against LHP, and Cole Hamels is still vulnerable to the longball. He’s a high-upside play that helps you fit in more Dodgers, Turner included (thank you UTIL spot).

Other options – Jose Ramirez, Vlad Guerrero, Miguel Sano

SHORTSTOP

TOP PLAY

Francisco Lindor, CLE ($4200)

We can’t ignore the Indians on this slate, as they get the enviable task of facing the Baltimore pitching staff in Camden Yards. Lindor will lead off which likely means five PAs of upside, and Lindor has a 42.7% HHR against LHP this season. He already has a combined 24 homers and steals this year, and more is coming. Even on a day when the Dodgers bats are the priority, Lindor is worth his price tag in any format.

Other options – Trea Turner, Alex Bregman, Jorge Polanco, Javier Baez

VALUE PLAY

Chris Taylor, LAD ($3400)

Even if he bats seventh again, it’s hard to fade Taylor right now. He’s one of the hottest hitters in baseball with five doubles, three homers, 14 RBI, and two steals over this last ten games with a 42.3% HHR in that span. Now we get to add Coors Field and a lousy pitcher on top of that, and his price tag is still way too low for what you’re paying for tonight.

Other options – Marcus Semien, Paul DeJong, Niko Goodrum

OUTFIELD

TOP PLAY

Cody Bellinger, LAD ($5100)

FanDuel is doing its best to make Bellinger difficult to buy with his $5100 price tag, and if you pay up for pitching, they did their job. If you decide to drop all the way to Chirinos at SP as I’ve suggested, Bellinger becomes basically a must play tonight. Since the beginning of last year, he has a .405 wOBA and .315 ISO against RHP, and has a .363 ISO this year with a combined 35 homers and steals. Now he’s hitting in Coors Field against Antonio Senzatela. Good luck, Rockies.

Other options – Mike Trout, Christian Yelich, George Springer, Michael Brantley, Nelson Cruz, Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, Shohei Ohtani, Charlie Blackmon, Juan Soto, Oscar Mercado, Khris Davis

VALUE PLAY

Alex Verdugo, LAD ($3600)

Verdugo is a former top prospect who is finally starting to hit that way, and he’s been rewarded with the two-hole in the Dodgers lineup. Hitting second on the road in Coors Field is valuable in itself, and Verdugo comes with a nice price tag as well. He has a 92.7% zone contact rate this season, which means he’ll be putting the ball in play in Coors Field, and he also has a 34% HHR over his last 15 games.

Other options – Kyle Schwarber, Victor Robles, Ryan Braun, Lorenzo Cain, Ian Desmond, Jorge Soler, Randal Grichuk, Teoscar Hernandez, Jordan Luplow, Nick Castellanos, Christin Stewart

Fantasy Baseball