Well, my run on FD came to an end yesterday, but at least DK was successful. Tonight we get a full 15-game Tuesday night with many choices to make at SP (thankfully no Coors Field to make things more difficult). I will be on chat helping all our loyal subs tonight (and we had some big winners yesterday). Follow us @FanTeamAdvice, and me @jac3600 and join the winning today!
Clayton Kershaw, LAD ($10,700)
Kershaw’s K rate is clearly on the decline (only 23.6% this year), but he’s making up for it with keeping the ball on the ground (50.7% GB rate) and gets a wonderful matchup against the Giants who rank 29th in wOBA and 29th in ISO against LHP. Kershaw has not yet pitched under six innings once this year, and he only has one start where did not log a QS. He’s a very safe play, but will cost you some bats.
Other options – Justin Verlander, Jacob deGrom, Patrick Corbin
Jack Flaherty, STL ($8000)
Flaherty is FAR too cheap for his skillset, and now he has the ultimate matchup to boot. The Marlins are ranked last in wOBA, last in runs scored, and 29th in OPS with the sixth highest K rate against RHP. Flaherty has had issues with hard contact this year (40.6%) and his SIERA sits at 4.09, but he has an elite 12.4% swinging strike rate which should play beautifully against the lowly Marlins lineup. Flaherty is a -230 favorite with a 3.2 IRTA, which rivals all the top SPs.
Other options – David Price, Cole Hamels, Brandon Woodruff, JA Happ, Yusei Kikuchi, Mitch Keller
Carlos Santana, CLE ($3900)
As of now, Cleveland is leading the slate with an IRT of 5.4 runs, and Santana has a .359 wOBA and .225 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last. They’re hitting in Texas tonight, which has become Coors Field South, as we say in chat. Adrian Sampson has shown impeccable control (4.8% BB rate) but he also allowed a 45% HHR with only a 35.6% GB rate. Feel free to attack with many pieces.
Other options – Anthony Rizzo, Luke Voit, Gary Sanchez, Pete Alonso
Matt Olson, OAK ($3500)
The A’s are right behind the Indians with a 5.3 IRT of their own, and in reality their matchup is even better (it’s the park factor that’s bringing them down). Olson has an .868 OPS and .300 ISO against RHP since 2017, and Baltimore is ranked dead last in SIERA. Gabriel Ynoa is giving up a .484 oSLG this season.
Other options – Paul Goldschmidt, Justin Smoak, Matt Adams, Justin Bour
Catcher values – Yasmani Grandal, Willson Contreras, Roberto Perez, Yadier Molina
Jason Kipnis, CLE ($2500)
As usual, 2B is a place to find value, and Kipnis has been hitting cleanup lately. He’s obviously near the end of his career, but Kipnis has a career .787 OPS and .189 ISO against RHP, and he’s cheap access to currently the best offense on the slate.
Other options – Rougned Odor, Cesar Hernandez, Brian Dozier, Robinson Cano
Matt Chapman, OAK ($3900)
Chapman will not have the platoon edge, but that actually works to his advantage as he’s posted a .348 wOBA and .255 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year. Anyone in the top six of the A’s order is viable in all formats in this matchup, and Chapman also has a 36.4% HHR L15.
Other options – Kris Bryant, Nolan Arenado, Eduardo Escobar
Jose Ramirez, CLE ($3100)
Ramirez is starting to come around, and I’m buying this price tag every day until he does. Ramirez has hits in his last five games with a 33% HHR over that span, and he gets to hit in the premier hitting environment on the slate. He’s still running as well. Don’t fade at this price tag.
Other options – Matt Carpenter, Asdrubal Cabrera, Vlad Guerrero
Francisco Lindor, CLE ($3900)
It’s utterly ridiculous that Lindor is under 4k. Unlike a lot of his Cleveland teammates, Lindor has not struggled, as he is up to 21 combined homers and steals despite missing the first month of the year. Lindor has a .926 OPS against RHP, and should get five PAs against a bad pitching staff. He’s a lock for me tonight.
Other options – Alex Bregman, Trevor Story, Trea Turner, Adalberto Mondesi, Javier Baez
JP Crawford, SEA ($2600)
As usual, opportunity cost is sky high at SS so I wouldn’t suggest paying down here. However, Crawford has been hitting second for a newly-revamped (and lousy) Mariners lineup and offers value at $2600. Homer Bailey is having another “Homer Bailey” year, with a 4.83 SIERA and 44.4% HHR allowed.
Other options – Niko Goodrum, Jonathan Villar, Kevin Newman
Giancarlo Stanton, NYY ($4000)
He’s back!! The Yankees lineup just got SO MUCH DEEPER with the return of Stanton and the addition of Encarnacion. Ryan Yarbrough is decent, and so is the TB bullpen, but Stanton has a career .423 wOBA and .336 ISO against LHP, and the Yankees have an IRT of five runs. I understand being wary of rust, but if Stanton wasn’t ready to go, we wouldn’t be up.
Other options – Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani, Justin Upton, Charlie Blackmon, Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Andrew Benintendi, Cody Bellinger, Khris Davis, Juan Soto, Michael Brantley, Shin Soo Choo, Michael Conforto
Kyle Schwarber, CHC ($3200)
The return of the Schwarb! His move to the leadoff spot has turned him into an incredible DFS stud, and honestly his price drop is inexplicable given his HHR is still 38.5% over the last 15 games. Ivan Nova has allowed a .387 wOBA while posting a 4.94 SIERA and 14.9% K rate. The Cubs are in a great spot, even if the wind doesn’t cooperate.
Other options – David Dahl, David Peralta, Oscar Mercado, Jordan Luplow, Joc Pederson, Alex Verdugo, Adam Jones, Adam Eaton, Jarrod Dyson, Willie Calhoun, Delino DeShields, Mallex SmithFantasy Baseball