It was another very successful night on FD (DK, meh), and I’m eager to get right back to the grind this morning. Our big event today is the Thor-Alex one-on-one showdown which will be live streamed on site, and @rickbaso is currently handling all the betting action. You don’t want to miss this, so join up with us @FanTeamAdvice to see who comes out on top! I’m on twitter @jac3600.
NOTE: The CHW/TEX game is only available on DK, so you’re building very differently on both sites today.
Jacob deGrom, NYM ($10,600)
This is a toughie as both deGrom and Verlander have less-than-wonderful matchups. The Cubs do rank in the top ten in both wOBA and wRC+ against RHP, but deGrom’s K rate is still elite (30.1%) and he’s posted a quality start in eight of his last ten outings. The Cubs’ 3.7 IRT is tied for the lowest on the slate, and the wind doesn’t seem to be a factor in Wrigley today. DeGrom is likely the safest choice on the board, and his price isn’t prohibitive.
Other options – Justin Verlander, Patrick Corbin, Brandon Woodruff
Enyel de los Santos, PHI ($5500)
There’s no one at the bottom end that even remotely resembles a cash play today, so let’s look at de los Santos as the extreme GPP option which lets you fit in whatever bats you want. He’s not a great (or experienced) pitcher, but he’s striking out a batter per inning so far this season and the Marlins rank last in wOBA, wRC+, and runs scored against RHP (and they project to get worse). At $5500, he doesn’t need to do much if you want the bats to carry you in GPP.
Other options – Cole Hamels, Zack Plesac, Rick Porcello, Michael Pineda
TOP PLAY AND TOP VALUE
C.J. Cron, MIN ($3400)
The Twins are ranked first in both wOBA and ISO against RHP this season, and they’re facing a gas can in Homer Bailey. This makes them the top offense to target on the FD slate, and Cron is underpriced given the fact that he’s routinely hitting in the top five now. Cron has a .237 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year, and a 33.3% HHR over his last 15 games.
Other options – Rhys Hoskins, Pete Alonso, Carlos Santana, Eric Thames, Rowdy Tellez, Lucas Duda, Gary Sanchez
Catcher values – Yasmani Grandal, JT Realmuto, Robinson Chirinos, Jason Castro, Roberto Perez
Mike Moustakas, MIL ($3700)
Moustakas is in a GREAT spot today, as are all the Brewers lefties. While Anthony DeSclafani has handled righties well, he’s been equally bad against lefties, allowing a .391 wOBA and an unreal .288 ISO to them since 2017. In that span, Moustakas has beaten on RHP for a .286 ISO. He’s in play in all formats at this price tag.
Other options – Jose Altuve
Cavan Biggio, TOR ($3000)
Depending on Biggio’s lineup spot, he could become an awesome value today. Rick Porcello is on pace for career highs in both SIERA and BB rate, and Biggio has posted a 39.3% HHR since his callup to the bigs. He’s also shown able power thus far, with a .185 ISO against RHP.
Other options – Jonathan Schoop, Derek Dietrich, Nicky Lopez
Manny Machado, SD ($3600)
We haven’t seen Machado’s name much this year, but the Padres are in a sneaky good spot today against Steven Brault. The park factor is not great, but Brault has a 5.28 xFIP against RHB and will be facing a ton of them today which has led the an IRT of five runs for San Diego. Machado has a .369 wOBA and .236 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year, and he has a 29% HHR over his last 15.
Other options – Anthony Rendon, Rafael Devers, Miguel Sano
Josh Donaldson, ATL ($3000)
Donaldson has a tough matchup against Patrick Corbin, but he’s just too cheap for someone who has the platoon edge and has been as hot as he is. Over the past 15 games, Donaldson has posted a 44.1% HHR, and he has a .257 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last season. He’s fine in any format at this price tag.
Other options – Jose Ramirez, Vlad Guerrero, Yuli Gurriel, Travis Shaw
Francisco Lindor, CLE ($3900)
As usual, SS is loaded, so you’ll have to allocate funds towards the position even if you like other players more. Lindor looks like a great play at under 4k, as he’s been consistently good since he missed almost all of April. Lindor has a combined 22 homers and steals and has a 35.6% HHR over the last 15 games. He hits righties better, but his .381 wOBA and .234 ISO against LHP certainly plays here, and the Indians have an IRT of 5.2 runs.
Other options – Alex Bregman, Jorge Polanco, Fernando Tatis, Trea Turner
Dansby Swanson, ATL ($3200)
Swanson has a decidedly tougher matchup today against Corbin, but he’s one of many Braves that have been running hot as of late. Swanson has a 34.9% HHR last 15, and he’s coming off a game where homered, doubled, drove in four, and scored three. I wouldn’t do him in cash today, but he’s definitely a GPP option if you’re stacking the Braves who are firing on all cylinders.
Other options – Jean Segura, Didi Gregorius, Kevin Newman, Niko Goodrum
Christian Yelich, MIL ($4900)
You likely won’t be able to afford Yelich in cash on this slate, which is too bad because he’s the top option of all hitters. Yelich has a .461 wOBA and .291 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year (which includes the most homers in span, and also 39 stolen bases – wow). Yelich also has seven hits and three homers over his last four games, and he gets to face DeSclafani who has no idea whatsoever how to get lefties out. Make sure you’re overweight in GPPs.
Other options – Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Andrew Benintendi, Nelson Cruz, Eddie Rosario, Max Kepler, Bryce Harper, Ronald Acuna, Oscar Mercado, Aaron Judge
Wil Myers/Hunter Renfroe, SD ($2800/$3100)
Myers’ batting order spot really matters here, as he could hit anywhere from second to seventh. If he is near the top, he’s way too cheap for this matchup against Brault. Myers has a .220 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year and has a 33% HHR over his last 15. Renfroe has seen his price drop lately, and there’s really no reason for it as he’s still posted a 32.3% HHR over his last 15. Renfroe (believe it or not) has the second most homers in the majors over his last 162 games, behind only Yelich, and he has a .297 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year.
Other options – Jay Bruce, Franmil Reyes, Christin Stewart, Nick Castellanos, Lorenzo Cain, Ryan Braun, Jordan Luplow, Jorge Soler, Alex Gordon, Adam Eaton, Kyle SchwarberFantasy Baseball