After a monster week, it’s been a disappointing last two days, so today is the day the ship gets righted! As is generally the case on Sundays, the FD and DK lineups should look starkly different due to FD not including the Coors Field game, so don’t universally use this article to apply to all sites. We have two aces going and your cash games should start with one of them, so let the hunt for value hitters begin! Make sure to follow me on twitter @ja3600.
Gerrit Cole, HOU ($11,400)
Cole and Chris Sale battle it out at the top spot, and their prices are pretty much identical. I don’t think you can go wrong with either, but I do prefer Cole if choosing. He is the higher Vegas favorite at -340 (Sale -240), he has the lower IRTA at 2.8 runs (Sale 3.2), and his matchup is better against the Royals who rank 28th in wRC+ against RHP (Sale faces Seattle who ranks fourth in wRC+ against LHP). Lucas Duda’s return to the Royals lineup adds power but also a high K bat, which benefits Cole even more. Lock one of these guys in.
Other options – Chris Sale, Jose Berrios
Rich Hill, LAD ($7600)
Hill has been shaky this year, but he gets a beautiful matchup to attack in GPP. The Mets look lost in all facets as a team right now, and they rank last by a lot in wRC+ against LHP with a 25.5% K rate. Hill is a -170 road favorite with a 3.5 IRTA, and if he can get to six innings (he did last start), he should be able to provide solid value while you stack a high-powered offense around him.
Other options – Domingo German, Carlos Rodon, Adam Plutko, Brandon McCarthy, Luke Weaver
Anthony Rizzo, CHC ($3600)
With Coors Field only available on DK, the Cubs immediately challenge for the top rated offense on FD. They are facing Sal Romano who has allowed 1.46 HR/9 while posting a 5.18/5.16/4.74 pitching slash. Rizzo has battered righties in his career, and is getting a major park upgrade going to Cincinnati where power is amplified. He’s also underpriced on FD.
Other options – Freddie Freeman, Joey Votto, Eric Thames, Edwin Encarnacion
Logan Morrison, MIN ($2300)
Morrison is a lock for me in cash games. He’s been hitting fourth or fifth lately and his hard hit rate is over 30% over his last ten games. Morrison came through with a homer yesterday and now gets to face Bartolo Colon who has allowed a .371 wOBA and 1.80 HR/9 to LHB since the beginning of last year. At Morrison’s price tag with emphasis on a top SP, I don’t see how you pass him up.
Other options – Jose Abreu, Yuli Gurriel, Joe Mauer, Greg Bird
Catcher values – Gary Sanchez, Yasmani Grandal, Willson Contreras, Victor Martinez
Brian Dozier, MIN ($3600)
Dozier has had a down year by his standards, but he still brings a great deal of power and speed to the table. Colon has been no better against RHB, allowing 1.86 HR/9 to them since the beginning of last season and Minnesota plays much better to right-handed power. The Twins have the second highest IRT on the slate at 5.1 runs, and Dozier will be a premier lineup spot.
Other options – Jose Altuve, Ozzie Albies, Scooter Gennett
Yoan Moncada, CHW ($2700)
I have no problem settling on Moncada at this price tag. He will lead off in his home park which is one of the best hitting environments on the slate, and he’s far better from the left side of the plate as a hitter. A’s pitcher Paul Blackburn is no threat whatsoever, particularly against LHB where has only has a 9% K rate since the beginning of last year. Moncada can be a bit boom-or-bust, but this price seems tough to pass up.
Other options – Jedd Gyorko, Josh Harrison, Jonathan Villar
Kris Bryant, CHC ($3900)
Bryant is likely the one “big bat” I’d like to get into cash as he dwarfs the field at the position with no Arenado. Bryant’s hard hit rate is back on the rise and he might be leading off on the road in Cincinnati. Sal Romano is very power-prone and Bryant has generated a .379 wOBA and .211 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year. He’s not priced correctly when he’s under 4k.
Other options – Jose Ramirez, Alex Bregman, Matt Carpenter, Travis Shaw
Eduardo Escobar, MIN ($3300)
Escobar has found himself in the three-hole lately due to his strong play this season, and he’s a fine value if he’s there again. Escobar is in the midst of an incredible breakout season with a .379 wOBA and .270 ISO, and he gets the same amazing matchup against Bartolo Colon and the Rangers bullpen that ranks 25th in xFIP.
Other options – Jake Lamb, Justin Turner, Todd Frazier, Jeimer Candelario
Francisco Lindor, CLE ($4900)
Lindor is a terrific GPP target as the Indians have a 5.1 IRT, but he’s simply priced out of cash games. Lindor is doing even better this year than his magical season a year ago, and he has a .252 ISO with a combined 28 homers and steals thus far. He’ll come with low ownership at his price tag.
Other options – Carlos Correa, Manny Machado, Xander Bogaerts
Marcus Semien, OAK ($3200)
Semien makes sense as a cash target even though Carlos Rodon is a pretty good pitcher. He has a .200 ISO against LHP since the beginning of 2016 and is getting a huge park upgrade going from Oakland to Chicago, and he should hit first or second which means a good shot at five plate appearances, and the A’s have a modest IRT at 4.5 runs.
Other options – Chris Taylor, Jose Peraza, Tim Anderson
Mookie Betts/JD Martinez, BOS ($5100/$4800)
We can’t ignore the Red Sox today. Seattle pitcher Marco Gonzales has been good this year, but we saw his power vulnerability against an elite right-handed team like the Yankees last start (allowed three homers) and today he faces a very similar task in the Red Sox. Fenway Park is a right-handed hitters’ paradise, and Gonzales has allowed 1.48 HR/9 to RHB since the beginning of last year. Betts has a .407 wOBA and .264 ISO and Martinez has a .456 wOBA and .359 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year.
Other options – Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, George Springer, Khris Davis, Christian Yelich, Nelson Cruz, Kyle Schwarber
Eddie Rosario, MIN ($3300)
Like his teammate Logan Morrison, Eddie Rosario is FAR too cheap and will be a lock for me on FD. Imagine this – in the last calendar year, Rosario has a .377 wOBA, .243 ISO, 34 homers, 102 RBI, 99 runs, and 13 SBs. If you don’t think he’s an elite hitter, you’re watching the wrong game, and his $5200 price tag on DK tells you where SHOULD be. Don’t let this gift pass you by.
Other options – Jason Heyward, Leonys Martin, Nick Castellanos, Tommy Pham, Marcell Ozuna, Dexter Fowler, Austin Meadows, Corey Dickerson, Starling Marte, Chad Pinder, Max Kepler, Josh Reddick, Kevin Kiermaier, Avisail Garcia