It was a bubbling kinda day yesterday, where some got in the money and some fell just out. It’s better when the wins are more decisive, so let’s make it happen today. This nine-gamer is a fun one, as you literally have the choice to sacrifice Coors/Yankees bats in order to get Chris Sale, or sacrifice Sale in order to get Coors/Yankees bats. As of now there’s no clear cut choice, so make sure you subscribe to FTA to get all the latest analysis via chat. I’m also on twitter @jac3600.
Chris Sale, BOS ($11,800)
The Cubs and Rockies are playing in Coors, and Yankees are at home against Vargas. This means offense galore, but if you want the safety of Sale you’ll have to sacrifice a lot of that. I really don’t mind at all, as Sale comes with monstrous upside against a Texas team that has the fourth highest K rate against LHP (26.8%). Since the beginning of May, Sale has racked up an incredible 78 strikeouts in 47 IP, and he’s a -255 favorite with a 3.1 IRTA. You can’t really go wrong here.
Other options – Hyun-Jin Ryu, Charlie Morton
Michael Wacha, STL ($6300)
Wacha has not been good this year, posting a 5.36 SIERA while walking 13.6% of batters and allowing a 41.9% HHR. This makes passing up Sale for him seem ridiculous, but Wacha has the coveted matchup against the Marlins who rank last in wOBA against RHP with the fourth highest K rate. You can get literally ANY bats you want if you use Wacha at $6300, and it’s a viable option with so many high-powered offenses going today. At the very least, rock him in GPPs.
Other options – Masahiro Tanaka, German Marquez, Kevin Gausman, Tanner Anderson
Anthony Rizzo, CHC ($4700)
The Cubs are the “inferior” Coors team due to the strong play of German Marquez this year, but Marquez has (predictably) been worse at Coors, allowing a .342 wOBA as opposed to a .222 mark on the road. Rizzo is crushing the ball right now with a 35.3% HHR over his last 15 games, and he has a .396 wOBA and .267 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year.
Other options – Freddie Freeman, Luke Voit, Rhys Hoskins, Daniel Murphy, Max “HR pimp” Muncy, Gary Sanchez
Matt Adams, WAS ($2700)
Odrisamer Despaigne will draw the start for the White Sox today, and he is someone who should always be attacked in DFS. He has a career 14.2% K rate and 4.70 SIERA, and Washington has an IRT of 5.2 runs. Matt Adams has always hit righties well, and he’s continued that with a .241 ISO this year with a 41.2% HHR.
Other options – Howie Kendrick, Ji-Man Choi, Yonder Alonso
Catcher values – JT Realmuto, Wilson Ramos, Matt Wieters, Yan Gomes
DJ LeMahieu, NYY ($3800)
The Yankees (5.8) are currently challenging the Rockies (5.9) for the highest IRT on the slate, as they get a date with Jason Vargas and his 5.07 SIERA and 7.4% swinging strike rate. The Yankees are packed with righty power and Vargas has allowed 1.80 HR/9 to RHB in the past three years. LeMahieu lacks the power upside of his teammates, but he’s been producing consistently all season and has a 42.5% HHR against LHP.
Other options – None
Cesar Hernandez, PHI ($2800)
Cesar only has an 11.6% HHR over the last 15 games, but he’s moved into the leadoff spot with the injury to McCutchen and the Phillies have an IRT of 5.1 runs. He offers speed, and he actually is posting a career high .776 OPS this season. Taylor Clarke only has a 15.6% K rate, but keep in mind he’s backed by a strong bullpen (top ten in SIERA).
Other options – Brandon Lowe, Brendan Rodgers, Brian Dozier, Eduardo Nunez
Anthony Rendon, WAS ($4400)
This was a tough call given we have Arenado in Coors, but I’ll take the $400 discount to Rendon who technically has a better matchup. Despaigne has allowed a .202 ISO to same-handed hitters over the last three years, and Rendon has absolutely torched RHP this season for a .467 wOBA, .320 ISO, and a 53.3% HHR. He also has a 41.7% HHR over his last 15 games, and I have no issue with him as your “one big bat” if you roster Sale.
Other options – Nolan Arenado, Kris Bryant, Yoan Moncada, Eduardo Escobar
Josh Donaldson, ATL ($3000)
Donaldson has seen a significant dip in power this season, but his price has completely baked that in and he makes a fine value play if you’re spending up on Sale at SP. Donaldson still has a 50% HHR against RHP, and Joe Musgrove is a pitcher we can feel comfortable attacking with his 4.65 SIERA. The Braves have an IRT of 5.4 runs which is the fourth highest on the slate.
Other options – Justin Turner, Matt Carpenter, JD Davis
Trevor Story, COL ($4700)
We can’t forget the Rockies, as they currently lead the slate with an IRT of 5.9 runs. Yu Darvish always comes with upside thanks to a 13.9% swinging strike rate, but his control is an incredibly big issue as well (14.9% BB rate) and he’s got a 4.84 SIERA this season. Story is an elite hitter (.251 ISO against RHP since last year) and he offers speed as well.
Other options – Javier Baez, Xander Bogaerts, Trea Turner, Paul DeJong
Gleyber Torres, NYY ($3400)
Torres seems like the most sensible value of the night with a depressed price tag. He’s got a 44% HHR and an .847 ISO in his rookie season, and it seems like he’s in a smash spot against Jason Vargas who has allowed a 45.5% HHR to RHB since the beginning of last year. He’s just too cheap.
Other options – Corey Seager, Jean Segura, Kevin Newman
Charlie Blackmon, COL ($4300)
Blackmon hasn’t been running as much in the last two years (which hurts against Darvish’s control issues) but he’s still an elite hitter against RHP (.380 wOBA and .253 ISO) and will lead off for a Rockies squad with an IRT of 5.8 runs. He’s fully priced and there are alternates that are a little cheaper, but no one will argue with you at all if Blackmon is your one spend.
Other options – David Dahl, Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Cody Bellinger, Joc Pederson, Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, Juan Soto, Austin Meadows, Tommy Pham, Mike Trout, Starling Marte, Gregory Polanco
Adam Eaton, WAS ($3000)
I love the Nats today against Despaigne. Eaton only has a .148 ISO against RHP the last two years, but he has a 0.017 SB/PA in that span and Despaigne/Castillo are notoriously bad at holding runners on. FanDuel heavily rates runs scored, and Eaton has a very high floor given the expected success of the Nationals’ offense as a whole.
Other options – Eloy Jimenez, Leury Garcia, Carlos Gonzalez, Adam Jones, Jarrod Dyson, Aaron Hicks, Clint Frazier, Raimel Tapia, Andrew Benintendi, Victor Robles, Jeff McNeilFantasy Baseball